Non League Premier: Southern Central match prediction: Little separates Barwell and Leiston in quality

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Competition: England Non League Premier: Southern Central
Competition: Sat 22.January
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Kirkby Road (2500 seats)

Both Barwell and Leiston are hungry for points in this fixture, in spite of the visitors having a 12 point advantage in the league table.

Insights:
  • Barwell have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Leiston have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

D L D W L

Barwell form and stats

The Non League Premier: Southern Central stats at home this season for Barwell are 3-3-5 (wins-draws-losses).

A draw after 90 minutes last time out for Barwell, who played 2-2 against Peterborough Sports. That match was also played at this venue (Kirkby Road).

Preceding that match was a defeat to Lowestoft Town (1-4).

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Barwell have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found twelve matches with the results: Won three, drawn two and lost seven.

A decent goal production from Barwell in their home games so far, with 18 goals from 11 league matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Barwell defense is not exactly impregnable. 19 goals conceded from 11 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

W W D L L

Leiston form and stats

The visitors are W5-D0-L7 on the road this term. That's in the Non League Premier: Southern Central. Winning streaks in away matches are not that common, but Leiston are close to a proper streak after winning their two previous away games.

Two travels in a row for Leiston, whose manager Wigger could celebrate last time after the Non League Premier: Southern Central win against Royston Town.

Before that one, a nice away victory 5-3 at Lowestoft Town.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found six similar matches played by Leiston in our archives, and the results are: two wins for Leiston, one draw and three defeats.

A new game in only three days for Leiston, the Non League Premier: Southern Central home match versus Biggleswade Town. Busy days.

Leiston has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches in the league this season, 22 goals from 12 games. Leiston have conceded 28 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

It's not the first time these parties face each other this campaign, as the records show this recent fixture: Leiston - Barwell 2-1. Barwell-Leiston H2H statistics last five meetings regardless of arena: Barwell three wins, Leiston one win, one draw. three of these five matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Barwell missing players

Leiston missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Barwell Leiston
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
27 11 3 Played P 5 12 23
6 3 1 Won W 2 5 12
8 3 2 Drew D 0 0 2
13 5 0 Lost L 3 7 9
39 18 3 Scored S 12 22 43
51 19 2 Conceded C 12 28 43
96% 91% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
81% 64% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 96%
63% 64% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 80% 83% 78%
48% 55% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 80% 67% 48%
22% 27% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 60% 42% 30%
63% 55% 33% BTTS BTTS 60% 67% 78%
19% 27% 67% Clean Sheets C S 20% 8% 9%
22% 27% 33% Failed to Score F T 20% 25% 13%
 
4.9 5.9 5 Corners for (avg) C F 2.5 2.6 3.6
4.3 5.5 6 Corners against (avg) C A 4.5 4 3.3
1.4 1.9 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 1 1
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
10.4 13 18 Shots (avg) S ( 13 11.6 10.1
5.3 7.4 14 Shots on Target (avg) S O 6.5 5.6 4.8
29% 25% 7% Goal Efficiency G E 46% 32% 39%
 
