Home advantage could prove decisive in Tranmere Rovers - Carlisle United battle

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Competition: England League Two
Competition: Sat 02.April
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Prenton Park (16567 seats)

Tranmere Rovers are thought of as probable winners of this home fixture vs Carlisle United, if the league positions are to be trusted. Or could we be eyeing a possible shock?

Insights:
  • Tranmere Rovers have the fewest matches over the total-line (3) in League Two
  • Carlisle United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

It’s a hectic schedule for the away team, as they were in action only four days ago in the League Two. That game was also an away game, at Rochdale. It will be interesting to see if they are fully ready and rested for this match, and/or if some changes in the lineup is necessary.

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Tranmere Rovers form and stats

The home supporters can't complain about results here at Prenton Park as Tranmere Rovers have scored 29 goals to get 43 points from 19 games. The overall stats in the League Two are 14-1-4 (wins-draws-losses). Two home wins in a row for Tranmere Rovers bring valid hopes of a third.

Tranmere faced defeat in their previous match, away at Colchester United (0-1). Midfield player Foley got a match rating of 7.25 in that game, the max score being 10. Foley hit four key passes.

A 1-1 draw away before that, with Sutton United the opponent.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Tranmere Rovers handle that role? We have found ten games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are six wins, one draw and three defeats.

A decent goal production from Tranmere Rovers in their home games so far, with 29 goals from 19 league matches. Tranmere have only conceded 13 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Carlisle United form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their League Two travels is 6 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats.

Two away games in a row for Carlisle United, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 0-2 versus Rochdale. Gibson got a match rating of 7.35 in that game, top player of the team. Gibson dribled past the opponent 3 of 3 times.

That result followed a home victory 1-0 versus Bristol Rovers.

Carlisle United are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is two wins, three draws and five defeats. From a total of ten matches.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Carlisle as they have only managed to score 18 times from 19 away games in the league. In the opposite end, Carlisle United have conceded 31 goals in their away games. Carlisle has visited these top teams seven times, and 5 of 7 has ended with 2 goals or more!

Head 2 Head

Tranmere Rovers and Carlisle United have duelled already this season: Carlisle United - Tranmere Rovers 0-1. Numbers for the previous ten meetings featuring these two squads are: five wins for Tranmere Rovers, two draws and three wins for Carlisle United. Over 2,5 goals: three times; under 2,5 goals: seven games.

Top Goalscorers

Carlisle UnitedO. Patrick
O. Patrick
7 goals
Carlisle UnitedJ. Gibson
J. Gibson
6 goals
Tranmere RoversK. Morris
K. Morris
5 goals

Tranmere Rovers missing players

Carlisle United missing players

Tranmere Rovers Carlisle United
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
39 19 6 Played P 7 19 39
18 14 6 Won W 0 6 12
9 1 0 Drew D 2 3 10
12 4 0 Lost L 5 10 17
44 29 12 Scored S 3 18 34
34 13 0 Conceded C 14 31 52
92% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 86% 95% 87%
54% 68% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 71% 79% 72%
26% 32% 17% Over 2.5 O 2.5 71% 68% 49%
18% 16% 17% Over 3.5 O 3.5 14% 16% 13%
8% 5% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
28% 21% 0% BTTS BTTS 29% 47% 41%
46% 58% 100% Clean Sheets C S 14% 21% 31%
33% 21% 0% Failed to Score F T 71% 37% 41%
 
4.9 4.9 5.8 Corners for (avg) C F 5.6 4.5 4.5
5.7 5.3 5.3 Corners against (avg) C A 3.1 4.7 4.8
1.7 1.5 1.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.1 2.3 1.7
4 2 0 Red cards R C 1 2 2
 
11.6 12.2 11.2 Shots (avg) S ( 12.1 11.1 11.6
3.7 4.4 4.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.7 3.9 3.8
30% 35% 41% Goal Efficiency G E 12% 24% 23%
 
11.9 11.3 10 Shots against (avg) S A 11.7 12.8 12.6
3.2 2.9 2.7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.3 3.7 3.7
Key stats in League Two this season:
  • Carlisle United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Tranmere Rovers have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Tranmere Rovers have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Tranmere Rovers have the fewest conceded goals (13) at home in League Two
  • Tranmere Rovers have the fewest matches over the total-line (3) in League Two
  • Tranmere Rovers have the most clean sheets (11) at home in League Two
  • Tranmere Rovers have the most matches under the total-line (19) in League Two
  • Tranmere Rovers have the most points (43) at home in League Two
  • Tranmere Rovers haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Forest Green Rovers 37 20 12 5 66 32 18 11 3 4 28 14 19 9 9 1 38 18 34 72
2 Exeter City 38 18 14 6 56 36 19 11 6 2 31 17 19 7 8 4 25 19 20 68
3 Northampton Town 39 19 9 11 47 33 20 12 3 5 28 14 19 7 6 6 19 19 14 66
4 Port Vale 38 17 12 9 57 36 20 10 6 4 30 15 18 7 6 5 27 21 21 63
5 Newport County 39 17 12 10 62 49 19 9 6 4 38 24 20 8 6 6 24 25 13 63
6 Bristol Rovers 39 18 9 12 53 43 19 11 3 5 28 19 20 7 6 7 25 24 10 63
7 Tranmere Rovers 39 18 9 12 44 34 19 14 1 4 29 13 20 4 8 8 15 21 10 63
8 Mansfield Town 37 18 9 10 52 43 18 12 3 3 31 19 19 6 6 7 21 24 9 63
9 Swindon Town 38 17 10 11 62 48 19 7 7 5 30 20 19 10 3 6 32 28 14 61
10 Sutton United 39 17 10 12 58 46 19 11 5 3 32 16 20 6 5 9 26 30 12 61
11 Salford City 38 16 11 11 48 35 19 9 7 3 27 16 19 7 4 8 21 19 13 59
12 Hartlepool United 39 14 10 15 41 52 19 9 7 3 24 18 20 5 3 12 17 34 -11 52
13 Crawley Town 39 14 9 16 49 55 20 7 6 7 26 27 19 7 3 9 23 28 -6 51
14 Bradford City 39 11 14 14 43 47 20 4 9 7 24 27 19 7 5 7 19 20 -4 47
15 Harrogate Town 39 12 11 16 56 61 19 5 7 7 27 28 20 7 4 9 29 33 -5 47
16 Walsall 39 12 11 16 42 51 19 8 5 6 27 24 20 4 6 10 15 27 -9 47
17 Leyton Orient 39 10 16 13 51 40 20 8 5 7 31 17 19 2 11 6 20 23 11 46
18 Carlisle United 39 12 10 17 34 52 20 6 7 7 16 21 19 6 3 10 18 31 -18 46
19 Rochdale 39 9 16 14 43 51 19 5 10 4 22 18 20 4 6 10 21 33 -8 43
20 Colchester United 39 10 12 17 37 52 20 5 8 7 20 24 19 5 4 10 17 28 -15 42
21 Barrow 38 8 13 17 33 45 19 3 9 7 18 23 19 5 4 10 15 22 -12 37
22 Oldham Athletic 39 8 10 21 39 61 20 5 3 12 25 35 19 3 7 9 14 26 -22 34
23 Stevenage 38 7 13 18 34 60 19 6 6 7 22 27 19 1 7 11 12 33 -26 34
24 Scunthorpe United 39 4 12 23 26 71 20 3 5 12 13 30 19 1 7 11 13 41 -45 24

Read more about League Two

The English Football League Two (usually referred to as League Two) is the fourth highest division in English football. The League Two league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Four teams are promoted and four relegated.