League Two prediction and pre-match guide: Swindon Town small expected to overpower Rochdale

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Competition: England League Two
Competition: Sat 20.August
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: The County Ground (1000 seats)

Swindon Town get ready to host Rochdale for another intriguing League Two fixture here at The County Ground.

Insights:
  • Rochdale is in the worst form (0-0-4)

It's no vacation for neither Swindon nor Rochdale as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Swindon Town form and stats

Two League Two home games so far for Swindon Town, who are yet to win here at The County Ground. Only 2 points so far.

The spoils were shared in Swindon Town's previous game, also at home. Visiting Leyton Orient (placed 2nd) travelled back with a draw after a 1-1 scoreline. Swindon's goalie Brynn played a big part in securing a draw after 90 minutes against Leyton Orient with a stunning seven saves.

A 1-1 draw away before that, with Carlisle United the opponent.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Swindon Town have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 12 games) they have won 4 times, drawn 5 and lost 3.

Early season league goal statistics from Swindon Town's 2 home games: 1 goal, 1 conceded.

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Rochdale form and stats

No League Two points yet away for Rochdale, from their first 2 matches.

The attacking players of Rochdale have been feeble for some time now, the team not scoring a league goal in the last 291 minutes.

Rochdale play their second straight away game, having lost the previous one 0-1 to Stevenage (placed 4th). Funny stuff; the scoreline 0-1 has repeated itself three games in a row!

A 0-1 loss hosting Grimsby Town before that.

Rochdale are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 5 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats. From a total of 12 matches.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Rochdale manager Stockdale as the team has another away game coming up in only three days, this time against Sheffield Wednesday.

As for goals scored and conceded in the league games away so far, Rochdale has managed 0 goals and let in 2 from 2 matches.

Head 2 Head

Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: four - three - three (Swindon wins - draws - Rochdale wins). As for goals, nine matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), one had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Swindon TownH. McKirdy
H. McKirdy
1 goals
Swindon TownJ. Wakeling
J. Wakeling
1 goals
RochdaleD. Rodney
D. Rodney
1 goals

Swindon Town missing players

Rochdale missing players

Swindon Town Rochdale
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
4 2 0 Played P 1 2 4
0 0 0 Won W 0 0 0
3 2 0 Drew D 0 0 0
1 0 0 Lost L 1 2 4
2 1 0 Scored S 0 0 1
5 1 0 Conceded C 1 2 5
75% 50% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
75% 50% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 0% 25%
25% 0% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 0% 25%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
50% 50% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 0% 25%
25% 50% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 0%
50% 50% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 100% 75%
 
3.2 2.5 0 Corners for (avg) C F 6 4 5.5
5.2 6 0 Corners against (avg) C A 7 7.5 5.2
2.8 4.5 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 2 2.5
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
9.8 8.5 0 Shots (avg) S ( 5 4 9.5
2.8 2 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 0.5 1.8
18% 25% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 0% 14%
 
16 16.5 0 Shots against (avg) S A 12 15 13.5
5 5.5 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5 3.5 4
Key stats in League Two this season:
  • Rochdale is in the worst form (0-0-4)
Swindon Town Last season Rochdale
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
48 24   Played P   23 46
23 10   Won W   5 12
11 7   Drew D   6 17
14 7   Lost L   12 17
79 37   Scored S   23 51
56 26   Conceded C   36 59
92% 88%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   87% 85%
81% 75%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   78% 67%
65% 62%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   48% 41%
29% 21%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   26% 24%
10% 8%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   13% 13%
65% 67%   BTTS BTTS   52% 50%
27% 29%   Clean Sheets C S   17% 28%
17% 17%   Failed to Score F T   43% 37%
 
5.1 5.3   Corners for (avg) C F   5.3 5.6
4.6 4.3   Corners against (avg) C A   4.8 4.6
1.8 1.8   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   1.1 1.1
5 4   Red cards R C   0 0
 
13.8 14   Shots (avg) S (   11.6 12.5
4.7 4.8   Shots on Target (avg) S O   2.3 2.5
35% 32%   Goal Efficiency G E   44% 44%
 
11.4 11.2   Shots against (avg) S A   12 11.7
4.1 4.2   Shots on Target against (avg) S O   4.3 3.8

