League Two forecast and preview: Walsall modest expected to overcome Rochdale

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Competition: England League Two
Competition: Sat 29.October
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Poundland Bescot Stadium (11300 seats)

The home fans plan for three points in this match, as the home advantage should work against a struggling visitor. Walsall are in 13th place while the guesting Rochdale panic at 22nd.

Insights:
  • Walsall have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Walsall have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Rochdale have scored away.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Walsall and Rochdale.

W D L L W

Walsall form and stats

The story so far in the League Two for Walsall at their home stadium (Poundland Bescot Stadium) is 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Walsall are on a three game winning streak in their home games.

Walsall's previous game was also played at home, ending 3-1 versus Harrogate Town (placed 21st). The home side are looking to build on that result. Hutchinson, a forward, was the declared top player for the team in that game, scoring a rating of 8.14 (out of 10). Hutchinson scored one goal, served one assist and hit three key passes.

A 1-1 draw away before that, with Sutton United the opponent.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Walsall have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 10 games) they have won 6 times, drawn 3 and lost 1.

The Walsall fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 14 goals in 8 league matches. It's worth mentioning that 7 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Walsall are not conceding a lot of goals here at Poundland Bescot Stadium in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 7 from 8 matches.

D L D W W

Rochdale form and stats

There's been little loot from Rochdale's travels as they have only collected 8 points from 8 away games in the League Two. Rochdale only have 2 wins to counter their 4 defeats and 2 draws.

It's another away game for the visitors, as they travelled to Tranmere Rovers (placed 9th) in their previous outing. The match ended in a draw 1-1.

A loss against AFC Wimbledon was the result prior to that, in a home game.

We have checked recent matches where Rochdale have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 12 games were 4 victories, 5 draws and 3 defeats.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Rochdale as they have only managed to score 6 times from 8 away games in the league. It's worth mentioning that 3 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Rochdale have conceded 12 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

Head-to-head data (for the preceeding ten meetings): Walsall won two games, two matches ended with a tie and Rochdale got six wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: six / four.

Top Goalscorers

WalsallD. Johnson
D. Johnson
9 goals
RochdaleS. Quigley
S. Quigley
4 goals
RochdaleD. Rodney
D. Rodney
3 goals

Walsall missing players

Rochdale missing players

Walsall Rochdale
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
16 8 4 Played P 2 8 15
5 4 3 Won W 0 2 3
5 2 1 Drew D 2 2 3
6 2 0 Lost L 0 4 9
20 14 11 Scored S 4 6 12
16 7 3 Conceded C 4 12 22
94% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
69% 75% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 50% 60%
44% 50% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 38% 47%
19% 38% 75% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 12% 7%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 12% 7%
62% 62% 75% BTTS BTTS 100% 25% 47%
25% 25% 25% Clean Sheets C S 0% 25% 13%
19% 12% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 50% 40%
 
4.2 4.2 4.8 Corners for (avg) C F 2 3.4 4.1
4.8 3.9 3.5 Corners against (avg) C A 5.5 7.4 5.8
2 1.6 1.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 2.4 2.2
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
10.4 11.6 13 Shots (avg) S ( 7 6.1 8.4
2.9 4 5.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.5 2.1 2.5
43% 44% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 57% 35% 32%
 
9.5 7.9 7.8 Shots against (avg) S A 16 15.1 12.4
2.6 2.4 1.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6 3.4 3.1
Key stats in League Two this season:
  • Rochdale have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Rochdale have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Rochdale haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Walsall have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Walsall have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Rochdale have scored away.
  • Walsall haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Leyton Orient 15 11 3 1 25 9 8 6 1 1 13 4 7 5 2 0 12 5 16 36
2 Stevenage 16 11 2 3 23 14 8 7 0 1 14 5 8 4 2 2 9 9 9 35
3 Northampton Town 16 9 4 3 28 18 8 5 1 2 15 9 8 4 3 1 13 9 10 31
4 Mansfield Town 15 8 3 4 23 16 7 4 3 0 12 6 8 4 0 4 11 10 7 27
5 Salford City 15 8 3 4 19 12 8 3 2 3 9 7 7 5 1 1 10 5 7 27
6 Swindon Town 16 7 6 3 18 15 8 5 2 1 12 6 8 2 4 2 6 9 3 27
7 Bradford City 15 7 5 3 20 12 8 3 4 1 10 5 7 4 1 2 10 7 8 26
8 Barrow 15 8 1 6 18 16 7 5 0 2 9 6 8 3 1 4 9 10 2 25
9 Tranmere Rovers 15 7 3 5 18 11 7 4 1 2 12 5 8 3 2 3 6 6 7 24
10 Carlisle United 15 6 6 3 21 16 8 4 3 1 13 8 7 2 3 2 8 8 5 24
11 Grimsby Town 15 6 5 4 17 12 7 1 4 2 7 6 8 5 1 2 10 6 5 23
12 Doncaster Rovers 16 6 4 6 19 21 8 4 1 3 12 10 8 2 3 3 7 11 -2 22
13 Walsall 16 5 5 6 20 16 8 4 2 2 14 7 8 1 3 4 6 9 4 20
14 Crewe Alexandra 15 4 7 4 15 17 8 3 3 2 11 8 7 1 4 2 4 9 -2 19
15 Sutton United 16 5 4 7 16 20 8 4 2 2 10 8 8 1 2 5 6 12 -4 19
16 Stockport County 15 5 3 7 18 19 8 3 3 2 9 8 7 2 0 5 9 11 -1 18
17 AFC Wimbledon 15 4 4 7 17 22 7 2 2 3 7 8 8 2 2 4 10 14 -5 16
18 Newport County 16 4 3 9 14 19 8 2 1 5 6 11 8 2 2 4 8 8 -5 15
19 Crawley Town 15 3 4 8 17 27 7 3 0 4 11 13 8 0 4 4 6 14 -10 13
20 Gillingham 15 2 7 6 6 16 8 2 4 2 4 6 7 0 3 4 2 10 -10 13
21 Harrogate Town 15 3 3 9 12 21 7 2 2 3 7 9 8 1 1 6 5 12 -9 12
22 Rochdale 15 3 3 9 12 22 7 1 1 5 6 10 8 2 2 4 6 12 -10 12
23 Colchester United 15 2 4 9 12 21 8 2 3 3 8 10 7 0 1 6 4 11 -9 10
24 Hartlepool United 16 1 6 9 13 29 8 1 4 3 5 10 8 0 2 6 8 19 -16 9

Walsall:
Rochdale:
England:

Read more about League Two

The English Football League Two (usually referred to as League Two) is the fourth highest division in English football. The League Two league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Four teams are promoted and four relegated.