League Two prediction and preview: Plymouth Argyle modest favorites to beat Cambridge United

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Competition: England League Two
Competition: Sat 22.February
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Home Park (18000 seats)

Plymouth Argyle have performed better than Cambridge United so far this season, but every game starts at 0-0. Here's all you need to know about the upcoming game:

Plymouth Argyle have less rest than Cambridge United in this fixture, as the hosts were involved in a League Two game only four days ago. At least it's nice to return home after that away game at Macclesfield Town.

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Plymouth Argyle form and stats

Plymouth Argyle have performed here at Home Park this season with 10 wins from 16 League Two matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 4 games and lost 2. Plymouth Argyle has recorded two wins in a row here at Home Park, increasing their hopes of victory in this match.

An away draw last time out for Plymouth Argyle, facing Macclesfield Town in a game that ended 1-1. Ahead of that match, Plymouth Argyle won a home game hosting Crewe Alexandra (2-1).

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Plymouth Argyle's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played four games, won two matches, drawn two and lost zero.

With an average of more than two goals per home game in the league (32 in 16 games), Plymouth Argyle's attacking play is working. Plymouth Argyle's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 16 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Cambridge United form and stats

As the visiting team in League Two matches, Cambridge United have produced an overall stat of 5-5-7 so far. The fact that Cambridge United have won four matches in a row should scare the hosts and makes this contest more interesting. Cambridge United has recorded two wins in a row in their away matches and hold legitimate hopes of a third one.

Cambridge United won their last game, 2-1 versus Bradford City played at home. Preceding that game was the away victory against Scunthorpe United with the score of 2-0.

Harvey Knibbs came off the bench to score the winning goal in the match against Bradford City last time out, making the manager M. Bonner feel like a tactical genius. The end of the last match, against Bradford City, was very satisfying as Harvey Knibbs scored the winning goal deep into overtime.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Cambridge United playing away, we found six games. Results were one away win, two draws and three home wins.

The visitors have scored 16 goals from 17 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Cambridge United have conceded 19 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Cambridge United - Plymouth Argyle 1-0. Head-2-head stats last seven meetings: three - one - three (Plymouth Argyle wins - draws - Cambridge United wins). As for goals, three matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Plymouth ArgyleA. Sarcevic
A. Sarcevic
10 goals
Cambridge UnitedH. Knibbs
H. Knibbs
7 goals
Cambridge UnitedS. Smith
S. Smith
7 goals

Plymouth Argyle missing players

Cambridge United missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Plymouth Argyle Cambridge United
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
33 16 5 Played P 7 17 34
18 10 3 Won W 2 5 12
7 4 2 Drew D 1 5 8
8 2 0 Lost L 4 7 14
54 32 10 Scored S 6 16 38
37 16 5 Conceded C 13 19 44
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 88% 88%
76% 88% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 86% 65% 65%
64% 75% 80% Over 2.5 O 2.5 43% 29% 47%
33% 38% 40% Over 3.5 O 3.5 29% 18% 29%
3% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 14% 6% 12%
48% 56% 60% BTTS BTTS 43% 35% 41%
33% 38% 40% Clean Sheets C S 0% 29% 29%
18% 6% 0% Failed to Score F T 57% 47% 41%
 
5.4 5.9 7.8 Corners for (avg) C F 3.9 4.1 4.7
4.8 4.1 4.8 Corners against (avg) C A 5.4 5.2 4.9
1.7 1.4 1.4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1.6 1.6
2 2 2 Red cards R C 0 1 3
 