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Salford City 4 3 1 0 8 2 2 2 0 0 5 0 2 1 1 0 3 2 6 10
2 Leyton Orient 4 3 1 0 5 1 2 2 0 0 3 0 2 1 1 0 2 1 4 10
3 Northampton Town 4 3 1 0 9 6 2 2 0 0 5 3 2 1 1 0 4 3 3 10
4 Stevenage 4 3 1 0 6 3 2 2 0 0 3 1 2 1 1 0 3 2 3 10
5 Barrow 4 3 0 1 8 6 2 2 0 0 5 3 2 1 0 1 3 3 2 9
6 Crewe Alexandra 4 3 0 1 6 4 2 2 0 0 4 0 2 1 0 1 2 4 2 9
7 Doncaster Rovers 4 2 2 0 6 4 2 2 0 0 4 2 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 8
8 Walsall 4 2 1 1 7 3 2 1 1 0 5 1 2 1 0 1 2 2 4 7
9 Harrogate Town 4 2 1 1 5 3 2 1 1 0 3 0 2 1 0 1 2 3 2 7
10 Mansfield Town 4 2 0 2 6 5 2 2 0 0 6 2 2 0 0 2 0 3 1 6
11 Carlisle United 3 1 2 0 3 2 2 1 1 0 2 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 5
12 AFC Wimbledon 4 1 2 1 6 7 2 1 1 0 4 2 2 0 1 1 2 5 -1 5
13 Tranmere Rovers 4 1 1 2 4 3 2 1 0 1 4 2 2 0 1 1 0 1 1 4
14 Bradford City 4 1 1 2 4 4 2 1 1 0 2 0 2 0 0 2 2 4 0 4
15 Colchester United 4 1 1 2 4 5 2 1 1 0 2 1 2 0 0 2 2 4 -1 4
16 Sutton United 4 1 1 2 3 4 2 1 1 0 2 1 2 0 0 2 1 3 -1 4
17 Grimsby Town 3 1 1 1 2 3 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 4
18 Stockport County 4 1 0 3 5 7 2 1 0 1 3 3 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 3
19 Swindon Town 4 0 3 1 2 5 2 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 1 1 4 -3 3
20 Gillingham 4 1 0 3 1 7 2 1 0 1 1 2 2 0 0 2 0 5 -6 3
21 Hartlepool United 4 0 2 2 1 6 2 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 1 6 -5 2
22 Crawley Town 4 0 1 3 2 5 2 0 0 2 2 4 2 0 1 1 0 1 -3 1
23 Newport County 4 0 1 3 3 7 2 0 0 2 2 4 2 0 1 1 1 3 -4 1
24 Rochdale 4 0 0 4 1 5 2 0 0 2 1 3 2 0 0 2 0 2 -4 0
Last season Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Forest Green Rovers 46 23 15 8 75 44 23 14 4 5 34 18 23 9 11 3 41 26 31 84
2 Exeter City 46 23 15 8 65 41 23 14 6 3 37 19 23 9 9 5 28 22 24 84
3 Bristol Rovers 46 23 11 12 71 49 23 14 4 5 38 20 23 9 7 7 33 29 22 80
4 Northampton Town 46 23 11 12 60 38 23 13 5 5 32 15 23 10 6 7 28 23 22 80
5 Port Vale 46 22 12 12 67 46 23 11 6 6 35 22 23 11 6 6 32 24 21 78
6 Swindon Town 46 22 11 13 77 54 23 9 7 7 35 25 23 13 4 6 42 29 23 77
7 Mansfield Town 46 22 11 13 67 52 23 15 4 4 40 24 23 7 7 9 27 28 15 77
8 Sutton United 46 22 10 14 69 53 23 14 5 4 38 20 23 8 5 10 31 33 16 76
9 Tranmere Rovers 46 21 12 13 53 40 23 16 3 4 36 16 23 5 9 9 17 24 13 75
10 Salford City 46 19 13 14 60 46 23 10 9 4 33 21 23 9 4 10 27 25 14 70
11 Newport County 46 19 12 15 67 58 23 9 6 8 40 31 23 10 6 7 27 27 9 69
12 Crawley Town 46 17 10 19 56 66 23 9 6 8 28 29 23 8 4 11 28 37 -10 61
13 Leyton Orient 46 14 16 16 62 47 23 9 5 9 36 22 23 5 11 7 26 25 15 58
14 Bradford City 46 14 16 16 53 55 23 6 10 7 29 29 23 8 6 9 24 26 -2 58
15 Colchester United 46 14 13 19 48 60 23 6 9 8 25 28 23 8 4 11 23 32 -12 55
16 Walsall 46 14 12 20 47 60 23 10 5 8 30 29 23 4 7 12 17 31 -13 54
17 Hartlepool United 46 14 12 20 44 64 23 9 7 7 24 26 23 5 5 13 20 38 -20 54
18 Rochdale 46 12 17 17 51 59 23 7 11 5 28 23 23 5 6 12 23 36 -8 53
19 Harrogate Town 46 14 11 21 64 75 23 6 7 10 32 36 23 8 4 11 32 39 -11 53
20 Carlisle United 46 14 11 21 39 62 23 8 7 8 19 23 23 6 4 13 20 39 -23 53
21 Stevenage 46 11 14 21 45 68 23 9 6 8 29 30 23 2 8 13 16 38 -23 47
22 Barrow 46 10 14 22 44 57 23 5 9 9 25 28 23 5 5 13 19 29 -13 44
23 Oldham Athletic 46 9 11 26 46 75 23 5 4 14 29 42 23 4 7 12 17 33 -29 38
24 Scunthorpe United 46 4 14 28 29 90 23 3 7 13 15 36 23 1 7 15 14 54 -61 26

Swindon Town:
Rochdale:
England:

Read more about League Two

The English Football League Two (usually referred to as League Two) is the fourth highest division in English football. The League Two league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Four teams are promoted and four relegated.