League Two forecast and guide: Forest Green Rovers modest betting favourite to outplay Rochdale

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Competition: England League Two
Competition: Tue 08.February
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: The New Lawn (5147 seats)

League Two: High-level versus not good enough, at least according to the league table. Forest Green Rovers - Rochdale. Home win or a surprise result?

Insights:
  • Forest Green Rovers have the most scored goals (58) in League Two
  • Rochdale have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Forest Green Rovers have less rest than Rochdale in this fixture, as the hosts were involved in a League Two game only three days ago. This match was also played here at The New Lawn. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Rochdale have had more rest.

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Forest Green Rovers form and stats

Forest Green Rovers are steadily winning League Two games and points here at The New Lawn. 10 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats is the summary from 14 games. Forest Green Rovers haven’t lost a league-game in 17 attempts regardless of arena, a great achievement. Their last loss was the fixture versus Swindon Town, 122 days ago.

Rovers's previous game was also played at home, ending 2-0 versus Newport County (placed 5th). The home side are looking to build on that result. Wilson (midfield was the top team player in that game with a rating of 8.8/10. Wilson signed up for two assists, hit five key passes and dribled past the opponent 4 of 6 times.

A 1-1 draw away before that, with Port Vale the opponent.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Forest Green Rovers's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played six games, won four matches, drawn one and lost one.

There will be little rest for Forest Green Rovers after this match as they are travelling to Sutton United for a League Two game in only four days.

The Forest Green Rovers fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 25 goals in 14 league matches. Forest Green Rovers have only conceded 9 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Rochdale form and stats

As the visiting team in League Two matches, Rochdale have produced an overall stat of 3-6-5 so far. The last three matches for Rochdale have all ended in a draw.

Rochdale are the visiting side once again, their previous game being the 1-1 draw at Colchester United (placed 20th).

Preceding that game, the 0-0 draw paying a visit to Oldham Athletic.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Rochdale playing away, we found four games. Results were one away win, one draw and two home wins.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Harrogate Town in just four days.

Rochdale have scored 17 goals on their travels this season, from 14 away games in the league. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. As for defending, Rochdale rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 21 goals from these away matches.

Head 2 Head

The records show that this isn''t the first time these teams meet this season, as the fixture list show this recent fixture: Rochdale - Rovers 1-2. Head-2-head stats last two meetings: two - zero - zero (Forest Green Rovers wins - draws - Rochdale wins). As for goals, one match ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), one had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Forest Green RoversM. Stevens
M. Stevens
19 goals
Forest Green RoversJ. Matt
J. Matt
17 goals
Forest Green RoversN. Cadden
N. Cadden
6 goals

Forest Green Rovers missing players

Rochdale missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Forest Green Rovers Rochdale
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
28 14 3 Played P 4 14 26
18 10 3 Won W 1 3 6
8 2 0 Drew D 2 6 12
2 2 0 Lost L 1 5 8
58 25 7 Scored S 6 17 31
22 9 0 Conceded C 6 21 33
89% 86% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 79% 81%
86% 79% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 79% 69%
39% 29% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 50% 46%
29% 14% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 36% 31%
11% 7% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 21% 15%
43% 21% 0% BTTS BTTS 75% 64% 58%
50% 64% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 21% 27%
18% 29% 0% Failed to Score F T 25% 36% 35%
 
5.9 5.9 5.3 Corners for (avg) C F 7 5.6 6
5.1 5.9 4.7 Corners against (avg) C A 4.2 4.9 4.7
1.4 1.4 0.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.2 1.1 1
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
13.2 15.1 16.7 Shots (avg) S ( 12.5 11.6 13.2
4.9 5.3 6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.2 3.1 3.5
42% 34% 39% Goal Efficiency G E 35% 39% 34%
 
