League Two prediction and preview: Plymouth Argyle modest favorites to beat Stevenage

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Competition: England League Two
Date: Sun 29.December
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Home Park (18000 seats)

There should be a significant difference in quality between these teams based on table positions so far, with Plymouth Argyle leading Stevenage by 18 points.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Plymouth Argyle and Stevenage.

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Plymouth Argyle form and stats

The home supporters can't complain about results here at Home Park as Plymouth Argyle, who have the the best goal difference (+12) at home in League Two, have scored 21 goals to get 21 points from 10 games. The overall stats in the League Two are 6-3-1 (wins-draws-losses). Ever since the Scunthorpe United game Plymouth Argyle has been unbeatable here at Home Park producing four straight wins.

The Plymouth Argyle goalkeeper Alex Palmer is looking to record 90 more "clean sheet" minutes as his team have now played 252 minutes without conceding a goal in the League Two.

Happy days for Plymouth Argyle in their previous game, a League Two match away at Cheltenham Town (placed 7th) that ended with a 1-0 victory. Before that game, the home loss against Bristol Rovers with the scoreline 0-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Plymouth Argyle have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found nine games) they have won 5 times, drawn 2 and lost 2.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Plymouth Argyle, as the League Two home game vs Swindon Town is only three days away.

The Plymouth Argyle manager R. Lowe has got the team scoring with 21 from 10 home games in the league. Plymouth Argyle have only conceded 9 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Stevenage form and stats

There's been little loot from Stevenage's travels as they have only collected 7 points from 11 away games in the League Two. Stevenage only have 0 wins to counter their 4 defeats and 7 draws. Travelling has not been lucrative for the away team as they have returned home without a win in eleven away games in a row.

Stevenage's last game was the home draw against Forest Green Rovers (0-0). Preceding that, the 1-5 home loss versus Crewe Alexandra.

We have checked recent matches where Stevenage have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 14 games were W0-D8-L6.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Stevenage manager M. Sampson as the team has another away game coming up in only three days, this time against Northampton Town.

Stevenage are seemingly not capable of scoring regularly on their travels in the league. They have only managed 5 goals from 11 away games. 12 goals have been conceded by Stevenage in these games.

Head 2 Head

Plymouth Argyle-Stevenage H2H statistics last seven meetings regardless of arena: Plymouth Argyle 4 wins, Stevenage 2 wins, 1 draw. 4 of these seven matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

Plymouth ArgyleA. Sarcevic
A. Sarcevic
5 goals
StevenageK. Guthrie
K. Guthrie
5 goals
Plymouth ArgyleJ. Grant
J. Grant
4 goals

Plymouth Argyle missing players

Stevenage missing players

Plymouth Argyle Stevenage
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
21 10 4 Played P 4 11 22
10 6 3 Won W 0 0 2
5 3 1 Drew D 1 7 11
6 1 0 Lost L 3 4 9
31 21 11 Scored S 3 5 14
22 9 2 Conceded C 8 12 27
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 55% 68%
67% 90% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 45% 45%
52% 70% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 18% 27%
33% 40% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 18% 23%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 9% 14%
33% 40% 25% BTTS BTTS 50% 36% 41%
43% 50% 75% Clean Sheets C S 25% 45% 36%
24% 10% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 64% 55%
 
5.6 5.9 5.8 Corners For (avg) C F 1.8 4.5 5.7
4.9 3.7 2.8 Corners Against (avg) C A 5 5.9 5.6
1.9 1.5 2.5 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 2 1.4 1.4
1 1 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 0
 
267 155 61 Total Shots T S 45 114 271
87 53 22 Shots on Target S O 13 36 77
36% 40% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 23% 14% 18%
Key stats in League Two this season:
  • Plymouth Argyle has the the best goal difference (+12) at home
  • Plymouth Argyle have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Plymouth Argyle have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Plymouth Argyle have scored more than double the goals of Stevenage.
  • Plymouth Argyle haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Stevenage has the fewest points (7) away
  • Stevenage has the fewest scored goals (14)
  • Stevenage has the fewest scored goals (5) away
  • Stevenage have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Stevenage have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Stevenage have yet to win a game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Swindon Town 23 14 4 5 43 24 12 8 1 3 20 11 11 6 3 2 23 13 19 46
2 Exeter City 23 12 7 4 32 25 12 7 4 1 20 11 11 5 3 3 12 14 7 43
3 Crewe Alexandra 22 11 5 6 39 27 11 5 3 3 19 12 11 6 2 3 20 15 12 38
4 Colchester United 22 10 7 5 32 20 10 6 2 2 15 7 12 4 5 3 17 13 12 37
5 Bradford City 22 10 7 5 28 19 11 7 2 2 17 8 11 3 5 3 11 11 9 37
6 Forest Green Rovers 23 10 7 6 26 18 11 4 4 3 10 10 12 6 3 3 16 8 8 37
7 Cheltenham Town 22 9 9 4 33 18 11 5 4 2 22 13 11 4 5 2 11 5 15 36
8 Plymouth Argyle 21 10 5 6 31 22 10 6 3 1 21 9 11 4 2 5 10 13 9 35
9 Northampton Town 23 10 5 8 32 27 11 7 1 3 19 8 12 3 4 5 13 19 5 35
10 Port Vale 23 7 10 6 28 29 11 5 5 1 14 9 12 2 5 5 14 20 -1 31
11 Salford City 23 7 8 8 27 32 12 4 4 4 12 14 11 3 4 4 15 18 -5 29
12 Scunthorpe United 23 7 7 9 30 30 12 4 5 3 18 14 11 3 2 6 12 16 0 28
13 Cambridge United 23 7 7 9 27 27 11 4 3 4 15 12 12 3 4 5 12 15 0 28
14 Newport County 21 7 7 7 19 19 11 5 4 2 12 9 10 2 3 5 7 10 0 28
15 Walsall 23 7 6 10 21 30 11 2 4 5 8 14 12 5 2 5 13 16 -9 27
16 Crawley Town 23 6 8 9 30 33 12 5 3 4 16 14 11 1 5 5 14 19 -3 26
17 Oldham Athletic 22 6 8 8 24 31 11 3 5 3 14 12 11 3 3 5 10 19 -7 26
18 Leyton Orient 23 6 7 10 31 40 12 2 4 6 15 22 11 4 3 4 16 18 -9 25
19 Mansfield Town 23 5 9 9 30 33 12 2 4 6 18 22 11 3 5 3 12 11 -3 24
20 Grimsby Town 21 5 7 9 21 27 10 2 3 5 9 16 11 3 4 4 12 11 -6 22
21 Carlisle United 23 5 7 11 20 35 12 3 5 4 10 15 11 2 2 7 10 20 -15 22
22 Macclesfield Town 21 5 10 6 20 23 10 3 6 1 11 7 11 2 4 5 9 16 -3 19
23 Morecambe 23 4 6 13 20 42 12 2 4 6 12 18 11 2 2 7 8 24 -22 18
24 Stevenage 22 2 11 9 14 27 11 2 4 5 9 15 11 0 7 4 5 12 -13 17

Read more about League Two

The English Football League Two (usually referred to as League Two) is the fourth highest division in English football. The League Two league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Four teams are promoted and four relegated.