Non League Premier: Southern South news and pre-match guide: Tiverton Town odds-on expected to overcome Merthyr Town

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Competition: England Non League Premier: Southern South
Competition: Sat 19.November
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Ladysmead (3500 seats)

Tiverton Town have performed excellent football this season, being 7th position in the table. Merthyr Town have a view both ways from the 12th spot.

Insights:
  • Merthyr Town have won significantly more corners away than at home.

It’s a hectic schedule for the away team, as they were in action only four days ago in the Non League Premier: Southern South. That game was also an away game, at Hendon. It will be interesting to see if they are fully ready and rested for this match, and/or if some changes in the lineup is necessary.

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Tiverton Town form and stats

Overall Non League Premier: Southern South statistics playing at home this season for Tiverton Town are 4-3-2 (wins-draws-losses). The opportunity of a proper winning streak is there for the hosts, with two straight wins here at Ladysmead.

Tiverton Town's previous game was also played at home, ending 1-0 versus Hartley Wintney (placed 19th). The home side are looking to build on that result.

In the game before, an away victory match versus Winchester City with a 2-1 scoreline.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Tiverton Town have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 8 games) they have won 4 times, drawn 1 and lost 3.

Observe: 10 of the latest 12 league matches from these players have had goals from both teams.

The Tiverton fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 15 goals in 9 league matches. Tiverton Town have conceded 14 from these games.

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Merthyr Town form and stats

4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. That’s the product of Merthyr Town playing as the away team in the Non League Premier: Southern South this season.

Merthyr Town are the visiting side once again, their previous game being the 1-1 draw at Hendon (placed 21st).

The game before that, was lost at home, a 2-3 defeat against Weston-super-Mare.

Merthyr are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 4 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. From a total of 7 matches.

Betting fact: Both teams have scored at least one goal in 9 of this club's last 12 league games.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Merthyr Town have scored 11 goals in 8 league games away. They concede less than a goal on average per away game (7 so far).

Head 2 Head

The participants have met each other previously this season, with the match result Merthyr Town - Tiverton 2-0 logged in the official records. Previous ten meetings featuring these sides: Tiverton Town won three, Merthyr Town triumphed in five and we saw two draws. eight games with over 2,5 goals, two matches with two goals or less.

Tiverton Town missing players

Merthyr Town missing players

Tiverton Town Merthyr Town
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
17 9 3 Played P 2 8 16
8 4 1 Won W 0 4 6
3 3 1 Drew D 1 2 3
6 2 1 Lost L 1 2 7
27 15 6 Scored S 1 11 26
29 14 7 Conceded C 2 7 24
94% 89% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 50% 88% 94%
82% 78% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 75% 88%
65% 56% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 38% 62%
35% 44% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 12% 38%
29% 33% 67% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 19%
71% 78% 100% BTTS BTTS 50% 50% 69%
12% 22% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 50% 31%
24% 11% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 12% 6%
 
3.2 3 0 Corners for (avg) C F 6 3.5 2.5
4.8 3 0 Corners against (avg) C A 3 3.8 4.8
2 1 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 0.5 0.5
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
7.2 5 0 Shots (avg) S ( 4 6.2 4.5
4.8 3.5 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 3.5 2.5
47% 71% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 43% 60%
 
12.5 7.5 0 Shots against (avg) S A 11 8 7
4.5 2.5 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 7 3 2.5
Key stats in Non League Premier: Southern South this season:
  • Merthyr Town have won significantly more corners away than at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Truro City 15 12 3 0 39 10 7 5 2 0 20 2 8 7 1 0 19 8 29 39
2 Weston-super-Mare 15 12 2 1 42 13 8 7 0 1 26 7 7 5 2 0 16 6 29 38
3 Chesham United 17 9 6 2 29 17 9 6 3 0 17 8 8 3 3 2 12 9 12 33
4 Poole Town 17 8 4 5 34 25 7 3 1 3 16 14 10 5 3 2 18 11 9 28
5 Swindon Supermarine 16 8 3 5 30 25 9 6 2 1 20 11 7 2 1 4 10 14 5 27
6 Dorchester Town 17 8 3 6 25 26 9 6 0 3 16 14 8 2 3 3 9 12 -1 27
7 Tiverton Town 17 8 3 6 27 29 9 4 3 2 15 14 8 4 0 4 12 15 -2 27
8 Metropolitan Police FC 16 8 1 7 30 27 6 3 0 3 11 11 10 5 1 4 19 16 3 25
9 Hanwell Town 18 7 3 8 23 27 9 5 0 4 14 12 9 2 3 4 9 15 -4 24
10 Bracknell Town 14 6 5 3 31 21 7 2 3 2 15 12 7 4 2 1 16 9 10 23
11 Salisbury 17 7 1 9 24 28 9 4 0 5 11 16 8 3 1 4 13 12 -4 22
12 Merthyr Town 16 6 3 7 26 24 8 2 1 5 15 17 8 4 2 2 11 7 2 21
13 Beaconsfield Town 16 6 3 7 23 24 9 3 1 5 11 14 7 3 2 2 12 10 -1 21
14 Hayes & Yeading United 15 5 5 5 23 23 7 3 2 2 11 10 8 2 3 3 12 13 0 20
15 Winchester City 16 5 5 6 24 29 9 1 3 5 9 16 7 4 2 1 15 13 -5 20
16 Harrow Borough 17 5 4 8 23 33 8 3 1 4 8 10 9 2 3 4 15 23 -10 19
17 Plymouth Parkway 13 5 2 6 27 30 7 4 1 2 19 11 6 1 1 4 8 19 -3 17
18 Gosport Borough 17 5 1 11 25 35 8 4 1 3 17 15 9 1 0 8 8 20 -10 16
19 Hartley Wintney 17 4 2 11 20 28 9 3 2 4 13 14 8 1 0 7 7 14 -8 14
20 Yate Town 16 3 4 9 24 37 8 1 3 4 13 17 8 2 1 5 11 20 -13 13
21 Hendon 15 3 4 8 17 30 7 1 3 3 5 7 8 2 1 5 12 23 -13 13
22 North Leigh 17 2 3 12 12 37 8 1 3 4 9 15 9 1 0 8 3 22 -25 9