10.7 10.4 8.7 Shots against (avg) S A 12 12.6 12
3.1 3.1 2.7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4 4.3 3.8
Key stats in League Two this season:
  • Forest Green Rovers have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Forest Green Rovers have the most scored goals (58) in League Two
  • Forest Green Rovers have the most scored goals in the first half (26) in League Two
  • Forest Green Rovers have the the best goal difference (+16) at home in League Two
  • Forest Green Rovers have the the best goal difference (+36) in League Two
  • Rochdale have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Forest Green Rovers 28 18 8 2 58 22 14 10 2 2 25 9 14 8 6 0 33 13 36 62
2 Tranmere Rovers 29 15 7 7 30 20 15 11 0 4 20 10 14 4 7 3 10 10 10 52
3 Sutton United 28 14 6 8 44 34 14 9 2 3 23 13 14 5 4 5 21 21 10 48
4 Northampton Town 28 14 6 8 34 25 14 8 2 4 18 10 14 6 4 4 16 15 9 48
5 Newport County 29 13 8 8 46 37 13 7 3 3 26 14 16 6 5 5 20 23 9 47
6 Mansfield Town 27 13 6 8 37 31 16 10 3 3 27 17 11 3 3 5 10 14 6 45
7 Exeter City 27 11 11 5 39 27 13 6 5 2 19 11 14 5 6 3 20 16 12 44
8 Swindon Town 28 11 10 7 43 35 14 3 7 4 18 17 14 8 3 3 25 18 8 43
9 Port Vale 26 11 7 8 38 28 14 6 4 4 19 13 12 5 3 4 19 15 10 40
10 Salford City 29 11 7 11 33 29 15 6 6 3 17 12 14 5 1 8 16 17 4 40
11 Harrogate Town 27 10 7 10 40 38 14 5 5 4 23 18 13 5 2 6 17 20 2 37
12 Bradford City 29 8 13 8 35 35 14 4 8 2 21 17 15 4 5 6 14 18 0 37
13 Bristol Rovers 26 10 7 9 35 37 13 7 1 5 20 18 13 3 6 4 15 19 -2 37
14 Crawley Town 28 10 7 11 34 39 13 4 4 5 17 20 15 6 3 6 17 19 -5 37
15 Leyton Orient 27 7 12 8 38 26 14 6 4 4 24 9 13 1 8 4 14 17 12 33
16 Stevenage 30 7 11 12 30 45 15 6 6 3 21 18 15 1 5 9 9 27 -15 32
17 Hartlepool United 27 8 7 12 25 37 13 7 4 2 17 12 14 1 3 10 8 25 -12 31
18 Rochdale 26 6 12 8 31 33 12 3 6 3 14 12 14 3 6 5 17 21 -2 30
19 Barrow 29 7 9 13 29 36 15 3 6 6 16 20 14 4 3 7 13 16 -7 30
20 Colchester United 28 7 9 12 25 37 13 3 5 5 12 16 15 4 4 7 13 21 -12 30
21 Walsall 28 7 8 13 30 38 15 4 5 6 20 22 13 3 3 7 10 16 -8 29
22 Carlisle United 28 6 9 13 20 37 14 3 7 4 9 12 14 3 2 9 11 25 -17 27
23 Oldham Athletic 27 5 7 15 23 42 13 2 3 8 16 25 14 3 4 7 7 17 -19 22
24 Scunthorpe United 29 3 10 16 21 50 14 2 4 8 10 21 15 1 6 8 11 29 -29 19

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Forest Green Rovers 28 18 8 2 58 22 14 10 2 2 25 9 14 8 6 0 33 13 36 62
2 Tranmere Rovers 29 15 7 7 30 20 15 11 0 4 20 10 14 4 7 3 10 10 10 52
3 Sutton United 28 14 6 8 44 34 14 9 2 3 23 13 14 5 4 5 21 21 10 48
4 Northampton Town 28 14 6 8 34 25 14 8 2 4 18 10 14 6 4 4 16 15 9 48
5 Newport County 29 13 8 8 46 37 13 7 3 3 26 14 16 6 5 5 20 23 9 47
6 Mansfield Town 27 13 6 8 37 31 16 10 3 3 27 17 11 3 3 5 10 14 6 45
7 Exeter City 27 11 11 5 39 27 13 6 5 2 19 11 14 5 6 3 20 16 12 44
8 Swindon Town 28 11 10 7 43 35 14 3 7 4 18 17 14 8 3 3 25 18 8 43
9 Port Vale 26 11 7 8 38 28 14 6 4 4 19 13 12 5 3 4 19 15 10 40
10 Salford City 29 11 7 11 33 29 15 6 6 3 17 12 14 5 1 8 16 17 4 40
11 Harrogate Town 27 10 7 10 40 38 14 5 5 4 23 18 13 5 2 6 17 20 2 37
12 Bradford City 29 8 13 8 35 35 14 4 8 2 21 17 15 4 5 6 14 18 0 37
13 Bristol Rovers 26 10 7 9 35 37 13 7 1 5 20 18 13 3 6 4 15 19 -2 37
14 Crawley Town 28 10 7 11 34 39 13 4 4 5 17 20 15 6 3 6 17 19 -5 37
15 Leyton Orient 27 7 12 8 38 26 14 6 4 4 24 9 13 1 8 4 14 17 12 33
16 Stevenage 30 7 11 12 30 45 15 6 6 3 21 18 15 1 5 9 9 27 -15 32
17 Hartlepool United 27 8 7 12 25 37 13 7 4 2 17 12 14 1 3 10 8 25 -12 31
18 Rochdale 26 6 12 8 31 33 12 3 6 3 14 12 14 3 6 5 17 21 -2 30
19 Barrow 29 7 9 13 29 36 15 3 6 6 16 20 14 4 3 7 13 16 -7 30
20 Colchester United 28 7 9 12 25 37 13 3 5 5 12 16 15 4 4 7 13 21 -12 30
21 Walsall 28 7 8 13 30 38 15 4 5 6 20 22 13 3 3 7 10 16 -8 29
22 Carlisle United 28 6 9 13 20 37 14 3 7 4 9 12 14 3 2 9 11 25 -17 27
23 Oldham Athletic 27 5 7 15 23 42 13 2 3 8 16 25 14 3 4 7 7 17 -19 22
24 Scunthorpe United 29 3 10 16 21 50 14 2 4 8 10 21 15 1 6 8 11 29 -29 19

More from England - League Two

Read more about League Two

The English Football League Two (usually referred to as League Two) is the fourth highest division in English football. The League Two league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Four teams are promoted and four relegated.