League Two: Carlisle United expected to win home against Stevenage

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Competition: England League Two
Competition: Sat 12.December
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Brunton Park (18202 seats)

The league table in League Two tells a story about these teams so far, with Carlisle United leading Stevenage by 16 points. Match preview to follow:

Insights:
  • Carlisle United have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Stevenage have yet to win a game away.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Carlisle United form and stats

Carlisle United have been very solid at home in the League Two so far, with 18 points collected from 7 matches (6-0-1). This has contributed greatly to their 4th position in the table.

It's back home for Carlisle United, who return with a good feeling about themselves after beating Bradford City away with the result 1-0. Rhys Bennett found the net in that victory. Ahead of that match, Carlisle United won a home game hosting Salford City (2-1).

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Carlisle's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played two games, won two matches, drawn zero and lost zero.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the League Two game versus Mansfield Town in only three days. This game is also played here at Brunton Park.

The Carlisle manager C. Beech has got the team scoring with 15 from 7 home games in the league. Carlisle United's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 8 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Stevenage form and stats

Stevenage have only collected 5 points from their away games in the League Two, after 0-5-3 (8 played). Visiting Stevenage has seen their last two away games both end with a tied score and one point each.

Stevenage delivered a 0-0 draw playing at home against Southend United (placed 24th) in their previous match; a League Two game. A 1-1 draw at Walsall's stadium before that.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Stevenage playing away, we found seven games. Results were two away wins, three draws and two home wins.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Stevenage manager A. Revell as the team has another away game coming up in only three days, this time against Tranmere Rovers.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Stevenage as they have only managed to score 5 times from 8 away games in the league. 9 goals have been conceded by Stevenage in these games.

Head 2 Head

H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Carlisle United four wins, two draws and Stevenage four victories. As for goals, three matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), seven games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Carlisle UnitedJ. Mellish
J. Mellish
7 goals
CarlisleA. Hayden
A. Hayden
3 goals
Carlisle UnitedL. Alessandra
L. Alessandra
3 goals

Carlisle United missing players

Stevenage missing players

Carlisle United Stevenage
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
16 7 2 Played P 1 8 16
9 6 2 Won W 0 0 2
2 0 0 Drew D 0 5 7
5 1 0 Lost L 1 3 7
22 15 3 Scored S 0 5 11
16 8 0 Conceded C 1 9 16
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 75% 75%
62% 86% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 62% 56%
44% 71% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 25% 31%
19% 43% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 12% 6%
12% 29% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
44% 71% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 62% 44%
31% 29% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 25% 31%
25% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 38% 50%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.5 2 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1.8 1.5
2 1 1 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
16.4 16.9 15.5 Shots (avg) S ( 3 8.9 11.1
4.8 5.1 5.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1 2.5 3.4
29% 42% 27% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 25% 20%
Key stats in League Two this season:
  • Carlisle United have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Carlisle United have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Stevenage have scored away.
  • Carlisle United have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Carlisle United haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Stevenage have yet to win a game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Newport County 15 10 3 2 24 13 8 7 1 0 13 6 7 3 2 2 11 7 11 33
2 Cheltenham Town 16 10 2 4 29 16 9 5 2 2 16 10 7 5 0 2 13 6 13 32
3 Forest Green Rovers 16 8 5 3 21 14 7 3 3 1 9 7 9 5 2 2 12 7 7 29
4 Carlisle United 16 9 2 5 22 16 7 6 0 1 15 8 9 3 2 4 7 8 6 29
5 Exeter City 16 7 6 3 33 23 7 5 0 2 15 7 9 2 6 1 18 16 10 27
6 Cambridge United 15 7 4 4 27 13 9 4 3 2 13 8 6 3 1 2 14 5 14 25
7 Salford City 15 7 4 4 23 13 8 4 4 0 15 6 7 3 0 4 8 7 10 25
8 Leyton Orient 16 7 3 6 24 19 7 3 2 2 13 8 9 4 1 4 11 11 5 24
9 Colchester United 15 6 6 3 23 22 8 6 2 0 16 8 7 0 4 3 7 14 1 24
10 Tranmere Rovers 16 7 3 6 19 18 8 4 0 4 11 8 8 3 3 2 8 10 1 24
11 Port Vale 16 7 1 8 24 21 8 3 1 4 10 10 8 4 0 4 14 11 3 22
12 Bolton Wanderers 16 6 4 6 20 24 9 3 2 4 11 12 7 3 2 2 9 12 -4 22
13 Morecambe 16 6 4 6 19 27 7 2 3 2 7 11 9 4 1 4 12 16 -8 22
14 Walsall 16 4 9 3 17 18 8 3 3 2 6 6 8 1 6 1 11 12 -1 21
15 Crawley Town 16 5 5 6 23 22 7 4 1 2 13 7 9 1 4 4 10 15 1 20
16 Oldham Athletic 16 6 2 8 23 29 8 1 1 6 8 14 8 5 1 2 15 15 -6 20
17 Harrogate Town 16 5 4 7 17 20 8 1 3 4 7 12 8 4 1 3 10 8 -3 19
18 Scunthorpe United 14 5 2 7 15 21 7 2 2 3 6 12 7 3 0 4 9 9 -6 17
19 Mansfield Town 16 2 9 5 17 22 9 0 5 4 9 15 7 2 4 1 8 7 -5 15
20 Grimsby Town 14 4 3 7 13 24 5 1 1 3 4 11 9 3 2 4 9 13 -11 15
21 Barrow 16 2 7 7 20 24 9 1 6 2 14 15 7 1 1 5 6 9 -4 13
22 Stevenage 16 2 7 7 11 16 8 2 2 4 6 7 8 0 5 3 5 9 -5 13
23 Bradford City 15 3 4 8 14 20 9 2 3 4 9 11 6 1 1 4 5 9 -6 13
24 Southend United 15 1 3 11 6 29 7 0 1 6 4 15 8 1 2 5 2 14 -23 6

Read more about League Two

The English Football League Two (usually referred to as League Two) is the fourth highest division in English football. The League Two league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Four teams are promoted and four relegated.