Non League Premier: Northern prediction and data: Stafford Rangers modest betting favourite to beat Lancaster City

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Competition: England Non League Premier: Northern
Competition: Sat 19.March
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Marston Road (4150 seats)

Home team gets the points, the away team with a heroic away win or a point each? Anything can happen when the mid-table sides Stafford Rangers and Lancaster City clash at Marston Road.

Insights:
  • Stafford Rangers have the fewest conceded goals (30) in Non League Premier: Northern
  • Lancaster City have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Lancaster City could be less fresh than the hosts in this fixture, as they played a Non League Premier: Northern game only four sleeps ago.

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Stafford Rangers form and stats

4-8-5 (win-draw-lost) are the Non League Premier: Northern numbers at home for Stafford Rangers so far this season. Stafford Rangers haven’t lost a league-game in 13 attempts regardless of arena, a great achievement. Their last loss was the fixture versus United of Manchester, 98 days ago.

An away draw last time out for Stafford Rangers, facing Scarborough Athletic in a game that ended 1-1.

Preceding that game was the home draw versus Mickleover Sports that ended 1-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Stafford have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eight games) they have won one time, drawn five and lost two.

The manager Banim will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to Witton Albion in only three days.

Stafford Rangers aren't scoring a lot here at Marston Road in the league, with only 16 goals from 17 games. Stafford Rangers are not conceding a lot of goals here at Marston Road in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 14 from 17 matches.

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Lancaster City form and stats

As the visiting team in Non League Premier: Northern matches, Lancaster City have produced an overall stat of 6-1-10 so far. Lancaster seem to be suffering from homesickness with two consecutive losses away. Third time lucky?

Did you know that the longest clean sheet streak is 1816 minutes? This record is held by Mazaropi when he played in Vasco da Gama. Lancaster City goalkeeper is eager to challenge this, with his 206 minutes of keeping balls out from the net.

Lancaster City are travelling after their nice 1-0 home win in the match against South Shields (placed 2nd).

A draw for Lancaster before that, at their own venue hosting Hyde United (0-0).

We have checked recent matches where Lancaster City have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those twelve games were five victories, three draws and four defeats.

A new game in only three days for Lancaster City, the Non League Premier: Northern home match versus Morpeth Town. Busy days.

Lancaster find the net regularly in their away games. 24 goals from 17 away fixtures in the league. Lancaster City struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 28 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

The latest recorded match between these teams is the Lancaster City - Stafford Rangers 0-2 played not long ago this season. Head-to-head statistics (for the previous nine meetings): Stafford Rangers won two games, five matches ended with a tie and Lancaster City got two wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: four / five

Stafford Rangers missing players

Lancaster City missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Stafford Rangers Lancaster City
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
34 17 3 Played P 5 17 34
12 4 1 Won W 0 6 14
15 8 1 Drew D 1 1 4
7 5 1 Lost L 4 10 16
42 16 4 Scored S 3 24 39
30 14 4 Conceded C 8 28 42
85% 82% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 94%
68% 65% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 40% 71% 62%
29% 18% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 53% 35%
24% 12% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 40% 35% 21%
6% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 18% 12%
53% 41% 67% BTTS BTTS 40% 47% 32%
32% 35% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 24% 35%
29% 41% 33% Failed to Score F T 60% 29% 38%
 
3.2 3.1 4.3 Corners for (avg) C F 3.3 3.6 2.7
3.8 3.3 2.3 Corners against (avg) C A 5 3.2 2.5
0.8 0.5 0.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.7 1.2 0.9
2 1 0 Red cards R C 1 2 2
 
5.6 4.6 5.3 Shots (avg) S ( 10.7 7.8 5.4
2.3 2 2.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.7 3 2.1
53% 55% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 14% 56% 62%
 
5.7 4 3 Shots against (avg) S A 11 6.2 4.1
2.5 1.7 2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6.7 3.2 2
Key stats in Non League Premier: Northern this season:
  • Lancaster City have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Lancaster City have won significantly more corners away than at home.
  • Lancaster City haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Stafford Rangers have the fewest conceded goals (30) in Non League Premier: Northern
  • Stafford Rangers have the most matches under the total-line (22) in Non League Premier: Northern

