Vanarama National League North match prediction: Little separates Bradford Park Avenue and Southport in quality

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Competition: England Vanarama National League North
Competition: Sat 07.May
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Horsfall Stadium

Vanarama National League North: Bradford Park Avenue are 10 points after Southport, but are fully set to go full force. Get this show on the road!

Insights:
  • Southport have the most dropped points from leading position (27) in Vanarama National League North

Bradford Park Avenue can neither be promoted or relegated from Vanarama National League North. Southport is no longer fighting for a cause; they can neither go up or down this season.

This promises to be an action-packed fixture with lots of spark and excitement as both sides are well refreshed since they last ran out on the pitch. Game on!

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Bradford Park Avenue form and stats

The story so far in the Vanarama National League North for Bradford Park Avenue at their home stadium (Horsfall Stadium) is 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats. Bradford Park Avenue has four consecutive draws when playing at home, an interesting stat.

Times are rough for the home team, having gone 213 minutes without scoring a league goal. Dockerty was the last player to find the net.

Bradford faced defeat in their previous match, away at Chester (0-4). As you see from the result above, Bradford Park Avenue suffered greatly in their last game. Thankfully the team has a new chance to prove themselves in this one.

Before that, Bradford drew at home versus Darlington.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Bradford Park Avenue have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found seven matches with the results: Won one, drawn one and lost five.

The Bradford Park Avenue fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 26 in 20 matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 0 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. On the other hand, Bradford have conceded 27 goals. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Southport form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Southport so far with only 19 points returning home. The records show 5-4-11 (win-draw-lose). The sun doesn’t shine and the birds do not sing for Southport, who have now gone 13 games without a victory. The Hereford game was their last win and it’s been a dry spell since.

Southport played 1-1 against AFC Telford United in their previous match.

It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Gateshead wasn't a success with a 1-3 loss.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found six similar matches played by Southport in our archives, and the results are: two wins for Southport, three draws and one defeat.

As for defending, Southport rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 35 goals from these away matches.

Head 2 Head

This duo faced each other earlier this campaign: Southport - Bradford Park Avenue 1-0. Last nine meetings between these contenders: Bradford won two, Southport triumphed in four and we saw three draws. seven games with more than 2,5 goals, two matches with under 2,5 goals.

Top Goalscorers

SouthportJ. Archer
J. Archer
13 goals
Bradford Park AvenueB. Dockerty
B. Dockerty
11 goals
SouthportC. Woods
C. Woods
7 goals

Bradford Park Avenue missing players

Southport missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Bradford Park Avenue Southport
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
41 20 6 Played P 7 20 41
11 7 1 Won W 4 5 13
11 6 3 Drew D 1 4 15
19 7 2 Lost L 2 11 13
46 26 10 Scored S 9 20 55
65 27 7 Conceded C 9 35 55
85% 80% 83% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 95% 88%
73% 70% 83% Over 1.5 O 1.5 86% 75% 73%
56% 55% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 43% 55% 49%
27% 25% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 14% 30% 32%
20% 25% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 14% 15% 20%
51% 55% 67% BTTS BTTS 29% 50% 51%
27% 35% 33% Clean Sheets C S 43% 25% 34%
37% 30% 17% Failed to Score F T 29% 30% 27%
 
3.9 4.2 5.7 Corners for (avg) C F 4.9 5 5.3
5.7 5.6 6.5 Corners against (avg) C A 5.1 5.8 5.3
1.3 1.3 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 1.7 1.7
3 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
7.3 8.4 12 Shots (avg) S ( 10.9 8 9.3
3.2 3.9 5.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.9 3.3 3.7
35% 33% 30% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 30% 36%
 
12.8 11.9 14.2 Shots against (avg) S A 10.9 11.9 10.6
5.4 4.6 4.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.4 5.2 4.2
Key stats in Vanarama National League North this season:
  • Southport have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Southport have the most dropped points from leading position (27) in Vanarama National League North

