Premier League prediction and preview: Brighton & Hove Albion modest favorites to beat AFC Bournemouth

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Competition: England Premier League
Date: Sat 28.December
Match begins: 12:30 (UTC)
Venue: American Express Community Stadium (30750 seats)

An important duel in the bottom section of the league table, with both teams experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic “six-pointer” with the home team placed 14th and the visitors in 16th place.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Brighton & Hove Albion and AFC Bournemouth.

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Brighton & Hove Albion form and stats

When playing at home in the Premier League, Brighton & Hove Albion have managed 4 wins, 3 draws and suffered 3 defeats from 10 games.

Brighton & Hove Albion's previous game was a Premier League match also played at home, ending 2-0 versus AFC Bournemouth (placed 16th). The home side are looking to build on that result. A defeat was the result before that one, 1-2 away at Tottenham Hotspur.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Brighton & Hove Albion have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eight games) they have won 3 times, drawn 1 and lost 4.

The Brighton & Hove Albion fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 14 in 10 matches. On the other hand, Brighton & Hove Albion have conceded 11 goals.

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AFC Bournemouth form and stats

AFC Bournemouth have only collected 10 points from their away games in the Premier League, after 3-1-6 (10 played).

Two away games in a row for AFC Bournemouth, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 0-1 versus Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League. Preceding that match was the 1-1 draw at home vs Arsenal.

We have checked recent matches where AFC Bournemouth have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those six games were W1-D2-L3.

AFC Bournemouth find the net in their away games, although not all the time. 10 goals from 10 away fixtures in the league. 14 goals have been conceded by AFC Bournemouth in these games.

Head 2 Head

These teams' last encounter with each other was the Brighton & Hove Albion - AFC Bournemouth 2-0 earlier this season. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: 2 wins for Brighton & Hove Albion, 2 draws and 6 wins for AFC Bournemouth. Over 2,5 goals: 5 times; under 2,5 goals: 5 games.

Top Goalscorers

Brighton & Hove AlbionN. Maupay
N. Maupay
7 goals
AFC BournemouthH. Wilson
H. Wilson
6 goals
AFC BournemouthC. Wilson
C. Wilson
5 goals

Brighton & Hove Albion missing players

AFC Bournemouth missing players

Brighton & Hove Albion AFC Bournemouth
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
20 10 3 Played P 3 10 20
6 4 1 Won W 2 3 5
5 3 1 Drew D 1 1 5
9 3 1 Lost L 0 6 10
24 14 3 Scored S 5 10 20
28 11 3 Conceded C 2 13 27
95% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 90% 90%
90% 90% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 50% 60%
50% 30% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 50% 50%
20% 20% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 30% 30%
5% 10% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 10% 5%
50% 40% 33% BTTS BTTS 67% 50% 55%
25% 30% 33% Clean Sheets C S 33% 20% 20%
30% 30% 33% Failed to Score F T 33% 40% 35%
 
4.5 5.3 8 Corners For (avg) C F 6.7 5.7 5.2
5.2 4.5 4.7 Corners Against (avg) C A 6.3 6.6 6.2
1.5 1.1 0.3 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 2.7 2.1 2.1
2 1 1 Red Cards R C 0 0 1
 
255 137 53 Total Shots T S 35 106 201
86 40 15 Shots on Target S O 13 34 67
28% 35% 20% Goal Efficiency G E 38% 29% 30%
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Brighton & Hove Albion haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Liverpool 18 17 1 0 46 14 9 9 0 0 26 9 9 8 1 0 20 5 32 52
2 Leicester City 19 12 3 4 41 18 10 7 2 1 19 9 9 5 1 3 22 9 23 39
3 Manchester City 19 12 2 5 52 23 9 6 1 2 25 9 10 6 1 3 27 14 29 38
4 Chelsea 19 10 2 7 33 27 10 4 2 4 11 10 9 6 0 3 22 17 6 32
5 Wolverhampton Wanderers 19 7 9 3 29 24 10 4 4 2 16 14 9 3 5 1 13 10 5 30
6 Tottenham Hotspur 19 8 5 6 34 27 10 6 2 2 21 10 9 2 3 4 13 17 7 29
7 Sheffield United 19 7 8 4 23 17 10 4 2 4 12 10 9 3 6 0 11 7 6 29
8 Manchester United 19 7 7 5 30 23 10 5 4 1 20 10 9 2 3 4 10 13 7 28
9 Crystal Palace 20 7 6 7 18 22 10 4 3 3 9 9 10 3 3 4 9 13 -4 27
10 Everton 20 7 4 9 23 30 10 5 2 3 12 11 10 2 2 6 11 19 -7 25
11 Newcastle United 20 7 4 9 20 30 10 4 4 2 11 9 10 3 0 7 9 21 -10 25
12 Arsenal 19 5 9 5 25 28 9 3 4 2 14 15 10 2 5 3 11 13 -3 24
13 Burnley 19 7 3 9 23 30 9 5 0 4 13 13 10 2 3 5 10 17 -7 24
14 Brighton & Hove Albion 20 6 5 9 24 28 10 4 3 3 14 11 10 2 2 6 10 17 -4 23
15 Southampton 20 6 4 10 24 38 10 2 2 6 10 25 10 4 2 4 14 13 -14 22
16 AFC Bournemouth 20 5 5 10 20 28 10 2 4 4 10 14 10 3 1 6 10 14 -8 20
17 West Ham United 18 5 4 9 20 30 8 2 1 5 11 17 10 3 3 4 9 13 -10 19
18 Aston Villa 20 5 3 12 25 36 10 4 2 4 13 14 10 1 1 8 12 22 -11 18
19 Watford 20 3 7 10 15 33 10 2 4 4 9 13 10 1 3 6 6 20 -18 16
20 Norwich City 19 3 3 13 19 38 9 2 1 6 14 22 10 1 2 7 5 16 -19 12

Brighton & Hove Albion:
AFC Bournemouth:
Premier League:
England:

Read more about Premier League

The English Premier League is the top level of the English football league pyramid. 20 teams play 38 fixtures each to see who tops the Premier League table. The Premier League is the most watched sports league in the world. Seasons run from August to May with most games on Saturdays and Sundays.