Non League Premier: Isthmian preview: Can Bognor Regis Town edge out victory against Merstham?

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Competition: England Non League Premier: Isthmian
Date: Sat 16.November
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Nyewood Lane (4500 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Bognor Regis Town are in the 8th position while the guests worry at 18th.

The hosts Bognor Regis Town saw competitive action as recent as four days ago, playing in the Non League Premier: Isthmian. That game was an away game at Margate, so at least Bognor Regis Town are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

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Bognor Regis Town form and stats

Bognor Regis Town have played 6 Non League Premier: Isthmian games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 2-1-3 (wins-draws-losses). The team is able to perform also as the away side, as they are nurturing a very healthy winning streak of four straight victories regardless of arena.

Happy days for Bognor Regis Town in their previous game, a Non League Premier: Isthmian match away at Margate (placed 12th) that ended with a 6-1 victory. Ahead of that match, Bognor Regis Town won a home game hosting East Thurrock United (3-1).

As mentioned above, Bognor Regis Town "killed" Margate in their previous game. They need to reset completely for this one and beware of complacency.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Bognor Regis Town have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found three games) they have won 1 time, drawn 1 and lost 1.

The Bognor Regis Town fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 9 goals in 6 league matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Bognor Regis Town defense is not exactly impregnable. 10 goals conceded from 6 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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Merstham form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Merstham so far with only 7 points returning home. The records show 2-1-4 (win-draw-lose). With the Merstham losing streak of six defeats in a row, regardless of arena, optimism is low and sinking. Three might be a magic number, but there's been little wizardry in Merstham's last three away games as they have all been lost.

It might be tough going out on the road again for Merstham, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 1-3 versus Carshalton Athletic (placed 10th). A 1-2 defeat away at Margate before that.

We have checked recent matches where Merstham have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those five games were W2-D2-L1.

The schedule is very tough for Merstham now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Non League Premier: Isthmian game at Potters Bar Town is waiting in only three days.

Merstham have scored 7 goals on their travels this season, from 7 away games in the league. In the opposite end, Merstham have conceded 11 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's 8 Bognor Regis Town victories, 1 draw and 1 Merstham win. 7 of these games ended with three goals or more, 3 matches with two goals or less.

Bognor Regis Town missing players

Merstham missing players

Bognor Regis Town Merstham
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
14 6 1 Played P 1 7 13
7 2 0 Won W 0 2 3
1 1 0 Drew D 0 1 1
6 3 1 Lost L 1 4 9
26 9 1 Scored S 1 7 13
22 10 2 Conceded C 2 11 24
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 86% 92%
93% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 71% 77%
71% 50% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 57% 69%
36% 33% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 43% 38%
21% 17% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 8%
50% 50% 100% BTTS BTTS 100% 29% 54%
21% 17% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 43% 23%
29% 33% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 43% 31%
 
5 6.2 4 Corners For (avg) C F 6 3 3.5
3 2.8 2 Corners Against (avg) C A 4 2 3.5
1.6 2 1 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 1 0.5 0.7
0 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • All of Bognor Regis Town's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Bognor Regis Town have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Bognor Regis Town have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Bognor Regis Town haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Horsham 16 10 4 2 31 12 8 4 3 1 15 6 8 6 1 1 16 6 19 34
2 Folkestone Invicta 15 10 3 2 30 15 8 6 1 1 19 9 7 4 2 1 11 6 15 33
3 AFC Hornchurch 14 9 2 3 31 11 7 6 1 0 17 4 7 3 1 3 14 7 20 29
4 Cray Wanderers 16 7 7 2 34 22 9 3 4 2 21 16 7 4 3 0 13 6 12 28
5 Enfield Town 12 8 3 1 27 14 7 4 2 1 16 9 5 4 1 0 11 5 13 27
6 Worthing 14 7 4 3 29 24 8 4 2 2 19 17 6 3 2 1 10 7 5 25
7 East Thurrock United 14 8 1 5 26 21 8 6 0 2 18 9 6 2 1 3 8 12 5 25
8 Bognor Regis Town 14 7 1 6 26 22 6 2 1 3 9 10 8 5 0 3 17 12 4 22
9 Leatherhead 14 6 3 5 25 25 7 4 0 3 12 11 7 2 3 2 13 14 0 21
10 Carshalton Athletic 13 5 5 3 20 19 8 3 3 2 12 12 5 2 2 1 8 7 1 20
11 Haringey Borough 11 6 1 4 15 10 6 4 0 2 10 4 5 2 1 2 5 6 5 19
12 Margate 13 5 3 5 18 22 5 2 1 2 5 9 8 3 2 3 13 13 -4 18
13 Potters Bar Town 12 4 5 3 22 18 4 1 2 1 5 6 8 3 3 2 17 12 4 17
14 Lewes 14 4 3 7 19 23 7 1 2 4 8 13 7 3 1 3 11 10 -4 15
15 Bishop's Stortford 14 5 0 9 18 33 7 3 0 4 11 16 7 2 0 5 7 17 -15 15
16 Kingstonian 12 3 5 4 11 15 5 0 3 2 3 7 7 3 2 2 8 8 -4 14
17 Bowers & Pitsea 12 3 2 7 13 19 4 1 1 2 4 4 8 2 1 5 9 15 -6 11
18 Merstham 13 3 1 9 13 24 6 1 0 5 6 13 7 2 1 4 7 11 -11 10
19 Wingate & Finchley 14 2 4 8 10 25 7 1 2 4 4 14 7 1 2 4 6 11 -15 10
20 Cheshunt 15 3 1 11 15 32 8 2 1 5 6 9 7 1 0 6 9 23 -17 10
21 Brightlingsea Regent 14 2 3 9 11 29 8 1 2 5 6 16 6 1 1 4 5 13 -18 9
22 Corinthian-Casuals 14 1 3 10 10 19 7 0 1 6 4 10 7 1 2 4 6 9 -9 6

Read more about Non League Premier: Isthmian

The Isthmian League has four divisions. The Premier Division is at the seventh highest division level in England while the North, South Central and South East Division are at the eight level. The Isthmian League covers London, East and South East England and holds mostly semi-professional teams.