Premier League prediction and guide: Chelsea small expected to get the better of Arsenal

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Competition: England Premier League
Competition: Wed 20.April
Match begins: 18:45 (UTC)
Venue: Stamford Bridge (41798 seats)

Chelsea and Arsenal are both high-flying in the Premier League with their 3rd and 6th positions respectively. This could be a top game!

Insights:
  • Chelsea have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Arsenal have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

This is a game between neighbours, usually meaning increased mental strain and significance.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Chelsea form and stats

Chelsea have collected 26 points from their Premier League home games so far after 7-5-2.

Chelsea's previous fixture was a FA Cup game also played at their home, ending 2-0 versus Crystal Palace. The home side hope to to continue in that form. The forward Werner won the honour of being "man of the match" for Chelsea with the rating of 7.63/10. Werner served one assist, hit four key passes and had 19 successful passes (of 23 total).

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Chelsea handle that role? We have found four games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are one win, zero draws and three defeats.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the Premier League game versus West Ham United in only four days. This game is also played here at Stamford Bridge.

Goals decide football matches and Chelsea are scoring many of them at home; 29 on target from 14 league matches.

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Arsenal form and stats

As the visiting team in Premier League matches, Arsenal have produced an overall stat of 7-1-7 so far. It's a growing despair in Arsenal as they have recorded three consecutive losses.

It might be tough going out on the road again for Arsenal, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 0-1 versus Southampton (placed 12th). Soares, who plays in defense, got the "man of the match" on his team with the rating 7.65. Soares hit one key pass and won 3 of 3 duels.

A 1-2 loss hosting Brighton & Hove Albion before that.

After this away game Arsenal return home for a Premier League game against Manchester United. That game is only three sleeps after this.

Arsenal find the net regularly in their away games. 20 goals from 15 away fixtures in the league. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Arsenal's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 23 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

Arsenal - Chelsea 0-2 was the score in these contenders' latest head to head match, played this season. Last ten meetings involving these squads: Chelsea won five, Arsenal triumphed in four and we saw one draw. seven games with over 2,5 goals, three matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

ChelseaM. Mount
M. Mount
10 goals
ArsenalB. Saka
B. Saka
9 goals
ArsenalE. Smith Rowe
E. Smith Rowe
9 goals

Chelsea missing players

Arsenal missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Chelsea Arsenal
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
30 14 4 Played P 3 15 31
18 7 1 Won W 0 7 17
8 5 2 Drew D 0 1 3
4 2 1 Lost L 3 7 11
64 29 5 Scored S 2 20 45
23 14 4 Conceded C 12 23 37
97% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 93% 94%
80% 86% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 67% 74%
53% 50% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 53% 52%
33% 36% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 40% 29%
17% 21% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 67% 33% 16%
47% 57% 50% BTTS BTTS 33% 27% 35%
47% 36% 25% Clean Sheets C S 0% 40% 42%
10% 7% 25% Failed to Score F T 67% 40% 29%
 
6.4 7.9 8.8 Corners for (avg) C F 3 4.2 5.5
4.6 4.4 6.2 Corners against (avg) C A 7.7 5 4.5
1.6 1.6 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.7 1.5 1.6
1 0 0 Red cards R C 1 2 3
 
15 16.8 14.8 Shots (avg) S ( 7.7 12.7 15.5
5.5 5.9 4.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.7 4.4 5.2
39% 35% 26% Goal Efficiency G E 18% 30% 28%
 
