Football betting preview: Witton Albion vs Buxton

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Competition: England Non League Premier: Northern
Date: Sat 04.January
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Wincham Park Stadium (4813 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Witton Albion are in the 10th position while the guests worry at 19th.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Witton Albion and Buxton.

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Witton Albion form and stats

Overall Non League Premier: Northern stats at home this season for Witton Albion are 7-1-4 (wins-draw-losses). We have seen two home losses in a row now for Witton Albion, who are hoping that the phrase “third time lucky” applies to them.

Witton Albion's previous game was also a home match, the defeat 1-2 versus Nantwich Town (placed 8th). 1-1 away at Warrington Town before that.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Witton Albion have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found ten games) they have won 4 times, drawn 2 and lost 4.

Witton Albion have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Wincham Park Stadium with 21 goals in 12 league matches. 15 goals have been conceded.

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Buxton form and stats

Buxton have only collected 7 points from their away games in the Non League Premier: Northern, after 1-4-5 (10 played).

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a Non League Premier: Northern home defeat versus Hyde United with 1-2 on the scoreboard. Before that one, a nice away victory 4-2 at Matlock Town.

Buxton are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats. From a total of seven matches.

Buxton find the net in their away games, although not all the time. 12 goals from 10 away fixtures in the league. For Buxton, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

Buxton - Witton Albion 2-0 was the story when these teams last met, earlier this season. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's 4 Witton Albion victories, 1 draw and 5 Buxton wins. 5 of these games ended with three goals or more, 5 matches with two goals or less.

Witton Albion missing players

Buxton missing players

Witton Albion Buxton
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
22 12 4 Played P 5 10 22
8 7 3 Won W 0 1 4
7 1 0 Drew D 2 4 7
7 4 1 Lost L 3 5 11
29 21 7 Scored S 7 12 35
26 15 4 Conceded C 12 24 39
91% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 90% 91%
68% 67% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 90% 86%
41% 58% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 80% 60% 59%
32% 50% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 60% 50% 36%
14% 17% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 30% 27%
55% 58% 50% BTTS BTTS 100% 70% 64%
27% 33% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 10% 23%
27% 8% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 30% 23%
 
3.2 4.3 5.5 Corners For (avg) C F 4 3.7 4.1
6.2 5.2 7.5 Corners Against (avg) C A 5 5.9 5.2
1.8 2.1 1.5 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 2 1.4 1.3
1 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 1
 
126 85 23 Total Shots T S 29 62 188
60 41 14 Shots on Target S O 13 22 83
35% 37% 29% Goal Efficiency G E 31% 23% 33%
Key stats in Non League Premier: Northern this season:
  • Buxton has the most dropped points from leading position (20)
  • Buxton have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Witton Albion has the most matches under the total-line (13)
  • Witton Albion have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Witton Albion have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Witton Albion haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 South Shields 21 13 3 5 34 18 12 8 2 2 23 7 9 5 1 3 11 11 16 42
2 Lancaster City 24 12 6 6 42 31 11 6 4 1 16 9 13 6 2 5 26 22 11 42
3 United of Manchester 21 11 5 5 46 30 12 7 1 4 31 18 9 4 4 1 15 12 16 38
4 Basford United 21 10 6 5 37 29 10 6 2 2 22 15 11 4 4 3 15 14 8 36
5 Stalybridge Celtic 23 11 3 9 32 31 11 5 1 5 20 20 12 6 2 4 12 11 1 36
6 Warrington Town 21 9 8 4 35 28 11 5 3 3 19 14 10 4 5 1 16 14 7 35
7 Radcliffe Borough 20 11 2 7 25 19 10 7 2 1 15 4 10 4 0 6 10 15 6 35
8 Nantwich Town 20 10 4 6 36 29 10 7 1 2 21 13 10 3 3 4 15 16 7 34
9 Hyde United 24 9 6 9 41 37 11 4 4 3 23 15 13 5 2 6 18 22 4 33
10 Witton Albion 22 8 7 7 29 26 12 7 1 4 21 15 10 1 6 3 8 11 3 31
11 Mickleover Sports 21 9 3 9 28 31 9 4 1 4 10 12 12 5 2 5 18 19 -3 30
12 Scarborough Athletic 24 8 6 10 27 37 11 4 6 1 12 7 13 4 0 9 15 30 -10 30
13 Morpeth Town 16 8 4 4 26 19 7 5 2 0 15 5 9 3 2 4 11 14 7 28
14 Bamber Bridge 25 8 4 13 40 48 13 6 3 4 28 20 12 2 1 9 12 28 -8 28
15 Whitby Town 18 8 3 7 29 26 9 4 2 3 12 11 9 4 1 4 17 15 3 27
16 Matlock Town 20 7 3 10 26 30 10 3 2 5 14 16 10 4 1 5 12 14 -4 24
17 Grantham Town 21 5 7 9 26 47 11 5 2 4 16 21 10 0 5 5 10 26 -21 22
18 Atherton Collieries 18 6 3 9 25 33 9 4 1 4 18 18 9 2 2 5 7 15 -8 21
19 Buxton 22 4 7 11 35 39 12 3 3 6 23 15 10 1 4 5 12 24 -4 19
20 Gainsborough Trinity 20 4 6 10 28 32 11 3 4 4 14 14 9 1 2 6 14 18 -4 18
21 Ashton United 18 4 4 10 21 33 8 1 2 5 7 16 10 3 2 5 14 17 -12 15
22 Stafford Rangers 20 2 6 12 15 30 10 1 4 5 6 12 10 1 2 7 9 18 -15 12

Read more about Non League Premier: Northern

The Northern Premier League holds three divisions; the Premier Division, Division One East and Division One West. The Premier Division is at the seventh highest division level in England, while Division One East/West are at eight level. The league covers Northern England and the northern/central Midlands areas.