Premier League match prediction: Little separates Newcastle United and Aston Villa in quality

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Competition: England Premier League
Competition: Wed 24.June
Match begins: 17:00 (UTC)
Venue: St. James' Park (52338 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Newcastle United are in the 13th position while the guesting Aston Villa worry at 19th.

It's no vacation for neither Newcastle nor Aston Villa as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Newcastle United form and stats

6-6-3 (win-draw-lost) are the Premier League numbers at home for Newcastle United so far this season.

The Newcastle goalkeeper Martin Dubravka is looking to record 90 more "clean sheet" minutes as his team have now played 316 minutes without conceding a goal in the Premier League.

A nice win for Newcastle last time playing, versus Sheffield United. That was also a home game and the match ended 3-0 with Matt Ritchie, Allan Saint-Maximin and Joelinton scoring for the victors. In the game before, an away victory match versus Southampton with a 1-0 scoreline.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Newcastle have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found eleven matches with the results: Won five, drawn four and lost two.

Newcastle are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 15 goals in 15 games. Newcastle have only conceded 12 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Aston Villa form and stats

Aston Villa, who have the most conceded goals (58) in Premier League, have only collected 8 points from their away games in the Premier League, after 2-2-11 (15 played). The pressure to perform on the road is increasing on D. Smith, the Aston manager, as the last three away games were defeats.

Home advantage was not enough for Aston in their previous game, as they lost their Premier League-match, hosting Chelsea, 1-2. Preceding that match was the 0-0 draw at home vs Sheffield United.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Aston playing away and similar expectations, we found ten relevant matches. Results were two Aston Villa wins, four draws and four defeats.

After this away game Aston return home for a Premier League game against Wolverhampton Wanderers. That game is only three sleeps after this.

Aston Villa are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 16 away goals from 15 games (in the league). For Aston, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

Newcastle United and Aston Villa have met before this season: Aston Villa - Newcastle United 2-0. Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Newcastle won five games, four matches ended with a draw and Aston Villa has one win. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: two / eight

Top Goalscorers

Aston VillaJ. Grealish
J. Grealish
7 goals
NewcastleJ. Shelvey
J. Shelvey
5 goals
Aston VillaW. Moraes Ferreira da Silva
W. Moraes Ferreira da Silva
5 goals

Newcastle United missing players

Aston Villa missing players

Newcastle United Aston Villa
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
30 15 5 Played P 5 15 30
10 6 2 Won W 1 2 7
8 6 3 Drew D 0 2 5
12 3 0 Lost L 4 11 18
28 15 5 Scored S 5 16 35
41 12 3 Conceded C 10 32 58
90% 80% 60% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 93%
60% 53% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 93% 87%
43% 40% 40% Over 2.5 O 2.5 60% 73% 70%
27% 7% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 40% 33% 33%
10% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 13% 17%
40% 40% 60% BTTS BTTS 60% 60% 63%
33% 47% 40% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 17%
37% 33% 40% Failed to Score F T 40% 40% 27%
 
3.9 4.5 5.4 Corners for (avg) C F 2.4 4.2 5.2
6.9 6.7 7.2 Corners against (avg) C A 9.4 8.1 6.9
1.8 1.9 1.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.1 1.9
3 1 0 Red cards R C 1 1 1
 
290 177 63 Total Shots T S 48 159 369
96 57 21 Shots on Target S O 21 63 125
29% 26% 24% Goal Efficiency G E 24% 25% 28%
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Aston Villa has the fewest clean sheets (0) away
  • Aston Villa has the most conceded goals (32) away
  • Aston Villa has the most conceded goals (58)
  • Aston Villa has the most conceded goals in the second half (35)
  • Aston Villa has the most matches over the total-line (18)
  • Aston Villa have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Aston Villa have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Aston Villa have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Aston Villa haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Aston Villa is in the worst form (0-1-5)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Liverpool 30 27 2 1 66 21 15 15 0 0 40 12 15 12 2 1 26 9 45 83
2 Manchester City 29 19 3 7 71 31 14 10 2 2 36 12 15 9 1 5 35 19 40 60
3 Leicester City 30 16 6 8 59 29 15 9 3 3 30 15 15 7 3 5 29 14 30 54
4 Chelsea 30 15 6 9 53 40 15 7 3 5 22 15 15 8 3 4 31 25 13 51
5 Manchester United 30 12 10 8 45 31 15 8 5 2 29 12 15 4 5 6 16 19 14 46
6 Wolverhampton Wanderers 30 11 13 6 43 34 15 5 7 3 21 17 15 6 6 3 22 17 9 46
7 Sheffield United 30 11 11 8 30 28 15 7 3 5 17 13 15 4 8 3 13 15 2 44
8 Tottenham Hotspur 30 11 9 10 48 41 15 8 3 4 28 16 15 3 6 6 20 25 7 42
9 Crystal Palace 30 11 9 10 28 32 15 6 4 5 12 13 15 5 5 5 16 19 -4 42
10 Arsenal 30 9 13 8 41 41 15 7 5 3 26 20 15 2 8 5 15 21 0 40
11 Burnley 29 11 6 12 34 40 15 7 2 6 20 19 14 4 4 6 14 21 -6 39
12 Everton 30 10 8 12 37 46 15 7 5 3 19 15 15 3 3 9 18 31 -9 38
13 Newcastle United 30 10 8 12 28 41 15 6 6 3 15 12 15 4 2 9 13 29 -13 38
14 Southampton 30 11 4 15 38 52 15 4 2 9 16 31 15 7 2 6 22 21 -14 37
15 Brighton & Hove Albion 30 7 11 12 34 41 15 5 6 4 19 16 15 2 5 8 15 25 -7 32
16 Watford 30 6 10 14 28 45 15 4 6 5 17 18 15 2 4 9 11 27 -17 28
17 West Ham United 30 7 6 17 35 52 15 4 3 8 23 28 15 3 3 9 12 24 -17 27
18 AFC Bournemouth 30 7 6 17 29 49 15 4 5 6 17 23 15 3 1 11 12 26 -20 27
19 Aston Villa 30 7 5 18 35 58 15 5 3 7 19 26 15 2 2 11 16 32 -23 26
20 Norwich City 30 5 6 19 25 55 15 4 3 8 19 29 15 1 3 11 6 26 -30 21

Newcastle United:
Aston Villa:
Premier League:
England:

Read more about Premier League

The English Premier League is the top level of the English football league pyramid. 20 teams play 38 fixtures each to see who tops the Premier League table. The Premier League is the most watched sports league in the world. Seasons run from August to May with most games on Saturdays and Sundays.