Premier League match prediction: Little separates Southampton and Leeds United in quality

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Competition: England Premier League
Competition: Sat 16.October
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: St. Mary's Stadium (32505 seats)

Develop their own game plan or look more at the opposition? Both Southampton and Leeds United must try something more original than what they have done so far. Learn more!

Insights:
  • Southampton have the fewest scored goals (1) at home in Premier League
  • Leeds United have yet to win a game away.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

L L D D D

Southampton form and stats

Three Premier League home games done for Southampton, who are not happy collecting 2 points from these matches.

No payout for Southampton in their previous match, an away game at Chelsea that ended in defeat 1-3. Southampton's goalkeeper Alex McCarthy was extremely busy against Chelsea, saving the team from a uglier defeat with a stunning six saves. The goalie Alex McCarthy was named most valuable player of the team in that game, scoring 7.31 out of ten. McCarthy stopped the opponent with six saves.

Before that game, the home loss against Wolverhampton Wanderers with the scoreline 0-1.

This is expected to be a close game, with Southampton perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Southampton as a small favourite), we find six games. Southampton has won one of these, drawn one and lost four.

Southampton has huge difficulties finding the net and are scoring on average only once per two home matches in the league: 1 goal from 3 games. From these home matches, Southampton have conceded only 2 goals.

W L D D L

Leeds United form and stats

The Premier League season is young and Leeds United have only just started going through their travel schedule, with 3 away games done and still no victory. 2 draws and 1 defeat so far. Two points from the last two away games for Leeds, which the math geniuses among you will translate to two draws.

Diego Llorente scored in Leeds's previous match, the home game against Watford that ended 1-0. Diego Llorente, who plays in defense, got the "man of the match" on his team with the rating 7.64. Llorente scored one goal and won 2 of 5 duels.

A 1-2 loss hosting West Ham United before that.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found six similar matches played by Leeds in our archives, and the results are: three wins for Leeds United, one draw and two defeats.

The visiting Leeds United have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 3 goals from 3 games. The Leeds manager M. Bielsa Caldera has some worries about the defense as 7 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's five Southampton victories, zero draws and five Leeds United wins. Over/under statistics; five of these games ended with three goals or more, five matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Leeds UnitedR. Dias Belloli
R. Dias Belloli
3 goals
SouthamptonJ. Ward-Prowse
J. Ward-Prowse
2 goals
SouthamptonA. Armstrong
A. Armstrong
1 goals

Southampton missing players

Leeds United missing players

Southampton Leeds United
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
7 3 0 Played P 2 3 7
0 0 0 Won W 0 0 1
4 2 0 Drew D 2 2 3
3 1 0 Lost L 0 1 3
5 1 0 Scored S 2 3 7
10 2 0 Conceded C 2 7 14
71% 67% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
57% 33% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 86%
43% 0% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 33% 57%
43% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 33% 29%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 33% 14%
57% 33% 0% BTTS BTTS 100% 100% 71%
29% 33% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 14%
43% 67% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 14%
 
5.1 5.7 0 Corners for (avg) C F 5 4.7 5
5.9 5.3 0 Corners against (avg) C A 4.5 4.7 5.7
1.9 1.7 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 2.3 2
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
11.3 12 0 Shots (avg) S ( 16.5 14.3 15
3.1 3.7 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5.5 4.7 4.1
23% 9% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 18% 21% 24%
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • All of Leeds United's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Leeds United have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • Leeds United have yet to win a game away.
  • Leeds United haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Southampton have the fewest scored goals (1) at home in Premier League
  • Southampton have yet to win a game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Chelsea 7 5 1 1 15 3 4 3 0 1 9 2 3 2 1 0 6 1 12 16
2 Liverpool 7 4 3 0 17 6 4 2 2 0 8 3 3 2 1 0 9 3 11 15
3 Manchester City 7 4 2 1 14 3 3 2 1 0 10 0 4 2 1 1 4 3 11 14
4 Manchester United 7 4 2 1 14 6 4 2 1 1 10 4 3 2 1 0 4 2 8 14
5 Everton 7 4 2 1 13 8 3 3 0 0 8 2 4 1 2 1 5 6 5 14
6 Brighton & Hove Albion 7 4 2 1 8 5 4 2 1 1 4 3 3 2 1 0 4 2 3 14
7 Brentford 7 3 3 1 10 6 3 1 1 1 5 4 4 2 2 0 5 2 4 12
8 Tottenham Hotspur 7 4 0 3 6 10 4 3 0 1 4 4 3 1 0 2 2 6 -4 12
9 West Ham United 7 3 2 2 14 10 4 1 1 2 8 7 3 2 1 0 6 3 4 11
10 Aston Villa 7 3 1 3 10 9 3 2 1 0 6 1 4 1 0 3 4 8 1 10
11 Arsenal 7 3 1 3 5 10 3 2 0 1 4 3 4 1 1 2 1 7 -5 10
12 Wolverhampton Wanderers 7 3 0 4 5 6 4 1 0 3 2 5 3 2 0 1 3 1 -1 9
13 Leicester City 7 2 2 3 9 12 3 1 1 1 3 3 4 1 1 2 6 9 -3 8
14 Crystal Palace 7 1 4 2 8 11 4 1 3 0 6 3 3 0 1 2 2 8 -3 7
15 Watford 7 2 1 4 7 10 3 1 1 1 4 5 4 1 0 3 3 5 -3 7
16 Leeds United 7 1 3 3 7 14 4 1 1 2 4 7 3 0 2 1 3 7 -7 6
17 Southampton 7 0 4 3 5 10 3 0 2 1 1 2 4 0 2 2 4 8 -5 4
18 Burnley 7 0 3 4 5 11 4 0 2 2 2 4 3 0 1 2 3 7 -6 3
19 Newcastle United 7 0 3 4 8 16 3 0 2 1 5 7 4 0 1 3 3 9 -8 3
20 Norwich City 7 0 1 6 2 16 3 0 0 3 2 8 4 0 1 3 0 8 -14 1

Southampton:
Leeds United:
Premier League:
England:

Read more about Premier League

The English Premier League is the top level of the English football league pyramid. 20 teams play 38 fixtures each to see who tops the Premier League table. The Premier League is the most watched sports league in the world. Seasons run from August to May with most games on Saturdays and Sundays.