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Gateshead 41 28 7 6 97 46 20 17 1 2 51 18 21 11 6 4 46 28 51 91
2 Brackley Town 41 25 11 5 53 23 20 15 2 3 23 9 21 10 9 2 30 14 30 86
3 Fylde 41 23 8 10 67 37 20 13 3 4 35 18 21 10 5 6 32 19 30 77
4 Kidderminster Harriers 41 20 11 10 71 35 20 13 3 4 49 12 21 7 8 6 22 23 36 71
5 Chorley 41 17 14 10 62 47 21 12 5 4 44 25 20 5 9 6 18 22 15 65
6 York City 41 19 8 14 57 49 21 11 4 6 32 20 20 8 4 8 25 29 8 65
7 Kettering Town 41 16 12 13 53 47 21 9 7 5 30 21 20 7 5 8 23 26 6 60
8 Boston United 41 17 9 15 61 57 21 10 5 6 39 28 20 7 4 9 22 29 4 60
9 Alfreton Town 41 16 10 15 56 58 20 6 9 5 28 25 21 10 1 10 28 33 -2 58
10 Spennymoor Town 41 16 9 16 53 51 20 9 6 5 30 21 21 7 3 11 23 30 2 57
11 Hereford 41 15 10 16 50 50 21 10 5 6 28 23 20 5 5 10 22 27 0 55
12 Southport 41 13 15 13 55 55 21 8 11 2 35 20 20 5 4 11 20 35 0 54
13 Darlington 41 14 11 16 57 57 21 9 4 8 29 24 20 5 7 8 28 33 0 53
14 Curzon Ashton 41 13 12 16 50 62 20 7 6 7 23 26 21 6 6 9 27 36 -12 51
15 Leamington 41 12 12 17 39 46 21 10 5 6 25 20 20 2 7 11 14 26 -7 48
16 Chester 41 12 10 19 70 71 21 9 6 6 43 27 20 3 4 13 27 44 -1 46
17 Gloucester City 41 10 15 16 45 58 20 6 8 6 26 22 21 4 7 10 19 36 -13 45
18 Bradford Park Avenue 41 11 11 19 46 65 20 7 6 7 26 27 21 4 5 12 20 38 -19 44
19 Blyth Spartans 41 12 6 23 39 74 21 8 3 10 23 30 20 4 3 13 16 44 -35 42
20 Farsley Celtic 41 9 10 22 37 76 20 7 6 7 23 32 21 2 4 15 14 44 -39 37
21 AFC Telford United 41 7 15 19 47 64 20 7 6 7 30 24 21 0 9 12 17 40 -17 36
22 Guiseley 41 9 8 24 30 67 21 6 6 9 18 33 20 3 2 15 12 34 -37 35

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Gateshead 41 28 7 6 97 46 20 17 1 2 51 18 21 11 6 4 46 28 51 91
2 Brackley Town 41 25 11 5 53 23 20 15 2 3 23 9 21 10 9 2 30 14 30 86
3 Fylde 41 23 8 10 67 37 20 13 3 4 35 18 21 10 5 6 32 19 30 77
4 Kidderminster Harriers 41 20 11 10 71 35 20 13 3 4 49 12 21 7 8 6 22 23 36 71
5 Chorley 41 17 14 10 62 47 21 12 5 4 44 25 20 5 9 6 18 22 15 65
6 York City 41 19 8 14 57 49 21 11 4 6 32 20 20 8 4 8 25 29 8 65
7 Kettering Town 41 16 12 13 53 47 21 9 7 5 30 21 20 7 5 8 23 26 6 60
8 Boston United 41 17 9 15 61 57 21 10 5 6 39 28 20 7 4 9 22 29 4 60
9 Alfreton Town 41 16 10 15 56 58 20 6 9 5 28 25 21 10 1 10 28 33 -2 58
10 Spennymoor Town 41 16 9 16 53 51 20 9 6 5 30 21 21 7 3 11 23 30 2 57
11 Hereford 41 15 10 16 50 50 21 10 5 6 28 23 20 5 5 10 22 27 0 55
12 Southport 41 13 15 13 55 55 21 8 11 2 35 20 20 5 4 11 20 35 0 54
13 Darlington 41 14 11 16 57 57 21 9 4 8 29 24 20 5 7 8 28 33 0 53
14 Curzon Ashton 41 13 12 16 50 62 20 7 6 7 23 26 21 6 6 9 27 36 -12 51
15 Leamington 41 12 12 17 39 46 21 10 5 6 25 20 20 2 7 11 14 26 -7 48
16 Chester 41 12 10 19 70 71 21 9 6 6 43 27 20 3 4 13 27 44 -1 46
17 Gloucester City 41 10 15 16 45 58 20 6 8 6 26 22 21 4 7 10 19 36 -13 45
18 Bradford Park Avenue 41 11 11 19 46 65 20 7 6 7 26 27 21 4 5 12 20 38 -19 44
19 Blyth Spartans 41 12 6 23 39 74 21 8 3 10 23 30 20 4 3 13 16 44 -35 42
20 Farsley Celtic 41 9 10 22 37 76 20 7 6 7 23 32 21 2 4 15 14 44 -39 37
21 AFC Telford United 41 7 15 19 47 64 20 7 6 7 30 24 21 0 9 12 17 40 -17 36
22 Guiseley 41 9 8 24 30 67 21 6 6 9 18 33 20 3 2 15 12 34 -37 35

More from England - Vanarama National League North

Read more about Vanarama National League North

The National League North, formerly known as Conference North, is the sixth highest division in English football. It contains teams located in Northern England, Norfolk, the English Midlands and North Wales. The league table has 22 teams playing two fixtures against each other (home and away).