Premier League match prediction: Little separates Burnley and Watford in quality

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Competition: England Premier League
Competition: Sat 21.March
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Turf Moor (21401 seats)

With their 12 point advantage in the league table, Burnley fans are hoping to see their team collect maximum points from this game against Watford.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Burnley form and stats

The story so far in the Premier League for Burnley at their home stadium (Turf Moor) is 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats.

The spoils were shared in Burnley's previous game, also at home. Visiting Tottenham Hotspur (placed 8th) travelled back with a draw after a 1-1 scoreline. Preceding that game was the away draw at Newcastle United that finished 0-0.

This is expected to be a close game, with Burnley perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Burnley as a small favourite), we find nine games. Burnley has won three of these, drawn three and lost three.

The Burnley fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 20 in 15 matches. 19 goals have been conceded.

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Watford form and stats

There's been little loot from Watford's travels as they have only collected 10 points from 15 away games in the Premier League. Watford only have 2 wins to counter their 9 defeats and 4 draws. The travelling fans think it's time that their travel expenses are covered with some points now, as Watford have lost on their last two travels.

Watford lost away at Crystal Palace (0-1) in their previous game and are perhaps starting to feel homesick. Before that, Watford secured a home win against Liverpool with the score 3-0.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found eleven similar matches played by Watford in our archives, and the results are: five wins for Watford, three draws and three defeats.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Watford as they have only managed to score 11 times from 15 away games in the league. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Watford have conceded 27 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Watford - Burnley 0-3. Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Burnley won four games, four matches ended with a draw and Watford has two wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: five / five

Top Goalscorers

BurnleyC. Wood
C. Wood
11 goals
BurnleyA. Barnes
A. Barnes
6 goals
WatfordT. Deeney
T. Deeney
6 goals

Burnley missing players

Watford missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Burnley Watford
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
29 15 5 Played P 5 15 29
11 7 4 Won W 0 2 6
6 2 0 Drew D 3 4 9
12 6 1 Lost L 2 9 14
34 20 12 Scored S 3 11 27
40 19 2 Conceded C 5 27 44
93% 93% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 86%
79% 80% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 87% 79%
55% 53% 80% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 33% 48%
14% 13% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 7% 14%
10% 13% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 7% 7%
38% 33% 20% BTTS BTTS 60% 40% 38%
38% 47% 80% Clean Sheets C S 0% 13% 31%
31% 27% 0% Failed to Score F T 40% 47% 45%
 
4.8 5.5 7 Corners for (avg) C F 4.6 4.3 4.6
5.8 5.1 4.2 Corners against (avg) C A 7.6 6 5.4
2 1.7 1.4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.2 2.1 2.2
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 3
 
292 174 66 Total Shots T S 40 130 331
93 59 23 Shots on Target S O 12 42 92
37% 34% 52% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 26% 29%
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Watford have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Watford haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Liverpool 29 27 1 1 66 21 15 15 0 0 40 12 14 12 1 1 26 9 45 82
2 Manchester City 28 18 3 7 68 31 13 9 2 2 33 12 15 9 1 5 35 19 37 57
3 Leicester City 29 16 5 8 58 28 15 9 3 3 30 15 14 7 2 5 28 13 30 53
4 Chelsea 29 14 6 9 51 39 15 7 3 5 22 15 14 7 3 4 29 24 12 48
5 Manchester United 29 12 9 8 44 30 15 8 5 2 29 12 14 4 4 6 15 18 14 45
6 Wolverhampton Wanderers 29 10 13 6 41 34 15 5 7 3 21 17 14 5 6 3 20 17 7 43
7 Sheffield United 28 11 10 7 30 25 15 7 3 5 17 13 13 4 7 2 13 12 5 43
8 Tottenham Hotspur 29 11 8 10 47 40 14 8 2 4 27 15 15 3 6 6 20 25 7 41
9 Arsenal 28 9 13 6 40 36 15 7 5 3 26 20 13 2 8 3 14 16 4 40
10 Burnley 29 11 6 12 34 40 15 7 2 6 20 19 14 4 4 6 14 21 -6 39
11 Crystal Palace 29 10 9 10 26 32 15 6 4 5 12 13 14 4 5 5 14 19 -6 39
12 Everton 29 10 7 12 37 46 14 7 4 3 19 15 15 3 3 9 18 31 -9 37
13 Newcastle United 29 9 8 12 25 41 14 5 6 3 12 12 15 4 2 9 13 29 -16 35
14 Southampton 29 10 4 15 35 52 15 4 2 9 16 31 14 6 2 6 19 21 -17 34
15 Brighton & Hove Albion 29 6 11 12 32 40 14 4 6 4 17 15 15 2 5 8 15 25 -8 29
16 West Ham United 29 7 6 16 35 50 14 4 3 7 23 26 15 3 3 9 12 24 -15 27
17 Watford 29 6 9 14 27 44 14 4 5 5 16 17 15 2 4 9 11 27 -17 27
18 AFC Bournemouth 29 7 6 16 29 47 14 4 5 5 17 21 15 3 1 11 12 26 -18 27
19 Aston Villa 28 7 4 17 34 56 13 5 2 6 18 24 15 2 2 11 16 32 -22 25
20 Norwich City 29 5 6 18 25 52 14 4 3 7 19 26 15 1 3 11 6 26 -27 21

