Home advantage could prove decisive in Whitby Town - Gainsborough Trinity battle

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Competition: England Non League Premier: Northern
Competition: Sat 23.April
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Turnbull Ground (3200 seats)

Whitby Town are favourites to win this home game against Gainsborough Trinity, if the league positions are to be trusted. Or could we be looking at a possible?

Insights:
  • Whitby Town have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Gainsborough Trinity have the most dropped points from leading position (30) in Non League Premier: Northern

Whitby Town can neither be promoted or relegated from Non League Premier: Northern. Gainsborough are fighting to avoid relegation and will work hard for points.

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

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Whitby Town form and stats

9-6-5 (win-draw-lost) are the Non League Premier: Northern numbers at home for Whitby Town so far this season.

It's back home for Whitby Town, who return with a good feeling about themselves after beating South Shields away with the result 3-2.

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Ashton United in a game that was won 2-0.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Whitby Town have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found ten games) they have won three times, drawn four and lost three.

Whitby are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 26 goals in 20 games. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 2 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Whitby Town are not conceding a lot of goals here at Turnbull Ground in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 18 from 20 matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Gainsborough Trinity form and stats

Gainsborough Trinity have only collected 10 points from their away games in the Non League Premier: Northern, after 2-4-14 (20 played). Gainsborough seem to be suffering from homesickness with two consecutive losses away. Third time lucky?

There were no winners in Gainsborough Trinity's previous match, the home game that ended 2-2 vs Grantham Town (placed 22nd). It looked so good for Gainsborough vs Grantham Town, but the job was not completed and victory was lost as a 2-0 lead was turned into a 2-2 draw.

Preceding that game, the 0-2 loss visiting Scarborough Athletic's place.

We have checked recent matches where Gainsborough Trinity have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those eleven games were one victory, four draws and six defeats.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Gainsborough Trinity as they have only managed to score 12 times from 20 away games in the league. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Gainsborough struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 34 goals conceded from these games. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 3 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

Here's what happened when the contenders faced each other earlier this season; Gainsborough Trinity - Whitby Town 1-0. Head-2-head stats last six meetings: one - one - four (Whitby wins - draws - Gainsborough Trinity wins). As for goals, three matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), three had two or less. The games between these teams have sometimes been brutal, having seen 3 sending-offs from the last six encounters.

Whitby Town missing players

Gainsborough Trinity missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Whitby Town Gainsborough Trinity
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
41 20 7 Played P 6 20 41
19 9 2 Won W 0 2 11
9 6 2 Drew D 0 4 14
13 5 3 Lost L 6 14 16
56 26 4 Scored S 2 12 38
48 18 4 Conceded C 15 34 51
88% 85% 71% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 95% 93%
68% 65% 29% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 75% 73%
46% 40% 14% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 30% 27%
24% 20% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 15% 15%
15% 5% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 17% 10% 7%
41% 30% 0% BTTS BTTS 33% 40% 49%
39% 50% 57% Clean Sheets C S 0% 15% 27%
32% 35% 71% Failed to Score F T 67% 50% 32%
 
1.9 0.7 0 Corners for (avg) C F 1 2.8 3.3
2 0.3 0 Corners against (avg) C A 1.5 3.4 3.8
0.4 0 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.5 1.3 1.3
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
4 1.4 0 Shots (avg) S ( 1.8 5.4 6.4
2 0.8 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0.5 2.2 3
81% 200% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 100% 34% 35%
 