430 244 84 Total Shots T S 54 176 396
142 83 28 Shots on Target S O 14 47 130
38% 39% 36% Goal Efficiency G E 43% 34% 29%
Key stats in League Two this season:
  • Plymouth Argyle has the most matches over the total-line (21)
  • Plymouth Argyle have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Plymouth Argyle haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Swindon Town 33 19 6 8 57 36 16 11 2 3 29 14 17 8 4 5 28 22 21 63
2 Exeter City 33 18 9 6 50 36 16 10 5 1 29 13 17 8 4 5 21 23 14 63
3 Crewe Alexandra 33 18 7 8 60 40 17 11 3 3 33 16 16 7 4 5 27 24 20 61
4 Plymouth Argyle 33 18 7 8 54 37 16 10 4 2 32 16 17 8 3 6 22 21 17 61
5 Cheltenham Town 32 14 12 6 47 26 15 9 4 2 32 16 17 5 8 4 15 10 21 54
6 Port Vale 34 14 12 8 46 40 17 9 7 1 26 13 17 5 5 7 20 27 6 54
7 Colchester United 34 13 13 8 47 34 17 9 5 3 28 15 17 4 8 5 19 19 13 52
8 Northampton Town 33 15 7 11 47 36 17 10 2 5 28 12 16 5 5 6 19 24 11 52
9 Bradford City 34 13 12 9 41 35 17 10 5 2 27 13 17 3 7 7 14 22 6 51
10 Forest Green Rovers 34 12 10 12 41 39 17 5 4 8 16 22 17 7 6 4 25 17 2 46
11 Salford City 34 11 11 12 44 44 17 4 6 7 17 22 17 7 5 5 27 22 0 44
12 Cambridge United 34 12 8 14 38 44 17 7 3 7 22 25 17 5 5 7 16 19 -6 44
13 Walsall 34 12 7 15 35 46 17 5 4 8 16 23 17 7 3 7 19 23 -11 43
14 Crawley Town 34 9 14 11 45 46 17 8 5 4 25 19 17 1 9 7 20 27 -1 41
15 Grimsby Town 32 10 11 11 38 40 16 5 5 6 18 22 16 5 6 5 20 18 -2 41
16 Newport County 31 10 10 11 27 27 17 7 7 3 17 12 14 3 3 8 10 15 0 40
17 Leyton Orient 34 9 11 14 43 52 17 4 7 6 22 27 17 5 4 8 21 25 -9 38
18 Oldham Athletic 34 8 13 13 37 52 17 5 7 5 23 21 17 3 6 8 14 31 -15 37
19 Scunthorpe United 33 9 9 15 41 50 17 5 6 6 23 23 16 4 3 9 18 27 -9 36
20 Mansfield Town 34 8 11 15 46 53 17 4 5 8 27 29 17 4 6 7 19 24 -7 35
21 Carlisle United 33 8 11 14 33 50 16 4 6 6 13 21 17 4 5 8 20 29 -17 35
22 Macclesfield Town 34 7 15 12 32 40 17 5 9 3 19 15 17 2 6 9 13 25 -8 30
23 Morecambe 34 7 9 18 32 56 17 4 7 6 19 22 17 3 2 12 13 34 -24 30
24 Stevenage 34 3 13 18 23 45 17 2 6 9 10 22 17 1 7 9 13 23 -22 22

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Swindon Town 33 19 6 8 57 36 16 11 2 3 29 14 17 8 4 5 28 22 21 63
2 Exeter City 33 18 9 6 50 36 16 10 5 1 29 13 17 8 4 5 21 23 14 63
3 Crewe Alexandra 33 18 7 8 60 40 17 11 3 3 33 16 16 7 4 5 27 24 20 61
4 Plymouth Argyle 33 18 7 8 54 37 16 10 4 2 32 16 17 8 3 6 22 21 17 61
5 Cheltenham Town 32 14 12 6 47 26 15 9 4 2 32 16 17 5 8 4 15 10 21 54
6 Port Vale 34 14 12 8 46 40 17 9 7 1 26 13 17 5 5 7 20 27 6 54
7 Colchester United 34 13 13 8 47 34 17 9 5 3 28 15 17 4 8 5 19 19 13 52
8 Northampton Town 33 15 7 11 47 36 17 10 2 5 28 12 16 5 5 6 19 24 11 52
9 Bradford City 34 13 12 9 41 35 17 10 5 2 27 13 17 3 7 7 14 22 6 51
10 Forest Green Rovers 34 12 10 12 41 39 17 5 4 8 16 22 17 7 6 4 25 17 2 46
11 Salford City 34 11 11 12 44 44 17 4 6 7 17 22 17 7 5 5 27 22 0 44
12 Cambridge United 34 12 8 14 38 44 17 7 3 7 22 25 17 5 5 7 16 19 -6 44
13 Walsall 34 12 7 15 35 46 17 5 4 8 16 23 17 7 3 7 19 23 -11 43
14 Crawley Town 34 9 14 11 45 46 17 8 5 4 25 19 17 1 9 7 20 27 -1 41
15 Grimsby Town 32 10 11 11 38 40 16 5 5 6 18 22 16 5 6 5 20 18 -2 41
16 Newport County 31 10 10 11 27 27 17 7 7 3 17 12 14 3 3 8 10 15 0 40
17 Leyton Orient 34 9 11 14 43 52 17 4 7 6 22 27 17 5 4 8 21 25 -9 38
18 Oldham Athletic 34 8 13 13 37 52 17 5 7 5 23 21 17 3 6 8 14 31 -15 37
19 Scunthorpe United 33 9 9 15 41 50 17 5 6 6 23 23 16 4 3 9 18 27 -9 36
20 Mansfield Town 34 8 11 15 46 53 17 4 5 8 27 29 17 4 6 7 19 24 -7 35
21 Carlisle United 33 8 11 14 33 50 16 4 6 6 13 21 17 4 5 8 20 29 -17 35
22 Macclesfield Town 34 7 15 12 32 40 17 5 9 3 19 15 17 2 6 9 13 25 -8 30
23 Morecambe 34 7 9 18 32 56 17 4 7 6 19 22 17 3 2 12 13 34 -24 30
24 Stevenage 34 3 13 18 23 45 17 2 6 9 10 22 17 1 7 9 13 23 -22 22

More from England - League Two

Read more about League Two

The English Football League Two (usually referred to as League Two) is the fourth highest division in English football. The League Two league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Four teams are promoted and four relegated.