Non League Premier: Southern South forecast and data: Gosport Borough odds-on thought to outplay Hartley Wintney

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Competition: England Non League Premier: Southern South
Competition: Mon 10.April
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Privett Park (4500 seats)

Fixate on their own tactics or make adjustments according to the opposing team? Both Gosport Borough and Hartley Wintney should try something different than earlier this season. Read more!

Insights:
  • Gosport Borough have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Hartley Wintney have the fewest scored goals (37) in Non League Premier: Southern South

It's no vacation for neither Gosport Borough nor Hartley Wintney as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Gosport Borough form and stats

6 victories, 3 draws and 9 defeats. That’s what Gosport Borough have to build on here at Privett Park in the Non League Premier: Southern South.

Gosport Borough faced defeat in their previous match, away at Tiverton Town (0-1).

Before that match, a win away at Harrow Borough.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Gosport have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 9 games) they have won 3 times, drawn 3 and lost 3.

It should be noted that a look at the 11 most recent league fixtures shows that 9 of them qualified as a both teams not to score result (only one or none of the sides scored a goal).

The Gosport Borough fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 26 in 18 matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 0 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 33 goals have been conceded.

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Hartley Wintney form and stats

There's been little loot from Hartley Wintney's travels as they have only collected 11 points from 19 away games in the Non League Premier: Southern South. Hartley Wintney only have 3 wins to counter their 14 defeats and 2 draws.

Hartley have succeeded in guarding their own goal lately, led by their goalkeeper. It's been 194 minutes since they last conceded in Non League Premier: Southern South.

Hartley Wintney's last game ended in a draw, the home match versus Weston-super-Mare that finished 0-0.

That result followed a home victory 1-0 versus Harrow Borough.

Hartley Wintney are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 2 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats. From a total of 16 matches.

A tale of few goals? 10 of this side's last 11 league fixtures have seen zero, one or two goals.

The visitors have scored 12 goals from 19 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Hartley have conceded 35 goals in these games. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

This isn't the first time these sides face each other this season, as the results database show this recent game: Hartley Wintney - Gosport Borough 3-1. Stats for the former eight meetings involving these two teams are: two wins for Gosport, two draws and four wins for Hartley Wintney. Over 2,5 goals: two times; under 2,5 goals: six games.

Gosport Borough missing players

Hartley Wintney missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Gosport Borough Hartley Wintney
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
38 18 5 Played P 5 19 39
11 6 1 Won W 1 3 8
5 3 1 Drew D 0 2 8
22 9 3 Lost L 4 14 23
52 26 5 Scored S 2 12 37
73 33 8 Conceded C 7 35 70
97% 94% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 95% 92%
82% 83% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 40% 53% 64%
63% 67% 40% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 47% 54%
50% 56% 40% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 32% 31%
24% 22% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 16% 18%
58% 56% 40% BTTS BTTS 20% 37% 49%
13% 11% 20% Clean Sheets C S 20% 11% 18%
32% 39% 40% Failed to Score F T 60% 58% 41%
 
2.2 2.1 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0.8 2.4 1.7
2.5 2.1 0 Corners against (avg) C A 1 3.2 2.2
0.9 0.7 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.2 0.8 0.6
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
4.7 4.9 0 Shots (avg) S ( 1.8 4.2 3.5
2.2 2.3 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0.8 1.4 1.2
49% 38% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 18% 35%
 
