Non League Premier: Isthmian match prediction: Little separates Wingate & Finchley and Bognor Regis Town in quality

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Competition: England Non League Premier: Isthmian
Competition: Sat 29.January
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: The Maurice Rebak Stadium

Wingate & Finchley are putting faith in their home advantage to aid them to win this match against Bognor Regis Town. Who is the winner at The Maurice Rebak Stadium?

Insights:
  • Wingate & Finchley have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Bognor Regis Town have the most clean sheets (5) away in Non League Premier: Isthmian

There has not been much time to rest for the guests, as they played a Non League Premier: Isthmian game only four days ago. That game was also an away game, at Bishop's Stortford. It will be interesting to see if they are fully ready and rested for this match, and/or if some changes in the lineup is necessary.

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Wingate & Finchley form and stats

Wingate & Finchley's struggle is real here at The Maurice Rebak Stadium with only 12 points collected from 13 Non League Premier: Isthmian games. The win-draw-lost numbers are ugly: 3-3-7. Wingate & Finchley has recorded two wins in a row here at The Maurice Rebak Stadium, increasing their hopes of victory in this match.

Clarke was the last player to score a league goal for Wingate & Finchley and it's becoming a more and more distant memory as Finchley haven't scored in 180 minutes.

No payout for Wingate & Finchley in their previous match, an away game at Folkestone Invicta that ended in defeat 0-1.

Heartbreak before that as Wingate & Finchley lost 0-2 at Kingstonian's place.

This is expected to be a close game, with Wingate & Finchley perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Wingate & Finchley as a small favourite), we find twelve games. Wingate & Finchley has won one of these, drawn two and lost nine.

Wingate & Finchley are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 19 goals in 13 games. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Wingate & Finchley defense is not exactly impregnable. 22 goals conceded from 13 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Bognor Regis Town form and stats

Playing away, Bognor Regis Town, who have the most clean sheets (5) away in Non League Premier: Isthmian, have won 5 games, drawn 5 and suffered 2 defeats in the Non League Premier: Isthmian this season.

Bognor Regis Town lost away at Bishop's Stortford (1-3) in their previous game and are perhaps starting to feel homesick.

Before that, Bognor secured a home win against Potters Bar Town with the score 2-0.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Bognor Regis Town playing away and similar expectations, we found 16 relevant matches. Results were four Bognor Regis Town wins, three draws and nine defeats.

A quick return to home after this game, as Bognor Regis Town are hosting Corinthian-Casuals in the Non League Premier: Isthmian only three days away.

Bognor has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches in the league this season, 20 goals from 12 games. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 2 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. 14 goals have been conceded by Bognor Regis Town in these games.

Head 2 Head

These opponents have battled earlier this season: Bognor Regis Town - Wingate & Finchley 2-2. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Wingate & Finchley one win, one draw and Bognor Regis Town eight victories. As for goals, eight matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), two games had two or less.

Wingate & Finchley missing players

Bognor Regis Town missing players

Wingate & Finchley Bognor Regis Town
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
27 13 4 Played P 6 12 24
7 3 0 Won W 2 5 8
5 3 2 Drew D 4 5 10
15 7 2 Lost L 0 2 6
38 19 4 Scored S 13 20 38
50 22 7 Conceded C 7 14 34
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 83% 92% 92%
89% 92% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 75% 79%
63% 62% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 50% 58%
48% 46% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 67% 42% 46%
15% 15% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 17% 17%
70% 69% 75% BTTS BTTS 50% 50% 62%
11% 15% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 42% 33%
19% 15% 25% Failed to Score F T 17% 17% 12%
 
2.6 3.7 0 Corners for (avg) C F 1.5 3.3 5.8
3.9 4.9 0 Corners against (avg) C A 2.5 4 4.2
1.1 1.6 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.5 1 0.9
4 3 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
7.5 10.6 0 Shots (avg) S ( 4.5 6.1 11.2
2.7 3.4 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1 1.7 4.9
65% 52% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 300% 100% 33%
 
8.6 11.9 0 Shots against (avg) S A 5.5 11 11.6
3.8 5 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 1.5 4 5.2
Key stats in Non League Premier: Isthmian this season:
  • Bognor Regis Town have created more than twice as many corners as Wingate & Finchley.
  • Bognor Regis Town have the most clean sheets (5) away in Non League Premier: Isthmian
  • Bognor Regis Town have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Wingate & Finchley have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Wingate & Finchley haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Worthing 25 17 3 5 61 36 13 10 1 2 31 16 12 7 2 3 30 20 25 54
2 Enfield Town 27 16 5 6 63 39 13 10 1 2 27 14 14 6 4 4 36 25 24 53
3 Bishop's Stortford 26 14 8 4 52 28 14 9 4 1 36 15 12 5 4 3 16 13 24 50
4 Lewes 26 14 5 7 64 40 13 7 3 3 29 17 13 7 2 4 35 23 24 47
5 Kingstonian 25 15 2 8 50 39 13 9 1 3 29 17 12 6 1 5 21 22 11 47
6 Folkestone Invicta 23 13 7 3 51 27 12 8 4 0 33 8 11 5 3 3 18 19 24 46
7 AFC Hornchurch 24 13 3 8 40 24 11 7 1 3 18 9 13 6 2 5 22 15 16 42
8 Margate 25 12 4 9 45 42 14 8 2 4 27 23 11 4 2 5 18 19 3 40
9 Carshalton Athletic 25 11 6 8 47 31 12 7 2 3 29 15 13 4 4 5 18 16 16 39
10 Cheshunt 24 11 6 7 40 26 13 5 3 5 21 13 11 6 3 2 19 13 14 39
11 Corinthian-Casuals 24 10 5 9 32 32 12 5 2 5 16 13 12 5 3 4 16 19 0 35
12 Bognor Regis Town 24 8 10 6 38 34 12 3 5 4 18 20 12 5 5 2 20 14 4 34
13 Horsham 25 9 5 11 39 37 12 4 3 5 18 19 13 5 2 6 21 18 2 32
14 Merstham 25 9 2 14 35 46 12 5 2 5 22 17 13 4 0 9 13 29 -11 29
15 Haringey Borough 26 6 10 10 39 46 14 4 7 3 30 21 12 2 3 7 9 25 -7 28
16 Wingate & Finchley 27 7 5 15 38 50 13 3 3 7 19 22 14 4 2 8 19 28 -12 26
17 Bowers & Pitsea 26 7 4 15 27 43 14 3 2 9 15 23 12 4 2 6 12 20 -16 25
18 Potters Bar Town 21 7 3 11 34 41 8 3 1 4 16 15 13 4 2 7 18 26 -7 24
19 Brightlingsea Regent 27 7 3 17 27 70 13 4 0 9 14 38 14 3 3 8 13 32 -43 24
20 Cray Wanderers 25 6 5 14 36 50 14 3 3 8 24 29 11 3 2 6 12 21 -14 23
21 East Thurrock United 24 4 5 15 25 62 11 2 4 5 13 25 13 2 1 10 12 37 -37 17
22 Leatherhead 26 4 4 18 27 67 12 0 1 11 7 29 14 4 3 7 20 38 -40 16

Read more about Non League Premier: Isthmian

The Isthmian League has four divisions. The Premier Division is at the seventh highest division level in England while the North, South Central and South East Division are at the eight level. The Isthmian League covers London, East and South East England and holds mostly semi-professional teams.