Vanarama National League North prediction and guide: Chester small favoured to top Banbury United

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Competition: England Vanarama National League North
Competition: Sat 04.March
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Lookers Vauxhall Stadium (5376 seats)

The league standings reveals that 15 points divide the pair of competitors in this Vanarama National League North fixture. Chester have both the points- and home stadium advantage.

Insights:
  • Chester haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Banbury United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

W W D W W

Chester form and stats

Chester have played 16 Vanarama National League North games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 6-6-4 (wins-draws-losses).

Happy days for Chester in their previous game, a fixture away at Hereford (placed 11th) that ended with a 2-1 victory.

Before that match, a win away at Bradford Park Avenue.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Chester have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 13 games) they have won 4 times, drawn 4 and lost 5.

An interesting fact: 9 of the most recent 11 league games from this football club have seen goals scored by both sides.

The match schedule is unforgiving for Chester as they have a new game in only three days, a Vanarama National League North match thankfully also at home. Kidderminster Harriers are visiting.

Chester are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 20 goals in 16 games. Chester are not conceding a lot of goals here at Lookers Vauxhall Stadium in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 14 from 16 matches.

D D L W L

Banbury United form and stats

Playing away, Banbury United have won 6 games, drawn 3 and suffered 7 defeats in the Vanarama National League North this season. Momentum is building for Banbury United in their away games, having won their two previous outings.

Banbury's last game was the home draw against Leamington (2-2).

A 2-2 draw was the result before that, hosting Farsley Celtic.

We have checked recent matches where Banbury United have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 9 games were 4 victories, 1 draw and 4 defeats.

The schedule is very tough for Banbury United now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Vanarama National League North game at Alfreton Town is waiting in only three days.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Banbury United have scored 22 goals in 16 league games away. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Banbury have conceded 25 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

This isn't the first time these teams face each other this season, as the statistics show this recent fixture: Banbury United - Chester 2-2.

Top Goalscorers

ChesterK. Willoughby
K. Willoughby
17 goals
Banbury UnitedG. Rasulo
G. Rasulo
9 goals
Banbury UnitedJ. Stevens
J. Stevens
9 goals

Chester missing players

Banbury United missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Chester Banbury United
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
34 16 5 Played P 4 16 31
15 6 1 Won W 1 6 12
14 6 2 Drew D 1 3 8
5 4 2 Lost L 2 7 11
51 20 5 Scored S 4 22 44
32 14 6 Conceded C 10 25 42
94% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 94% 94%
71% 56% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 81% 74%
41% 25% 40% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 62% 61%
26% 19% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 38% 39%
9% 6% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 19% 10%
56% 44% 60% BTTS BTTS 75% 62% 58%
35% 38% 20% Clean Sheets C S 0% 25% 23%
15% 19% 20% Failed to Score F T 25% 19% 26%
 
5.1 5.2 7.4 Corners for (avg) C F 4.8 4.9 5
4.4 3.8 4.4 Corners against (avg) C A 4.8 4.4 4.1
1.4 0.9 0.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1.4 1.5
3 2 0 Red cards R C 0 1 5
 
9.3 8.8 10.6 Shots (avg) S ( 9.2 9.9 10
4.1 3.8 4.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.2 4 4.5
36% 33% 23% Goal Efficiency G E 31% 34% 31%
 