9.9 11.9 17 Shots against (avg) S A 12 15.8 9.9
4.5 5.2 4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 7.5 8.4 4.7
Key stats in Non League Premier: Southern Central this season:
  • All of Leiston's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Barwell have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Barwell have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Leiston have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Leiston have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Leiston haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Banbury United 26 22 3 1 60 20 13 11 2 0 31 11 13 11 1 1 29 9 40 69
2 Coalville Town 25 16 5 4 57 27 13 11 2 0 37 8 12 5 3 4 20 19 30 53
3 Peterborough Sports 24 16 2 6 67 30 12 8 0 4 34 13 12 8 2 2 33 17 37 50
4 Rushall Olympic 24 12 9 3 46 27 10 6 3 1 25 12 14 6 6 2 21 15 19 45
5 Alvechurch 27 13 6 8 38 28 14 9 2 3 25 13 13 4 4 5 13 15 10 45
6 AFC Rushden & Diamonds 25 12 4 9 34 30 14 6 2 6 18 16 11 6 2 3 16 14 4 40
7 Leiston 23 12 2 9 43 43 11 7 2 2 21 15 12 5 0 7 22 28 0 38
8 Royston Town 27 10 6 11 42 38 14 3 5 6 20 20 13 7 1 5 22 18 4 36
9 Tamworth 24 9 4 11 29 33 12 5 2 5 18 14 12 4 2 6 11 19 -4 31
10 Hednesford Town 23 7 9 7 40 39 13 4 6 3 25 21 10 3 3 4 15 18 1 30
11 Stourbridge 24 8 5 11 35 47 12 3 4 5 17 21 12 5 1 6 18 26 -12 29
12 St Ives Town 27 8 5 14 38 70 13 5 2 6 19 34 14 3 3 8 19 36 -32 29
13 Needham Market 22 6 9 7 38 36 11 2 6 3 16 16 11 4 3 4 22 20 2 27
14 Stratford Town 23 8 3 12 28 40 11 4 2 5 14 16 12 4 1 7 14 24 -12 27
15 Bromsgrove Sporting 24 6 9 9 21 36 12 5 1 6 11 20 12 1 8 3 10 16 -15 27
16 Barwell 27 6 8 13 39 51 11 3 3 5 18 19 16 3 5 8 21 32 -12 26
17 Redditch United 25 6 7 12 24 37 13 4 3 6 14 19 12 2 4 6 10 18 -13 25
18 Biggleswade Town 24 5 8 11 32 33 13 5 4 4 26 17 11 0 4 7 6 16 -1 23
19 Hitchin Town 24 6 5 13 30 38 11 4 0 7 15 21 13 2 5 6 15 17 -8 23
20 Lowestoft Town 24 6 5 13 32 55 12 4 4 4 19 21 12 2 1 9 13 34 -23 23
21 Nuneaton Town 26 5 6 15 36 51 14 3 5 6 18 21 12 2 1 9 18 30 -15 21

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Banbury United 26 22 3 1 60 20 13 11 2 0 31 11 13 11 1 1 29 9 40 69
2 Coalville Town 25 16 5 4 57 27 13 11 2 0 37 8 12 5 3 4 20 19 30 53
3 Peterborough Sports 24 16 2 6 67 30 12 8 0 4 34 13 12 8 2 2 33 17 37 50
4 Rushall Olympic 24 12 9 3 46 27 10 6 3 1 25 12 14 6 6 2 21 15 19 45
5 Alvechurch 27 13 6 8 38 28 14 9 2 3 25 13 13 4 4 5 13 15 10 45
6 AFC Rushden & Diamonds 25 12 4 9 34 30 14 6 2 6 18 16 11 6 2 3 16 14 4 40
7 Leiston 23 12 2 9 43 43 11 7 2 2 21 15 12 5 0 7 22 28 0 38
8 Royston Town 27 10 6 11 42 38 14 3 5 6 20 20 13 7 1 5 22 18 4 36
9 Tamworth 24 9 4 11 29 33 12 5 2 5 18 14 12 4 2 6 11 19 -4 31
10 Hednesford Town 23 7 9 7 40 39 13 4 6 3 25 21 10 3 3 4 15 18 1 30
11 Stourbridge 24 8 5 11 35 47 12 3 4 5 17 21 12 5 1 6 18 26 -12 29
12 St Ives Town 27 8 5 14 38 70 13 5 2 6 19 34 14 3 3 8 19 36 -32 29
13 Needham Market 22 6 9 7 38 36 11 2 6 3 16 16 11 4 3 4 22 20 2 27
14 Stratford Town 23 8 3 12 28 40 11 4 2 5 14 16 12 4 1 7 14 24 -12 27
15 Bromsgrove Sporting 24 6 9 9 21 36 12 5 1 6 11 20 12 1 8 3 10 16 -15 27
16 Barwell 27 6 8 13 39 51 11 3 3 5 18 19 16 3 5 8 21 32 -12 26
17 Redditch United 25 6 7 12 24 37 13 4 3 6 14 19 12 2 4 6 10 18 -13 25
18 Biggleswade Town 24 5 8 11 32 33 13 5 4 4 26 17 11 0 4 7 6 16 -1 23
19 Hitchin Town 24 6 5 13 30 38 11 4 0 7 15 21 13 2 5 6 15 17 -8 23
20 Lowestoft Town 24 6 5 13 32 55 12 4 4 4 19 21 12 2 1 9 13 34 -23 23
21 Nuneaton Town 26 5 6 15 36 51 14 3 5 6 18 21 12 2 1 9 18 30 -15 21

More from England - Non League Premier: Southern Central

Read more about Non League Premier: Southern Central

The Southern Football League consists of four divisions: Central Division and South Division (at the seventh highest division level of English football) and Division One Central / Division One South (eight highest level). Teams come from the South West of England, southern Midlands and South Wales.