Premier League prediction and preview: Burnley modest favorites to beat Aston Villa

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Competition: England Premier League
Date: Wed 01.January
Match begins: 12:30 (UTC)
Venue: Turf Moor (21401 seats)

An important duel in the bottom section of the league table, with both teams experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic “six-pointer” with the home team placed 15th and the visitors in 16th place.

It's no vacation for neither Burnley nor Aston Villa as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Burnley form and stats

Burnley have collected 15 points from their Premier League home games so far after 5-0-6. Burnley has three losses from their three previous games and the tension is increasing in the dressing room for both the manager S. Dyche and the players. We have seen two home losses in a row now for Burnley, who are hoping that the phrase “third time lucky” applies to them.

The Burnley crowd went home unhappy last time out, seeing their beloved players lose 1-2 to Aston Villa here at Turf Moor in a Premier League match. Before that game, the home loss against Manchester United with the scoreline 0-2.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Burnley handle that role? We have found seven games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The win/draw/lost stats in these games are W5-D0-L2.

Burnley has scored 14 league goals at home this season, in 11 matches. Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 17 goals have been conceded.

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Aston Villa form and stats

Aston Villa, who have the most conceded goals (23) away in Premier League, have only collected 7 points from their away games in the Premier League, after 2-1-8 (11 played).

Aston Villa play their second away game in a row, but can be confident going into this one after the 2-1 victory visiting Burnley (placed 15th). It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Watford wasn't a success with a 0-3 loss.

Aston Villa are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. From a total of six matches.

Aston Villa find the net in their away games, although not all the time. 14 goals from 11 away fixtures in the league. Aston Villa have conceded 23 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

Burnley and Aston Villa have met before this season: Burnley - Aston Villa 1-2. H2H stats regardless of arena (last eight matches): Burnley 1 win, 3 draws and Aston Villa 4 victories. As for goals, 4 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 4 games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

BurnleyC. Wood
C. Wood
8 goals
BurnleyA. Barnes
A. Barnes
6 goals
Aston VillaJ. Grealish
J. Grealish
6 goals

Burnley missing players

Aston Villa missing players

Burnley Aston Villa
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
21 11 2 Played P 2 11 21
7 5 2 Won W 1 2 6
3 0 0 Drew D 0 1 3
11 6 0 Lost L 1 8 12
24 14 5 Scored S 5 14 27
34 17 0 Conceded C 4 23 37
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 95%
81% 82% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 91% 86%
57% 55% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 82% 71%
19% 18% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 36% 33%
14% 18% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 18% 14%
38% 27% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 64% 62%
33% 45% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 19%
29% 27% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 36% 24%
 
5 5.7 9 Corners For (avg) C F 4.5 4.1 5
5.7 5.2 3.5 Corners Against (avg) C A 8 9.1 7.5
1.8 1.4 1 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 2 1.8 1.8
0 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 1 1
 
208 119 23 Total Shots T S 32 123 269
61 38 11 Shots on Target S O 13 51 93
39% 37% 45% Goal Efficiency G E 38% 27% 29%
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Aston Villa has the most conceded goals (23) away
  • Aston Villa has the most conceded goals in the second half (26)
  • Aston Villa have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Aston Villa have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Aston Villa have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Aston Villa have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Aston Villa haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Burnley haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Liverpool 19 18 1 0 47 14 10 10 0 0 27 9 9 8 1 0 20 5 33 55
2 Leicester City 21 14 3 4 46 19 10 7 2 1 19 9 11 7 1 3 27 10 27 45
3 Manchester City 20 13 2 5 54 23 10 7 1 2 27 9 10 6 1 3 27 14 31 41
4 Chelsea 21 11 3 7 36 29 10 4 2 4 11 10 11 7 1 3 25 19 7 36
5 Manchester United 20 8 7 5 32 23 10 5 4 1 20 10 10 3 3 4 12 13 9 31
6 Tottenham Hotspur 21 8 6 7 36 30 10 6 2 2 21 10 11 2 4 5 15 20 6 30
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 21 7 9 5 30 27 10 4 4 2 16 14 11 3 5 3 14 13 3 30
8 Sheffield United 20 7 8 5 23 19 10 4 2 4 12 10 10 3 6 1 11 9 4 29
9 Crystal Palace 20 7 6 7 18 22 10 4 3 3 9 9 10 3 3 4 9 13 -4 27
10 Everton 20 7 4 9 23 30 10 5 2 3 12 11 10 2 2 6 11 19 -7 25
11 Southampton 21 7 4 10 25 38 11 3 2 6 11 25 10 4 2 4 14 13 -13 25
12 Newcastle United 21 7 4 10 20 33 11 4 4 3 11 12 10 3 0 7 9 21 -13 25
13 Arsenal 20 5 9 6 26 30 10 3 4 3 15 17 10 2 5 3 11 13 -4 24
14 Brighton & Hove Albion 21 6 6 9 25 29 11 4 4 3 15 12 10 2 2 6 10 17 -4 24
15 Burnley 21 7 3 11 24 34 11 5 0 6 14 17 10 2 3 5 10 17 -10 24
16 Aston Villa 21 6 3 12 27 37 10 4 2 4 13 14 11 2 1 8 14 23 -10 21
17 AFC Bournemouth 20 5 5 10 20 28 10 2 4 4 10 14 10 3 1 6 10 14 -8 20
18 West Ham United 19 5 4 10 21 32 9 2 1 6 12 19 10 3 3 4 9 13 -11 19
19 Watford 21 4 7 10 17 34 11 3 4 4 11 14 10 1 3 6 6 20 -17 19
20 Norwich City 20 3 4 13 21 40 10 2 2 6 16 24 10 1 2 7 5 16 -19 13

Burnley:
Aston Villa:
Premier League:
England:

Read more about Premier League

The English Premier League is the top level of the English football league pyramid. 20 teams play 38 fixtures each to see who tops the Premier League table. The Premier League is the most watched sports league in the world. Seasons run from August to May with most games on Saturdays and Sundays.