5.9 6.2 0 Shots against (avg) S A 3 6.8 4.7
3.1 3.2 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 1.2 3.2 2.1
Key stats in Non League Premier: Southern South this season:
  • Gosport Borough have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Gosport Borough have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Hartley Wintney have scored away.
  • Hartley Wintney have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Hartley Wintney have the fewest scored goals (12) away in Non League Premier: Southern South
  • Hartley Wintney have the fewest scored goals (37) in Non League Premier: Southern South
  • Hartley Wintney have won significantly more corners away than at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Weston-super-Mare 38 25 8 5 81 29 18 13 2 3 44 16 20 12 6 2 37 13 52 83
2 Bracknell Town 37 24 6 7 90 49 19 11 4 4 44 26 18 13 2 3 46 23 41 78
3 Truro City 37 23 8 6 78 37 17 12 5 0 39 8 20 11 3 6 39 29 41 77
4 Chesham United 39 21 10 8 79 51 20 12 6 2 42 22 19 9 4 6 37 29 28 73
5 Poole Town 38 20 11 7 74 48 20 10 7 3 41 27 18 10 4 4 33 21 26 71
6 Swindon Supermarine 38 19 8 11 77 60 19 12 4 3 40 25 19 7 4 8 37 35 17 65
7 Hayes & Yeading United 37 18 7 12 68 53 18 11 4 3 37 20 19 7 3 9 31 33 15 61
8 Metropolitan Police FC 38 18 7 13 59 50 18 10 2 6 25 21 20 8 5 7 34 29 9 61
9 Merthyr Town 39 18 6 15 71 58 19 8 1 10 37 33 20 10 5 5 34 25 13 60
10 Beaconsfield Town 39 15 11 13 69 64 20 9 3 8 40 37 19 6 8 5 29 27 5 56
11 Plymouth Parkway 36 14 8 14 55 54 18 10 5 3 41 19 18 4 3 11 14 35 1 50
12 Tiverton Town 36 14 8 14 56 62 18 9 4 5 29 25 18 5 4 9 27 37 -6 50
13 Salisbury 38 14 6 18 52 61 19 5 4 10 22 33 19 9 2 8 30 28 -9 48
14 Dorchester Town 39 14 6 19 50 70 19 10 1 8 31 30 20 4 5 11 19 40 -20 48
15 Hanwell Town 39 12 7 20 48 62 19 8 2 9 28 28 20 4 5 11 20 34 -14 43
16 Winchester City 38 10 12 16 50 65 20 5 7 8 25 30 18 5 5 8 25 35 -15 42
17 Gosport Borough 38 11 5 22 52 73 18 6 3 9 26 33 20 5 2 13 26 40 -21 38
18 Hendon 37 9 10 18 51 68 20 5 7 8 27 30 17 4 3 10 24 38 -17 37
19 Hartley Wintney 39 8 8 23 37 70 20 5 6 9 25 35 19 3 2 14 12 35 -33 32
20 North Leigh 38 9 5 24 44 78 19 6 3 10 25 34 19 3 2 14 19 44 -34 32
21 Harrow Borough 39 7 10 22 38 77 20 5 2 13 17 37 19 2 8 9 21 40 -39 31
22 Yate Town 39 8 7 24 46 86 20 4 5 11 28 43 19 4 2 13 18 43 -40 31

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Weston-super-Mare 38 25 8 5 81 29 18 13 2 3 44 16 20 12 6 2 37 13 52 83
2 Bracknell Town 37 24 6 7 90 49 19 11 4 4 44 26 18 13 2 3 46 23 41 78
3 Truro City 37 23 8 6 78 37 17 12 5 0 39 8 20 11 3 6 39 29 41 77
4 Chesham United 39 21 10 8 79 51 20 12 6 2 42 22 19 9 4 6 37 29 28 73
5 Poole Town 38 20 11 7 74 48 20 10 7 3 41 27 18 10 4 4 33 21 26 71
6 Swindon Supermarine 38 19 8 11 77 60 19 12 4 3 40 25 19 7 4 8 37 35 17 65
7 Hayes & Yeading United 37 18 7 12 68 53 18 11 4 3 37 20 19 7 3 9 31 33 15 61
8 Metropolitan Police FC 38 18 7 13 59 50 18 10 2 6 25 21 20 8 5 7 34 29 9 61
9 Merthyr Town 39 18 6 15 71 58 19 8 1 10 37 33 20 10 5 5 34 25 13 60
10 Beaconsfield Town 39 15 11 13 69 64 20 9 3 8 40 37 19 6 8 5 29 27 5 56
11 Plymouth Parkway 36 14 8 14 55 54 18 10 5 3 41 19 18 4 3 11 14 35 1 50
12 Tiverton Town 36 14 8 14 56 62 18 9 4 5 29 25 18 5 4 9 27 37 -6 50
13 Salisbury 38 14 6 18 52 61 19 5 4 10 22 33 19 9 2 8 30 28 -9 48
14 Dorchester Town 39 14 6 19 50 70 19 10 1 8 31 30 20 4 5 11 19 40 -20 48
15 Hanwell Town 39 12 7 20 48 62 19 8 2 9 28 28 20 4 5 11 20 34 -14 43
16 Winchester City 38 10 12 16 50 65 20 5 7 8 25 30 18 5 5 8 25 35 -15 42
17 Gosport Borough 38 11 5 22 52 73 18 6 3 9 26 33 20 5 2 13 26 40 -21 38
18 Hendon 37 9 10 18 51 68 20 5 7 8 27 30 17 4 3 10 24 38 -17 37
19 Hartley Wintney 39 8 8 23 37 70 20 5 6 9 25 35 19 3 2 14 12 35 -33 32
20 North Leigh 38 9 5 24 44 78 19 6 3 10 25 34 19 3 2 14 19 44 -34 32
21 Harrow Borough 39 7 10 22 38 77 20 5 2 13 17 37 19 2 8 9 21 40 -39 31
22 Yate Town 39 8 7 24 46 86 20 4 5 11 28 43 19 4 2 13 18 43 -40 31

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