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Buxton 35 20 9 6 70 34 18 12 4 2 44 17 17 8 5 4 26 17 36 69
2 South Shields 35 19 8 8 57 33 17 12 2 3 35 16 18 7 6 5 22 17 24 65
3 Matlock Town 34 19 6 9 55 33 17 9 3 5 29 15 17 10 3 4 26 18 22 63
4 Scarborough Athletic 35 17 9 9 48 43 18 8 6 4 28 21 17 9 3 5 20 22 5 60
5 Warrington Town 34 16 10 8 58 40 17 9 4 4 32 19 17 7 6 4 26 21 18 58
6 Whitby Town 34 16 7 11 46 40 17 8 4 5 24 18 17 8 3 6 22 22 6 55
7 Bamber Bridge 34 16 4 14 51 50 17 7 3 7 27 25 17 9 1 7 24 25 1 52
8 Stafford Rangers 34 12 15 7 42 30 17 4 8 5 16 14 17 8 7 2 26 16 12 51
9 United of Manchester 35 15 6 14 55 48 17 10 2 5 33 19 18 5 4 9 22 29 7 51
10 Morpeth Town 33 14 8 11 54 47 18 10 5 3 32 18 15 4 3 8 22 29 7 50
11 Ashton United 34 12 10 12 45 41 17 9 4 4 24 14 17 3 6 8 21 27 4 46
12 Lancaster City 34 14 4 16 39 42 17 8 3 6 15 14 17 6 1 10 24 28 -3 46
13 Atherton Collieries 32 13 5 14 28 31 15 7 3 5 18 13 17 6 2 9 10 18 -3 44
14 Basford United 34 11 8 15 29 38 17 5 7 5 17 15 17 6 1 10 12 23 -9 41
15 Radcliffe Borough 34 12 5 17 45 56 17 8 1 8 28 25 17 4 4 9 17 31 -11 41
16 Nantwich Town 34 11 6 17 38 46 17 5 3 9 17 23 17 6 3 8 21 23 -8 39
17 Stalybridge Celtic 33 11 5 17 42 49 16 6 3 7 23 25 17 5 2 10 19 24 -7 38
18 Gainsborough Trinity 34 9 11 14 32 45 17 8 7 2 21 14 17 1 4 12 11 31 -13 38
19 Hyde United 35 10 7 18 41 55 17 7 1 9 23 26 18 3 6 9 18 29 -14 37
20 Mickleover Sports 33 10 7 16 38 53 17 7 4 6 23 22 16 3 3 10 15 31 -15 37
21 Witton Albion 32 8 6 18 36 65 16 4 2 10 18 31 16 4 4 8 18 34 -29 30
22 Grantham Town 34 6 8 20 39 69 17 2 3 12 20 37 17 4 5 8 19 32 -30 26

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Buxton 35 20 9 6 70 34 18 12 4 2 44 17 17 8 5 4 26 17 36 69
2 South Shields 35 19 8 8 57 33 17 12 2 3 35 16 18 7 6 5 22 17 24 65
3 Matlock Town 34 19 6 9 55 33 17 9 3 5 29 15 17 10 3 4 26 18 22 63
4 Scarborough Athletic 35 17 9 9 48 43 18 8 6 4 28 21 17 9 3 5 20 22 5 60
5 Warrington Town 34 16 10 8 58 40 17 9 4 4 32 19 17 7 6 4 26 21 18 58
6 Whitby Town 34 16 7 11 46 40 17 8 4 5 24 18 17 8 3 6 22 22 6 55
7 Bamber Bridge 34 16 4 14 51 50 17 7 3 7 27 25 17 9 1 7 24 25 1 52
8 Stafford Rangers 34 12 15 7 42 30 17 4 8 5 16 14 17 8 7 2 26 16 12 51
9 United of Manchester 35 15 6 14 55 48 17 10 2 5 33 19 18 5 4 9 22 29 7 51
10 Morpeth Town 33 14 8 11 54 47 18 10 5 3 32 18 15 4 3 8 22 29 7 50
11 Ashton United 34 12 10 12 45 41 17 9 4 4 24 14 17 3 6 8 21 27 4 46
12 Lancaster City 34 14 4 16 39 42 17 8 3 6 15 14 17 6 1 10 24 28 -3 46
13 Atherton Collieries 32 13 5 14 28 31 15 7 3 5 18 13 17 6 2 9 10 18 -3 44
14 Basford United 34 11 8 15 29 38 17 5 7 5 17 15 17 6 1 10 12 23 -9 41
15 Radcliffe Borough 34 12 5 17 45 56 17 8 1 8 28 25 17 4 4 9 17 31 -11 41
16 Nantwich Town 34 11 6 17 38 46 17 5 3 9 17 23 17 6 3 8 21 23 -8 39
17 Stalybridge Celtic 33 11 5 17 42 49 16 6 3 7 23 25 17 5 2 10 19 24 -7 38
18 Gainsborough Trinity 34 9 11 14 32 45 17 8 7 2 21 14 17 1 4 12 11 31 -13 38
19 Hyde United 35 10 7 18 41 55 17 7 1 9 23 26 18 3 6 9 18 29 -14 37
20 Mickleover Sports 33 10 7 16 38 53 17 7 4 6 23 22 16 3 3 10 15 31 -15 37
21 Witton Albion 32 8 6 18 36 65 16 4 2 10 18 31 16 4 4 8 18 34 -29 30
22 Grantham Town 34 6 8 20 39 69 17 2 3 12 20 37 17 4 5 8 19 32 -30 26

More from England - Non League Premier: Northern

Read more about Non League Premier: Northern

The Northern Premier League holds three divisions; the Premier Division, Division One East and Division One West. The Premier Division is at the seventh highest division level in England, while Division One East/West are at eight level. The league covers Northern England and the northern/central Midlands areas.