5.4 1.3 0 Shots against (avg) S A 4.5 7.8 8.3
2.3 0.5 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2.2 3.7 3.8
Key stats in Non League Premier: Northern this season:
  • Gainsborough Trinity have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Gainsborough Trinity have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Gainsborough Trinity have the fewest matches over the total-line (7) in Non League Premier: Northern
  • Gainsborough Trinity have the fewest points (10) away in Non League Premier: Northern
  • Gainsborough Trinity have the fewest points from losing position (2) in Non League Premier: Northern
  • Gainsborough Trinity have the fewest scored goals (12) away in Non League Premier: Northern
  • Gainsborough Trinity have the most dropped points from leading position (30) in Non League Premier: Northern
  • Gainsborough Trinity have the the worst goal difference (-22) away in Non League Premier: Northern
  • Whitby Town have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Gainsborough Trinity have scored away.
  • Whitby Town have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Whitby Town have won significantly less corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Buxton 41 23 12 6 80 37 21 14 5 2 48 17 20 9 7 4 32 20 43 81
2 South Shields 41 23 9 9 71 39 21 15 2 4 47 21 20 8 7 5 24 18 32 78
3 Warrington Town 41 20 11 10 67 45 21 10 5 6 36 24 20 10 6 4 31 21 22 71
4 Scarborough Athletic 41 20 11 10 56 46 20 9 7 4 30 21 21 11 4 6 26 25 10 71
5 Matlock Town 41 20 10 11 57 36 20 9 6 5 29 15 21 11 4 6 28 21 21 70
6 Whitby Town 41 19 9 13 56 48 20 9 6 5 26 18 21 10 3 8 30 30 8 66
7 Bamber Bridge 41 20 6 15 66 59 20 9 4 7 34 29 21 11 2 8 32 30 7 66
8 United of Manchester 41 18 7 16 66 55 20 12 2 6 38 22 21 6 5 10 28 33 11 61
9 Morpeth Town 41 17 9 15 66 58 21 12 5 4 35 21 20 5 4 11 31 37 8 60
10 Stafford Rangers 41 14 16 11 50 39 20 5 8 7 21 18 21 9 8 4 29 21 11 58
11 Lancaster City 41 17 6 18 44 48 21 10 4 7 18 16 20 7 2 11 26 32 -4 57
12 Mickleover Sports 41 14 10 17 51 64 20 8 6 6 31 29 21 6 4 11 20 35 -13 52
13 Ashton United 41 13 12 16 50 54 21 9 6 6 26 22 20 4 6 10 24 32 -4 51
14 Nantwich Town 41 14 9 18 45 51 21 8 4 9 24 27 20 6 5 9 21 24 -6 51
15 Radcliffe Borough 41 15 6 20 54 68 21 10 1 10 34 35 20 5 5 10 20 33 -14 51
16 Stalybridge Celtic 41 14 7 20 50 59 20 8 3 9 28 29 21 6 4 11 22 30 -9 49
17 Atherton Collieries 41 13 8 20 33 44 20 7 4 9 19 19 21 6 4 11 14 25 -11 47
18 Gainsborough Trinity 41 11 14 16 38 51 21 9 10 2 26 17 20 2 4 14 12 34 -13 47
19 Hyde United 41 13 8 20 50 65 21 9 2 10 29 34 20 4 6 10 21 31 -15 47
20 Basford United 41 12 9 20 32 45 21 5 7 9 17 19 20 7 2 11 15 26 -13 45
21 Witton Albion 41 11 7 23 44 78 20 6 2 12 23 37 21 5 5 11 21 41 -34 40
22 Grantham Town 41 7 10 24 44 81 20 3 4 13 22 39 21 4 6 11 22 42 -37 31

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Buxton 41 23 12 6 80 37 21 14 5 2 48 17 20 9 7 4 32 20 43 81
2 South Shields 41 23 9 9 71 39 21 15 2 4 47 21 20 8 7 5 24 18 32 78
3 Warrington Town 41 20 11 10 67 45 21 10 5 6 36 24 20 10 6 4 31 21 22 71
4 Scarborough Athletic 41 20 11 10 56 46 20 9 7 4 30 21 21 11 4 6 26 25 10 71
5 Matlock Town 41 20 10 11 57 36 20 9 6 5 29 15 21 11 4 6 28 21 21 70
6 Whitby Town 41 19 9 13 56 48 20 9 6 5 26 18 21 10 3 8 30 30 8 66
7 Bamber Bridge 41 20 6 15 66 59 20 9 4 7 34 29 21 11 2 8 32 30 7 66
8 United of Manchester 41 18 7 16 66 55 20 12 2 6 38 22 21 6 5 10 28 33 11 61
9 Morpeth Town 41 17 9 15 66 58 21 12 5 4 35 21 20 5 4 11 31 37 8 60
10 Stafford Rangers 41 14 16 11 50 39 20 5 8 7 21 18 21 9 8 4 29 21 11 58
11 Lancaster City 41 17 6 18 44 48 21 10 4 7 18 16 20 7 2 11 26 32 -4 57
12 Mickleover Sports 41 14 10 17 51 64 20 8 6 6 31 29 21 6 4 11 20 35 -13 52
13 Ashton United 41 13 12 16 50 54 21 9 6 6 26 22 20 4 6 10 24 32 -4 51
14 Nantwich Town 41 14 9 18 45 51 21 8 4 9 24 27 20 6 5 9 21 24 -6 51
15 Radcliffe Borough 41 15 6 20 54 68 21 10 1 10 34 35 20 5 5 10 20 33 -14 51
16 Stalybridge Celtic 41 14 7 20 50 59 20 8 3 9 28 29 21 6 4 11 22 30 -9 49
17 Atherton Collieries 41 13 8 20 33 44 20 7 4 9 19 19 21 6 4 11 14 25 -11 47
18 Gainsborough Trinity 41 11 14 16 38 51 21 9 10 2 26 17 20 2 4 14 12 34 -13 47
19 Hyde United 41 13 8 20 50 65 21 9 2 10 29 34 20 4 6 10 21 31 -15 47
20 Basford United 41 12 9 20 32 45 21 5 7 9 17 19 20 7 2 11 15 26 -13 45
21 Witton Albion 41 11 7 23 44 78 20 6 2 12 23 37 21 5 5 11 21 41 -34 40
22 Grantham Town 41 7 10 24 44 81 20 3 4 13 22 39 21 4 6 11 22 42 -37 31

More from England - Non League Premier: Northern

Read more about Non League Premier: Northern

The Northern Premier League holds three divisions; the Premier Division, Division One East and Division One West. The Premier Division is at the seventh highest division level in England, while Division One East/West are at eight level. The league covers Northern England and the northern/central Midlands areas.