Football match betting preview: Swindon Town vs Gillingham

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Competition: England League Two
Competition: Sat 28.January
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: The County Ground (1000 seats)

Swindon Town are considered as expected winners of this home game versus Gillingham, if the league positions are anything to judge by. Or are we in for a surprise?

Insights:
  • Swindon Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Gillingham have the fewest scored goals (11) in League Two

Swindon Town and Gillingham should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

W L W L W

Swindon Town form and stats

Swindon Town have collected 22 points from their League Two home games so far after 6-4-3.

Swindon Town's previous game was also played at home, ending 5-0 versus Grimsby Town (placed 16th). The home side are looking to build on that result. As indicated by the result mentioned above, Swindon Town played a great game against Grimsby Town and beat them comfortably. Expectations are high for this one. Swindon's victory against Grimsby Town could easily have been with a bigger margin than 5-0 as they hit the posts three times. Hutton, defender, was given a rating of 8.43/10 in that game, top of the team. Hutton signed up for two assists, hit six key passes and won 4 of 8 duels.

Prior to that, an away loss at Colchester United.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Swindon Town's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played 4 games, won 2 matches, drawn 1 and lost 1.

Swindon Town has scored 19 league goals at home this season, in 13 matches. From these home matches, Swindon have conceded only 10 goals.

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Gillingham form and stats

There's been little loot from Gillingham's travels as they have only collected 7 points from 13 away games in the League Two. Gillingham only have 1 win to counter their 8 defeats and 4 draws.

The Gillingham goalkeeper Glenn Morris is collecting clean sheets like a laundry worker. It's been 247 league minutes without conceding a goal, and counting.

Two away games in a row for Gillingham, whose manager Harris could celebrate last time after the win against Colchester United. Gillingham goalie Morris was high and low in the Colchester United game, contributing six saves towards the victory. Morris (goalkeeper) was the best performer with a rating of 8.55. Morris topped it up with a clean sheet.

A home win before that, celebrating 2-0 vs Hartlepool United.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Gillingham playing away, we found 4 games. Results were 0 away wins, 1 draw and 3 home wins.

Low-scoring game? 20 of this team's latest 22 league fixtures have contained two or less goals.

There's been a serious shortage of goals from Gillingham's away games in the league this season with only {5 goals} from 13 matches. It's worth mentioning that 3 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. 16 goals have been conceded by Gillingham in these games.

Head 2 Head

The teams involved encountered each other earlier this campaign: Gillingham - Swindon Town 0-0. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: one - four - five (Swindon Town wins - draws - Gillingham wins). As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

SwindonJ. Williams
J. Williams
7 goals
Swindon TownJ. Wakeling
J. Wakeling
5 goals
Swindon TownL. Jephcott
L. Jephcott
5 goals

Swindon Town missing players

Gillingham missing players

Swindon Town Gillingham
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
26 13 5 Played P 3 13 25
11 6 4 Won W 0 1 4
8 4 0 Drew D 0 4 8
7 3 1 Lost L 3 8 13
33 19 7 Scored S 0 5 11
25 10 2 Conceded C 4 16 28
88% 85% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 85% 84%
65% 62% 40% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 62% 60%
38% 46% 40% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 15% 12%
12% 15% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 0%
12% 15% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
46% 46% 20% BTTS BTTS 0% 23% 20%
35% 46% 60% Clean Sheets C S 0% 23% 32%
31% 23% 20% Failed to Score F T 100% 69% 64%
 
6.3 6.9 9.8 Corners for (avg) C F 3.3 3.2 4.2
4.7 4.5 3 Corners against (avg) C A 1.3 4.3 4.4
2 2.2 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 2 1.7
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
12.8 14.2 18.4 Shots (avg) S ( 9 8.5 9.3
4 4.3 5.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0.3 1.1 1.2
32% 34% 26% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 36% 37%
 
10.6 9.8 7.2 Shots against (avg) S A 9 11.4 11.1
3.1 2.7 1 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2.3 3.1 2.9
Key stats in League Two this season:
  • Gillingham have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Gillingham have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Gillingham have the fewest matches over the total-line (3) in League Two
  • Gillingham have the fewest scored goals (11) in League Two
  • Gillingham have the fewest scored goals (5) away in League Two
  • Gillingham have the fewest scored goals in the first half (7) in League Two
  • Gillingham have the fewest scored goals in the second half (4) in League Two
  • Gillingham have the most matches under the total-line (22) in League Two
  • Gillingham have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Swindon Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Swindon Town have scored more than double the goals of Gillingham.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Leyton Orient 27 17 6 4 36 16 14 10 3 1 20 4 13 7 3 3 16 12 20 57
2 Stevenage 26 16 7 3 39 18 14 12 1 1 27 6 12 4 6 2 12 12 21 55
3 Northampton Town 26 13 7 6 40 28 13 7 3 3 20 13 13 6 4 3 20 15 12 46
4 Carlisle United 25 11 9 5 39 25 12 6 5 1 17 9 13 5 4 4 22 16 14 42
5 Salford City 25 12 5 8 34 24 13 5 4 4 15 13 12 7 1 4 19 11 10 41
6 Swindon Town 26 11 8 7 33 25 13 6 4 3 19 10 13 5 4 4 14 15 8 41
7 Bradford City 25 11 7 7 31 25 13 5 5 3 17 13 12 6 2 4 14 12 6 40
8 Barrow 26 12 4 10 32 30 13 8 1 4 19 11 13 4 3 6 13 19 2 40
9 Mansfield Town 26 11 6 9 36 35 13 5 5 3 21 19 13 6 1 6 15 16 1 39
10 Stockport County 24 11 4 9 35 23 12 6 3 3 17 10 12 5 1 6 18 13 12 37
11 Walsall 24 10 7 7 30 22 12 7 2 3 19 11 12 3 5 4 11 11 8 37
12 Doncaster Rovers 25 11 4 10 30 35 12 7 1 4 19 16 13 4 3 6 11 19 -5 37
13 AFC Wimbledon 26 9 9 8 29 28 12 5 4 3 14 11 14 4 5 5 15 17 1 36
14 Sutton United 27 10 6 11 27 35 13 8 2 3 16 12 14 2 4 8 11 23 -8 36
15 Tranmere Rovers 26 9 8 9 28 23 13 5 4 4 18 12 13 4 4 5 10 11 5 35
16 Grimsby Town 24 8 6 10 26 32 12 3 5 4 13 15 12 5 1 6 13 17 -6 30
17 Crewe Alexandra 24 7 9 8 20 28 13 5 4 4 14 13 11 2 5 4 6 15 -8 30
18 Newport County 26 6 8 12 24 30 13 3 3 7 11 16 13 3 5 5 13 14 -6 26
19 Colchester United 27 7 5 15 26 35 13 4 4 5 14 15 14 3 1 10 12 20 -9 26
20 Harrogate Town 25 6 6 13 32 40 13 4 4 5 18 20 12 2 2 8 14 20 -8 24
21 Crawley Town 24 5 7 12 26 39 12 5 1 6 15 17 12 0 6 6 11 22 -13 22
22 Hartlepool United 26 5 7 14 26 47 13 3 5 5 13 21 13 2 2 9 13 26 -21 22
23 Gillingham 25 4 8 13 11 28 12 3 4 5 6 12 13 1 4 8 5 16 -17 20
24 Rochdale 27 5 5 17 22 41 13 2 2 9 11 20 14 3 3 8 11 21 -19 20

Swindon Town:
England:

Read more about League Two

The English Football League Two (usually referred to as League Two) is the fourth highest division in English football. The League Two league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Four teams are promoted and four relegated.