Non League Premier: Northern match prediction: Little separates Morpeth Town and Basford United in quality

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: England Non League Premier: Northern
Competition: Tue 30.November
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Craik Park (1500 seats)

Non League Premier: Northern: Morpeth Town are 7 points short of Basford United, but are set to go full force. Let's start!

Insights:
  • Morpeth Town have the fewest matches under the total-line (3) in Non League Premier: Northern
  • Basford United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

It's no vacation for neither Morpeth nor Basford United as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

D D D W W

Morpeth Town form and stats

Morpeth Town shared the glory with Warrington Town (after extra-time, 3-5 on penalties) in their last match, an away game that ended all square 1-1.

Before that, Morpeth drew at home versus Matlock Town.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Morpeth have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found five matches with the results: Won three, drawn one and lost one.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the Non League Premier: Northern game versus Gainsborough Trinity in only four days. This game is also played here at Craik Park.

Morpeth Town have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Craik Park with 11 goals in 7 league matches. Morpeth have conceded 9 in these home matches.

L D L L W

Basford United form and stats

The travelling fans think it's time that their travel expenses are covered with some points now, as Basford have lost on their last two travels.

Basford are travelling again after losing away to Bamber Bridge in their previous match (0-1).

Preceding that match was the 1-1 draw at home vs Whitby Town.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Basford United playing away and similar expectations, we found 21 relevant matches. Results were ten Basford United wins, five draws and six defeats.

A quick return to home after this game, as Basford are hosting Stalybridge Celtic in the Non League Premier: Northern only four days away.

Basford United have scored 9 goals on their travels this season, from 9 away games in the league. Basford have conceded 12 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Data for the last two meetings involving these two teams are: zero wins for Morpeth, one draw and one win for Basford United. Over 2,5 goals: zero times; under 2,5 goals: two games.

Morpeth Town missing players

Basford United missing players

Morpeth Town Basford United
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
17 7 3 Played P 3 9 19
5 3 2 Won W 1 4 7
4 2 1 Drew D 1 1 5
8 2 0 Lost L 1 4 7
25 11 7 Scored S 2 9 20
29 9 3 Conceded C 4 12 22
94% 86% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 95%
94% 86% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 67% 68%
76% 71% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 44% 37%
47% 43% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 11% 16%
6% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 11% 5%
65% 71% 67% BTTS BTTS 33% 33% 42%
18% 29% 33% Clean Sheets C S 33% 33% 37%
24% 14% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 33% 26%
 
2.9 3.8 5 Corners for (avg) C F 0 4 4.1
4.6 3.5 4.7 Corners against (avg) C A 0 5 5.5
1.5 1.8 2.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 1.8 1.4
2 1 1 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
6.4 9 12 Shots (avg) S ( 0 4.7 5.8
3.5 5 6.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 2.5 2.5
40% 40% 35% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 47% 37%
 
6.2 5.5 7.3 Shots against (avg) S A 0 9.2 11.7
2.8 3 4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 0 2.5 3.3
Key stats in Non League Premier: Northern this season:
  • Basford United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Basford United haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Morpeth Town have the fewest matches under the total-line (3) in Non League Premier: Northern
  • Morpeth Town have won significantly more corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Bamber Bridge 20 13 2 5 41 23 10 5 2 3 22 12 10 8 0 2 19 11 18 41
2 Matlock Town 19 13 1 5 36 16 9 7 0 2 22 7 10 6 1 3 14 9 20 40
3 South Shields 19 12 4 3 33 15 10 6 2 2 19 9 9 6 2 1 14 6 18 40
4 Buxton 18 11 6 1 35 13 8 6 2 0 20 5 10 5 4 1 15 8 22 39
5 Whitby Town 19 10 3 6 22 19 9 5 1 3 10 6 10 5 2 3 12 13 3 33
6 Warrington Town 18 9 5 4 25 18 9 5 2 2 13 7 9 4 3 2 12 11 7 32
7 Stafford Rangers 19 7 6 6 21 14 10 3 3 4 10 8 9 4 3 2 11 6 7 27
8 Scarborough Athletic 18 8 3 7 22 27 10 4 2 4 14 14 8 4 1 3 8 13 -5 27
9 United of Manchester 20 8 2 10 29 26 10 6 1 3 20 9 10 2 1 7 9 17 3 26
10 Basford United 19 7 5 7 20 22 10 3 4 3 11 10 9 4 1 4 9 12 -2 26
11 Atherton Collieries 19 8 2 9 18 22 9 5 1 3 13 9 10 3 1 6 5 13 -4 26
12 Stalybridge Celtic 19 8 1 10 30 28 9 5 1 3 19 12 10 3 0 7 11 16 2 25
13 Lancaster City 19 8 1 10 25 26 10 5 0 5 10 10 9 3 1 5 15 16 -1 25
14 Radcliffe Borough 19 7 3 9 24 29 10 5 0 5 15 14 9 2 3 4 9 15 -5 24
15 Witton Albion 19 6 4 9 25 39 10 4 0 6 14 18 9 2 4 3 11 21 -14 22
16 Ashton United 18 5 6 7 22 21 9 4 3 2 14 9 9 1 3 5 8 12 1 21
17 Gainsborough Trinity 18 5 5 8 14 25 9 4 4 1 8 6 9 1 1 7 6 19 -11 20
18 Mickleover Sports 21 5 5 11 19 34 11 4 3 4 13 15 10 1 2 7 6 19 -15 20
19 Morpeth Town 17 5 4 8 25 29 7 3 2 2 11 9 10 2 2 6 14 20 -4 19
20 Nantwich Town 18 5 4 9 15 22 8 1 2 5 6 11 10 4 2 4 9 11 -7 19
21 Hyde United 19 6 1 12 23 33 10 5 1 4 15 13 9 1 0 8 8 20 -10 19
22 Grantham Town 19 3 3 13 19 42 10 0 2 8 8 23 9 3 1 5 11 19 -23 12

Read more about Non League Premier: Northern

The Northern Premier League holds three divisions; the Premier Division, Division One East and Division One West. The Premier Division is at the seventh highest division level in England, while Division One East/West are at eight level. The league covers Northern England and the northern/central Midlands areas.