9.1 8.8 8.5 Shots against (avg) S A 19.3 12.9 11.3
3.3 3.5 3.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 9.7 5 4
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Arsenal have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Arsenal have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Chelsea have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Chelsea have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Chelsea haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Manchester City 31 23 5 3 72 20 15 11 2 2 42 12 16 12 3 1 30 8 52 74
2 Liverpool 31 22 7 2 79 22 15 12 3 0 39 7 16 10 4 2 40 15 57 73
3 Chelsea 30 18 8 4 64 23 14 7 5 2 29 14 16 11 3 2 35 9 41 62
4 Tottenham Hotspur 32 18 3 11 56 38 16 10 1 5 31 18 16 8 2 6 25 20 18 57
5 Manchester United 32 15 9 8 52 44 17 9 4 4 28 21 15 6 5 4 24 23 8 54
6 Arsenal 31 17 3 11 45 37 16 10 2 4 25 14 15 7 1 7 20 23 8 54
7 West Ham United 33 15 7 11 52 43 17 9 4 4 30 22 16 6 3 7 22 21 9 52
8 Wolverhampton Wanderers 32 15 4 13 33 28 16 7 2 7 18 16 16 8 2 6 15 12 5 49
9 Leicester City 30 11 7 12 46 50 15 8 3 4 26 20 15 3 4 8 20 30 -4 40
10 Brighton & Hove Albion 32 9 13 10 29 37 16 3 6 7 10 20 16 6 7 3 19 17 -8 40
11 Brentford 33 11 6 16 41 49 16 6 2 8 18 19 17 5 4 8 23 30 -8 39
12 Southampton 32 9 12 11 38 52 17 6 7 4 21 20 15 3 5 7 17 32 -14 39
13 Crystal Palace 31 8 13 10 43 40 16 5 7 4 25 17 15 3 6 6 18 23 3 37
14 Newcastle United 32 9 10 13 36 55 16 6 6 4 23 26 16 3 4 9 13 29 -19 37
15 Aston Villa 31 11 3 17 42 46 15 5 3 7 24 25 16 6 0 10 18 21 -4 36
16 Leeds United 32 8 9 15 38 68 16 4 5 7 18 30 16 4 4 8 20 38 -30 33
17 Everton 30 8 4 18 33 52 15 7 1 7 20 19 15 1 3 11 13 33 -19 28
18 Burnley 31 4 13 14 26 45 15 3 6 6 13 20 16 1 7 8 13 25 -19 25
19 Watford 32 6 4 22 30 62 16 2 1 13 15 39 16 4 3 9 15 23 -32 22
20 Norwich City 32 5 6 21 22 66 16 3 3 10 12 31 16 2 3 11 10 35 -44 21

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Manchester City 31 23 5 3 72 20 15 11 2 2 42 12 16 12 3 1 30 8 52 74
2 Liverpool 31 22 7 2 79 22 15 12 3 0 39 7 16 10 4 2 40 15 57 73
3 Chelsea 30 18 8 4 64 23 14 7 5 2 29 14 16 11 3 2 35 9 41 62
4 Tottenham Hotspur 32 18 3 11 56 38 16 10 1 5 31 18 16 8 2 6 25 20 18 57
5 Manchester United 32 15 9 8 52 44 17 9 4 4 28 21 15 6 5 4 24 23 8 54
6 Arsenal 31 17 3 11 45 37 16 10 2 4 25 14 15 7 1 7 20 23 8 54
7 West Ham United 33 15 7 11 52 43 17 9 4 4 30 22 16 6 3 7 22 21 9 52
8 Wolverhampton Wanderers 32 15 4 13 33 28 16 7 2 7 18 16 16 8 2 6 15 12 5 49
9 Leicester City 30 11 7 12 46 50 15 8 3 4 26 20 15 3 4 8 20 30 -4 40
10 Brighton & Hove Albion 32 9 13 10 29 37 16 3 6 7 10 20 16 6 7 3 19 17 -8 40
11 Brentford 33 11 6 16 41 49 16 6 2 8 18 19 17 5 4 8 23 30 -8 39
12 Southampton 32 9 12 11 38 52 17 6 7 4 21 20 15 3 5 7 17 32 -14 39
13 Crystal Palace 31 8 13 10 43 40 16 5 7 4 25 17 15 3 6 6 18 23 3 37
14 Newcastle United 32 9 10 13 36 55 16 6 6 4 23 26 16 3 4 9 13 29 -19 37
15 Aston Villa 31 11 3 17 42 46 15 5 3 7 24 25 16 6 0 10 18 21 -4 36
16 Leeds United 32 8 9 15 38 68 16 4 5 7 18 30 16 4 4 8 20 38 -30 33
17 Everton 30 8 4 18 33 52 15 7 1 7 20 19 15 1 3 11 13 33 -19 28
18 Burnley 31 4 13 14 26 45 15 3 6 6 13 20 16 1 7 8 13 25 -19 25
19 Watford 32 6 4 22 30 62 16 2 1 13 15 39 16 4 3 9 15 23 -32 22
20 Norwich City 32 5 6 21 22 66 16 3 3 10 12 31 16 2 3 11 10 35 -44 21

More from England - Premier League

Read more about Premier League

The English Premier League is the top level of the English football league pyramid. 20 teams play 38 fixtures each to see who tops the Premier League table. The Premier League is the most watched sports league in the world. Seasons run from August to May with most games on Saturdays and Sundays.