Premier League prediction and preview: Arsenal modest favorites to beat Leeds United

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Competition: England Premier League
Competition: Sun 14.February
Match begins: 16:30 (UTC)
Venue: Emirates Stadium (60272 seats)

Getting closer to the top teams is at stake when these two mid-table clubs battle it out. Both will be aiming to improve their league table standing, Arsenal in 11th and Leeds United in 10th place.

Insights:
  • Arsenal has the fewest conceded goals in the second half (8) in Premier League
  • Leeds United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

This should be an interesting game with lots of spark and energy as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Game on!

L L D W L

Arsenal form and stats

Arsenal have played 11 Premier League games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 4-3-4 (wins-draws-losses).

No payout for Arsenal in their previous match, an away game at Aston Villa that ended in defeat 0-1. Heartbreak before that as Arsenal lost 1-2 at Wolverhampton Wanderers's place.

Arsenal's goalkeeper Mathew Ryan was extremely busy against Aston Villa, saving the team from a uglier defeat with a stunning seven saves.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Arsenal's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played two games, won zero matches, drawn two and lost zero.

Arsenal are traveling soon after this match as the Europa League match at Benfica awaits in four days.

The Arsenal fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 12 in 11 matches. Arsenal's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 11 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

W L W W L

Leeds United form and stats

6-0-5 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Leeds United in their Premier League matches away. Winning streaks in away matches are not that common, but Leeds are close to a proper streak after winning their two previous away games.

Leeds United are travelling after their nice 2-0 home win in the Premier League against Crystal Palace (placed 13th). A 1-2 loss hosting Everton before that.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Leeds playing away, we found one game. Results were zero away wins, zero draws and one home win.

Leeds have scored more than twice on average per away game (in the league), an impressive attacking display. They have 22 goals from 11 away matches. Leeds have conceded 22 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

Arsenal and Leeds United have met before this season: Leeds United - Arsenal 0-0. Arsenal-Leeds United H2H statistics last four meetings regardless of arena: Arsenal two wins, Leeds United zero wins, two draws. one of these four matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

Leeds UnitedP. Bamford
P. Bamford
12 goals
ArsenalA. Lacazette
A. Lacazette
8 goals
Leeds UnitedJ. Harrison
J. Harrison
6 goals

Arsenal missing players

Leeds United missing players

Arsenal Leeds United
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
23 11 3 Played P 4 11 22
9 4 0 Won W 2 6 10
4 3 2 Drew D 0 0 2
10 4 1 Lost L 2 5 10
27 12 1 Scored S 5 22 38
23 11 4 Conceded C 7 22 38
87% 82% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 95%
61% 64% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 82% 73%
52% 55% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 82% 64%
17% 9% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 55% 41%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 36% 32%
39% 45% 33% BTTS BTTS 25% 55% 55%
35% 27% 33% Clean Sheets C S 50% 36% 32%
39% 45% 67% Failed to Score F T 25% 9% 18%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.6 1.4 1.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.8 1.5 1.5
5 2 1 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
12 13.1 11.7 Shots (avg) S ( 18.5 14.4 14.6
3.9 4.3 3.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5.2 5.4 5.5
30% 26% 9% Goal Efficiency G E 24% 37% 31%
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Arsenal has the fewest conceded goals in the second half (8) in Premier League
  • Arsenal have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Leeds United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Leeds United haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Manchester City 22 15 5 2 43 14 11 8 2 1 22 7 11 7 3 1 21 7 29 50
2 Manchester United 23 13 6 4 49 30 12 5 3 4 25 18 11 8 3 0 24 12 19 45
3 Leicester City 23 13 4 6 39 25 11 5 1 5 16 15 12 8 3 1 23 10 14 43
4 Liverpool 23 11 7 5 44 29 12 7 2 3 22 14 11 4 5 2 22 15 15 40
5 Chelsea 23 11 6 6 38 24 11 5 4 2 21 11 12 6 2 4 17 13 14 39
6 West Ham United 23 11 6 6 34 28 11 5 3 3 16 14 12 6 3 3 18 14 6 39
7 Everton 21 11 4 6 34 28 10 4 2 4 16 15 11 7 2 2 18 13 6 37
8 Tottenham Hotspur 22 10 6 6 36 22 12 5 3 4 17 13 10 5 3 2 19 9 14 36
9 Aston Villa 21 11 2 8 36 24 10 5 1 4 19 14 11 6 1 4 17 10 12 35
10 Leeds United 22 10 2 10 38 38 11 4 2 5 16 16 11 6 0 5 22 22 0 32
11 Arsenal 23 9 4 10 27 23 11 4 3 4 12 11 12 5 1 6 15 12 4 31
12 Southampton 22 8 5 9 29 37 11 5 1 5 15 13 11 3 4 4 14 24 -8 29
13 Crystal Palace 23 8 5 10 27 39 11 4 3 4 14 18 12 4 2 6 13 21 -12 29
14 Wolverhampton Wanderers 23 7 6 10 23 31 12 4 4 4 14 14 11 3 2 6 9 17 -8 27
15 Brighton & Hove Albion 23 5 10 8 25 30 11 1 6 4 11 15 12 4 4 4 14 15 -5 25
16 Newcastle United 23 7 4 12 25 38 12 4 2 6 15 21 11 3 2 6 10 17 -13 25
17 Burnley 22 6 5 11 14 29 11 4 2 5 9 13 11 2 3 6 5 16 -15 23
18 Fulham 22 2 9 11 17 31 12 1 4 7 7 17 10 1 5 4 10 14 -14 15
19 West Bromwich Albion 23 2 6 15 18 54 11 1 3 7 7 31 12 1 3 8 11 23 -36 12
20 Sheffield United 23 3 2 18 15 37 12 2 1 9 9 18 11 1 1 9 6 19 -22 11

Arsenal:
Leeds United:
Premier League:
England:

Read more about Premier League

The English Premier League is the top level of the English football league pyramid. 20 teams play 38 fixtures each to see who tops the Premier League table. The Premier League is the most watched sports league in the world. Seasons run from August to May with most games on Saturdays and Sundays.