Merthyr Town v Swindon Supermarine betting guide: Not much separates the two teams

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Competition: England Non League Premier: Southern South
Competition: Mon 18.April
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Penydarren Park (10000 seats)

Non League Premier: Southern South: Merthyr Town are 25 points behind Swindon Supermarine, but are psyched to go full throttle. Get this show on the road!

Insights:
  • Merthyr Town have the fewest clean sheets (3) in Non League Premier: Southern South
  • Swindon Supermarine haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

Merthyr Town have had a bad season and will be relegated from Non League Premier: Southern South. Swindon Supermarine is no longer fighting for a cause; they can neither go up or down this season.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Merthyr Town and Swindon Supermarine.

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Merthyr Town form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories in the Non League Premier: Southern South this season. Merthyr Town, who have the fewest clean sheets (3) in Non League Premier: Southern South, have only managed 3 wins, 2 draws and 15 losses from their games here at Penydarren Park.

Merthyr are returning here after visiting Beaconsfield Town and winning with a 4-3 scoreline. A goal frenzy last time out for Merthyr Town, with a total of 7 goals in the match against Beaconsfield Town. Fun stuff to watch!

Preceding that match was the home game against Chesham United that was lost 0-3.

This is expected to be a close game, with Merthyr Town perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Merthyr Town as a small favourite), we find ten games. Merthyr Town has won four of these, drawn three and lost three.

Merthyr Town are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 23 goals in 20 games. Goals are flowing in at the wrong end for Merthyr with 43 goals conceded in these matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 5 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Swindon Supermarine form and stats

Swindon Supermarine have only collected 17 points from their away games in the Non League Premier: Southern South, after 4-5-11 (20 played). Swindon Supermarine has recorded two wins in a row in their away matches and hold legitimate hopes of a third one.

Supermarine had fun at their own home (Penydarren Park) last time out, beating Wimborne Town 3-1.

Preceding that game was the away victory against Kings Langley with the score of 2-1.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Swindon Supermarine playing away and similar expectations, we found 15 relevant matches. Results were six Swindon Supermarine wins, four draws and five defeats.

The visiting Swindon Supermarine have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 22 goals from 20 games. Swindon Supermarine's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 35 goals from these trips. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

This isn't the first time these sides get together this season, as the history books show this recent match: Swindon Supermarine - Merthyr 2-0. Head-to-head statistics (for the previous ten meetings): Merthyr Town won five games, two matches ended in a draw and Swindon Supermarine managed three wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: eight / two

Merthyr Town missing players

Swindon Supermarine missing players

Merthyr Town Swindon Supermarine
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
40 20 6 Played P 7 20 40
6 3 0 Won W 2 4 14
8 2 0 Drew D 0 5 9
26 15 6 Lost L 5 11 17
46 23 4 Scored S 8 22 58
85 43 14 Conceded C 15 35 62
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 98%
95% 95% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 71% 85% 80%
68% 75% 83% Over 2.5 O 2.5 71% 55% 57%
42% 40% 17% Over 3.5 O 3.5 29% 25% 32%
18% 20% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 29% 10% 15%
57% 45% 67% BTTS BTTS 71% 65% 62%
8% 15% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 5% 12%
35% 40% 33% Failed to Score F T 29% 30% 28%
 
1.7 2.1 1.2 Corners for (avg) C F 0 1.8 1.9
2.2 1.1 1.2 Corners against (avg) C A 0 2.7 3.8
1 0.8 0.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 0.8 1
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
3.7 2.8 2.5 Shots (avg) S ( 0 2.5 5
1.5 1.1 1.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 1.3 2.3
59% 89% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 100% 74%
 
6.4 5.1 6.2 Shots against (avg) S A 0 4 5.1
2.5 1.9 2.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 0 2 2.1
Key stats in Non League Premier: Southern South this season:
  • Merthyr Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Merthyr Town have the fewest clean sheets (3) in Non League Premier: Southern South
  • Merthyr Town have the fewest points (11) at home in Non League Premier: Southern South
  • Merthyr Town have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Merthyr Town haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Swindon Supermarine haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Taunton Town 40 26 7 7 80 41 20 17 2 1 53 19 20 9 5 6 27 22 39 85
2 Hayes & Yeading United 40 25 7 8 96 37 20 15 1 4 56 19 20 10 6 4 40 18 59 82
3 Farnborough 40 25 7 8 70 42 20 14 3 3 38 16 20 11 4 5 32 26 28 82
4 Metropolitan Police FC 40 23 9 8 66 40 20 9 7 4 28 19 20 14 2 4 38 21 26 78
5 Chesham United 40 21 11 8 75 48 20 13 6 1 48 22 20 8 5 7 27 26 27 74
6 Weston-super-Mare 40 21 9 10 66 40 20 10 5 5 35 21 20 11 4 5 31 19 26 72
7 Yate Town 40 20 9 11 64 46 20 8 6 6 29 28 20 12 3 5 35 18 18 69
8 Truro City 40 19 10 11 60 49 20 11 5 4 28 18 20 8 5 7 32 31 11 67
9 Gosport Borough 40 17 9 14 62 55 20 10 4 6 34 25 20 7 5 8 28 30 7 60
10 Poole Town 40 17 7 16 65 65 20 12 3 5 35 28 20 5 4 11 30 37 0 58
11 Walton Casuals 40 16 8 16 52 60 20 10 6 4 33 28 20 6 2 12 19 32 -8 56
12 Tiverton Town 40 15 8 17 61 60 20 8 5 7 28 22 20 7 3 10 33 38 1 53
13 Swindon Supermarine 40 14 9 17 58 62 20 10 4 6 36 27 20 4 5 11 22 35 -4 51
14 Harrow Borough 40 15 6 19 61 75 20 9 4 7 31 32 20 6 2 12 30 43 -14 51
15 Salisbury 39 13 9 17 49 72 19 5 5 9 21 33 20 8 4 8 28 38 -23 48
16 Beaconsfield Town 40 13 7 20 68 86 20 7 5 8 45 40 20 6 2 12 23 46 -18 46
17 Hendon 40 13 5 22 50 66 20 9 0 11 27 32 20 4 5 11 23 34 -16 44
18 Hartley Wintney 40 13 4 23 54 71 20 10 1 9 25 25 20 3 3 14 29 46 -17 43
19 Dorchester Town 39 11 4 24 40 56 20 7 2 11 25 26 19 4 2 13 14 30 -16 37
20 Kings Langley 40 7 10 23 43 66 20 4 6 10 27 25 20 3 4 13 16 41 -23 31
21 Merthyr Town 40 6 8 26 46 85 20 3 2 15 23 43 20 3 6 11 23 42 -39 26
22 Wimborne Town 40 4 7 29 33 97 20 3 3 14 18 47 20 1 4 15 15 50 -64 19