Burnley:
Watford:
Premier League:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Liverpool 29 27 1 1 66 21 15 15 0 0 40 12 14 12 1 1 26 9 45 82
2 Manchester City 28 18 3 7 68 31 13 9 2 2 33 12 15 9 1 5 35 19 37 57
3 Leicester City 29 16 5 8 58 28 15 9 3 3 30 15 14 7 2 5 28 13 30 53
4 Chelsea 29 14 6 9 51 39 15 7 3 5 22 15 14 7 3 4 29 24 12 48
5 Manchester United 29 12 9 8 44 30 15 8 5 2 29 12 14 4 4 6 15 18 14 45
6 Wolverhampton Wanderers 29 10 13 6 41 34 15 5 7 3 21 17 14 5 6 3 20 17 7 43
7 Sheffield United 28 11 10 7 30 25 15 7 3 5 17 13 13 4 7 2 13 12 5 43
8 Tottenham Hotspur 29 11 8 10 47 40 14 8 2 4 27 15 15 3 6 6 20 25 7 41
9 Arsenal 28 9 13 6 40 36 15 7 5 3 26 20 13 2 8 3 14 16 4 40
10 Burnley 29 11 6 12 34 40 15 7 2 6 20 19 14 4 4 6 14 21 -6 39
11 Crystal Palace 29 10 9 10 26 32 15 6 4 5 12 13 14 4 5 5 14 19 -6 39
12 Everton 29 10 7 12 37 46 14 7 4 3 19 15 15 3 3 9 18 31 -9 37
13 Newcastle United 29 9 8 12 25 41 14 5 6 3 12 12 15 4 2 9 13 29 -16 35
14 Southampton 29 10 4 15 35 52 15 4 2 9 16 31 14 6 2 6 19 21 -17 34
15 Brighton & Hove Albion 29 6 11 12 32 40 14 4 6 4 17 15 15 2 5 8 15 25 -8 29
16 West Ham United 29 7 6 16 35 50 14 4 3 7 23 26 15 3 3 9 12 24 -15 27
17 Watford 29 6 9 14 27 44 14 4 5 5 16 17 15 2 4 9 11 27 -17 27
18 AFC Bournemouth 29 7 6 16 29 47 14 4 5 5 17 21 15 3 1 11 12 26 -18 27
19 Aston Villa 28 7 4 17 34 56 13 5 2 6 18 24 15 2 2 11 16 32 -22 25
20 Norwich City 29 5 6 18 25 52 14 4 3 7 19 26 15 1 3 11 6 26 -27 21

More from England - Premier League

Read more about Premier League

The English Premier League is the top level of the English football league pyramid. 20 teams play 38 fixtures each to see who tops the Premier League table. The Premier League is the most watched sports league in the world. Seasons run from August to May with most games on Saturdays and Sundays.