Premier League: Southampton predicted to win home match vs Newcastle United

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Competition: England Premier League
Competition: Sun 02.January
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: St. Mary's Stadium (32505 seats)

In total; 19 matches are played and Southampton are 10 points ahead of Newcastle United. What happens today?

Insights:
  • Newcastle United have the most dropped points from leading position (19) in Premier League

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Southampton form and stats

Southampton have played 9 Premier League games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 2-6-1 (wins-draws-losses). The home fans are hungry for more even though Southampton have been steadily collecting points here at St. Mary's Stadium through three straight draws.

The spoils were shared in Southampton's previous game, also at home. Visiting Tottenham Hotspur (placed 7th) travelled back with a draw after a 1-1 scoreline. The Southampton goalkeeper Forster was crucial in the match against Tottenham Hotspur last time out, making ten saves. Goalkeeper Forster got the top rating on the team in that game; 8.41 out of ten. Forster stopped the opponent with ten saves.

In the game before, an away victory match versus West Ham United with a 3-2 scoreline.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Southampton matches with similar probabilities have ended with two wins, zero draws and three defeats (from five games).

Southampton has scored 9 league goals at home this season, in 9 matches. From these home matches, Southampton have conceded only 8 goals. It's worth mentioning that 4 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Newcastle United form and stats

There's been little loot from Newcastle United's travels as they have only collected 3 points from 9 away games in the Premier League. Newcastle United only have 0 wins to counter their 6 defeats and 3 draws. The pressure to perform on the road is increasing on Howe, the Newcastle manager, as the last three away games were defeats.

Newcastle's last game was the home draw against Manchester United (1-1). Krafth was the top performer of the team in that game with a match score of 7.61. The defender Krafth hit one key pass and won 8 of 11 duels.

A loss against Manchester City was the result prior to that, in a home game.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Newcastle playing away, we found five games. Results were one away win, zero draws and four home wins.

The attacking power of Newcastle when travelling is not overwhelming with 6 goals scored from 9 league matches away. Newcastle have conceded 20 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

These competitors have battled earlier this season: Newcastle United - Southampton 2-2. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Southampton two wins, three draws and Newcastle United five victories. As for goals, seven matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), three games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Newcastle UnitedC. Wilson
C. Wilson
6 goals
SouthamptonJ. Ward-Prowse
J. Ward-Prowse
5 goals
SouthamptonA. Broja
A. Broja
4 goals

Southampton missing players

Newcastle United missing players

Southampton Newcastle United
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
19 9 2 Played P 5 9 19
4 2 1 Won W 0 0 1
9 6 1 Drew D 2 3 8
6 1 0 Lost L 3 6 10
20 9 3 Scored S 3 6 19
29 8 2 Conceded C 10 20 42
89% 89% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
68% 56% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 95%
53% 22% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 44% 53%
42% 22% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 33% 42%
5% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 11% 21%
58% 56% 50% BTTS BTTS 60% 67% 68%
26% 33% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 5%
26% 22% 0% Failed to Score F T 40% 33% 26%
 
5.7 5.8 7 Corners for (avg) C F 5.2 4.3 4.3
5.4 4.4 1.5 Corners against (avg) C A 2.4 4.3 4.4
2.1 2.1 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.4 2.9 2.5
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
12.4 13.2 18 Shots (avg) S ( 8.2 9.6 11.2
3.8 4 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.8 2.9 3.4
27% 25% 30% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 23% 30%
 
12.8 12.1 6.5 Shots against (avg) S A 11.2 15.4 15.8
4.6 4.1 2.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.8 4.8 5.3
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • All of Newcastle United's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Newcastle United have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Newcastle United have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Newcastle United have the fewest points (3) away in Premier League
  • Newcastle United have the most conceded goals in the second half (26) in Premier League
  • Newcastle United have the most dropped points from leading position (19) in Premier League
  • Newcastle United have yet to win a game away.
  • Newcastle United haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Manchester City 20 16 2 2 51 12 10 8 1 1 31 6 10 8 1 1 20 6 39 50
2 Chelsea 20 12 6 2 43 14 10 5 4 1 23 8 10 7 2 1 20 6 29 42
3 Liverpool 19 12 5 2 50 16 9 6 3 0 22 6 10 6 2 2 28 10 34 41
4 Arsenal 19 11 2 6 32 23 9 7 1 1 17 6 10 4 1 5 15 17 9 35
5 West Ham United 19 9 4 6 34 25 9 4 2 3 18 15 10 5 2 3 16 10 9 31
6 Manchester United 18 9 4 5 30 26 9 5 1 3 17 14 9 4 3 2 13 12 4 31
7 Tottenham Hotspur 17 9 3 5 22 20 10 7 1 2 16 10 7 2 2 3 6 10 2 30
8 Wolverhampton Wanderers 18 7 4 7 13 14 9 3 2 4 5 7 9 4 2 3 8 7 -1 25
9 Leicester City 18 7 4 7 31 33 9 5 1 3 16 12 9 2 3 4 15 21 -2 25
10 Brighton & Hove Albion 18 5 9 4 17 18 9 3 3 3 8 9 9 2 6 1 9 9 -1 24
11 Crystal Palace 19 5 8 6 27 27 10 4 5 1 18 9 9 1 3 5 9 18 0 23
12 Aston Villa 18 7 1 10 24 28 9 4 1 4 15 14 9 3 0 6 9 14 -4 22
13 Southampton 19 4 9 6 20 29 9 2 6 1 9 8 10 2 3 5 11 21 -9 21
14 Brentford 18 5 5 8 21 25 9 3 1 5 10 11 9 2 4 3 11 14 -4 20
15 Everton 17 5 4 8 21 29 8 4 1 3 13 13 9 1 3 5 8 16 -8 19
16 Leeds United 18 3 7 8 18 36 9 2 4 3 10 15 9 1 3 5 8 21 -18 16
17 Watford 17 4 1 12 22 35 9 2 1 6 11 21 8 2 0 6 11 14 -13 13
18 Burnley 16 1 8 7 15 24 7 1 4 2 8 8 9 0 4 5 7 16 -9 11
19 Newcastle United 19 1 8 10 19 42 10 1 5 4 13 22 9 0 3 6 6 20 -23 11
20 Norwich City 19 2 4 13 8 42 10 1 2 7 5 19 9 1 2 6 3 23 -34 10

Southampton:
Newcastle United:
Premier League:
England:

Read more about Premier League

The English Premier League is the top level of the English football league pyramid. 20 teams play 38 fixtures each to see who tops the Premier League table. The Premier League is the most watched sports league in the world. Seasons run from August to May with most games on Saturdays and Sundays.