7.4 5.1 5.2 Shots against (avg) S A 13.5 11.1 9.7
3 2.2 2.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6 3.9 3.7
Key stats in Vanarama National League North this season:
  • Banbury United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Chester haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Fylde 32 20 6 6 57 32 17 11 3 3 36 19 15 9 3 3 21 13 25 66
2 King's Lynn Town 33 18 10 5 59 32 16 12 3 1 32 12 17 6 7 4 27 20 27 64
3 Chester 34 15 14 5 51 32 16 6 6 4 20 14 18 9 8 1 31 18 19 59
4 Brackley Town 33 16 10 7 42 26 16 11 4 1 29 10 17 5 6 6 13 16 16 58
5 Scarborough Athletic 35 16 10 9 61 51 18 9 5 4 38 28 17 7 5 5 23 23 10 58
6 Darlington 33 16 8 9 59 44 18 8 6 4 29 23 15 8 2 5 30 21 15 56
7 Chorley 35 13 13 9 46 34 18 8 7 3 26 15 17 5 6 6 20 19 12 52
8 Gloucester City 35 14 8 13 56 56 18 9 3 6 36 26 17 5 5 7 20 30 0 50
9 Alfreton Town 32 12 12 8 39 30 16 8 5 3 25 13 16 4 7 5 14 17 9 48
10 Kidderminster Harriers 35 13 8 14 34 37 17 4 4 9 15 20 18 9 4 5 19 17 -3 47
11 Hereford 35 13 6 16 41 40 17 6 4 7 22 19 18 7 2 9 19 21 1 45
12 Banbury United 31 12 8 11 44 42 15 6 5 4 22 17 16 6 3 7 22 25 2 44
13 Curzon Ashton 33 12 7 14 41 39 17 7 3 7 25 21 16 5 4 7 16 18 2 43
14 Spennymoor Town 32 10 12 10 44 47 16 6 6 4 21 19 16 4 6 6 23 28 -3 42
15 Buxton 35 10 12 13 35 42 17 5 6 6 17 20 18 5 6 7 18 22 -7 42
16 Southport 32 11 8 13 39 41 14 6 4 4 20 17 18 5 4 9 19 24 -2 41
17 Peterborough Sports 33 11 8 14 39 44 17 7 5 5 25 20 16 4 3 9 14 24 -5 41
18 Kettering Town 34 10 11 13 31 44 17 8 6 3 18 13 17 2 5 10 13 31 -13 41
19 Boston United 34 10 7 17 48 56 18 7 4 7 29 27 16 3 3 10 19 29 -8 37
20 Blyth Spartans 34 9 9 16 34 50 17 4 7 6 18 20 17 5 2 10 16 30 -16 36
21 Leamington 33 6 16 11 28 38 17 6 5 6 16 16 16 0 11 5 12 22 -10 34
22 Bradford Park Avenue 35 8 10 17 34 51 18 6 4 8 17 19 17 2 6 9 17 32 -17 34
23 Farsley Celtic 33 8 10 15 37 56 15 5 5 5 18 20 18 3 5 10 19 36 -19 34
24 AFC Telford United 35 3 11 21 23 58 18 2 7 9 13 27 17 1 4 12 10 31 -35 20

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Fylde 32 20 6 6 57 32 17 11 3 3 36 19 15 9 3 3 21 13 25 66
2 King's Lynn Town 33 18 10 5 59 32 16 12 3 1 32 12 17 6 7 4 27 20 27 64
3 Chester 34 15 14 5 51 32 16 6 6 4 20 14 18 9 8 1 31 18 19 59
4 Brackley Town 33 16 10 7 42 26 16 11 4 1 29 10 17 5 6 6 13 16 16 58
5 Scarborough Athletic 35 16 10 9 61 51 18 9 5 4 38 28 17 7 5 5 23 23 10 58
6 Darlington 33 16 8 9 59 44 18 8 6 4 29 23 15 8 2 5 30 21 15 56
7 Chorley 35 13 13 9 46 34 18 8 7 3 26 15 17 5 6 6 20 19 12 52
8 Gloucester City 35 14 8 13 56 56 18 9 3 6 36 26 17 5 5 7 20 30 0 50
9 Alfreton Town 32 12 12 8 39 30 16 8 5 3 25 13 16 4 7 5 14 17 9 48
10 Kidderminster Harriers 35 13 8 14 34 37 17 4 4 9 15 20 18 9 4 5 19 17 -3 47
11 Hereford 35 13 6 16 41 40 17 6 4 7 22 19 18 7 2 9 19 21 1 45
12 Banbury United 31 12 8 11 44 42 15 6 5 4 22 17 16 6 3 7 22 25 2 44
13 Curzon Ashton 33 12 7 14 41 39 17 7 3 7 25 21 16 5 4 7 16 18 2 43
14 Spennymoor Town 32 10 12 10 44 47 16 6 6 4 21 19 16 4 6 6 23 28 -3 42
15 Buxton 35 10 12 13 35 42 17 5 6 6 17 20 18 5 6 7 18 22 -7 42
16 Southport 32 11 8 13 39 41 14 6 4 4 20 17 18 5 4 9 19 24 -2 41
17 Peterborough Sports 33 11 8 14 39 44 17 7 5 5 25 20 16 4 3 9 14 24 -5 41
18 Kettering Town 34 10 11 13 31 44 17 8 6 3 18 13 17 2 5 10 13 31 -13 41
19 Boston United 34 10 7 17 48 56 18 7 4 7 29 27 16 3 3 10 19 29 -8 37
20 Blyth Spartans 34 9 9 16 34 50 17 4 7 6 18 20 17 5 2 10 16 30 -16 36
21 Leamington 33 6 16 11 28 38 17 6 5 6 16 16 16 0 11 5 12 22 -10 34
22 Bradford Park Avenue 35 8 10 17 34 51 18 6 4 8 17 19 17 2 6 9 17 32 -17 34
23 Farsley Celtic 33 8 10 15 37 56 15 5 5 5 18 20 18 3 5 10 19 36 -19 34
24 AFC Telford United 35 3 11 21 23 58 18 2 7 9 13 27 17 1 4 12 10 31 -35 20

More from England - Vanarama National League North

Read more about Vanarama National League North

The National League North, formerly known as Conference North, is the sixth highest division in English football. It contains teams located in Northern England, Norfolk, the English Midlands and North Wales. The league table has 22 teams playing two fixtures against each other (home and away).