League Two prediction and preview: Carlisle United modest favorites to beat Crawley Town

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: England League Two
Competition: Tue 30.March
Match begins: 18:00 (UTC)
Venue: Brunton Park (18202 seats)

Getting closer to the top teams is at stake when these two mid-table clubs battle it out. Both will be aiming to improve their league table standing, Carlisle United in 14th and Crawley Town in 11th place.

Insights:
  • Carlisle United have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Crawley Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

L L L D W

Carlisle United form and stats

When playing at home in the League Two, Carlisle United have managed 10 wins, 2 draws and suffered 6 defeats from 18 games. With three straight defeats the pressure is piling up on Carlisle United to get some points in this home game. Two defeats in a row at home hurts for Carlisle, their manager C. Beech and the supporters. There are certain expectations for improvement.

The Carlisle crowd went home unhappy last time out, seeing their beloved players lose 1-2 to Cambridge United here at Brunton Park in a League Two match. Preceding that match was a defeat to Leyton Orient (0-1).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Carlisle have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found nine games) they have won five times, drawn zero and lost four.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Carlisle as they are travelling to their away game against Southend United in the League Two. That match is four days after this one.

The Carlisle United fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 33 goals in 18 league matches. 24 goals have been conceded.

L L D W W

Crawley Town form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their League Two travels is 5 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats.

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a League Two home defeat versus Port Vale with 1-3 on the scoreboard. Prior to that match, the Crawley manager J. Yems faced defeat when travelling to Barrow and losing 2-3.

We have checked recent matches where Crawley have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 17 games were five victories, six draws and six defeats.

The visitors will be packing their bags again in only three days as another away game awaits: The League Two trip to Scunthorpe United.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Crawley have scored 21 goals in 17 league games away. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Crawley have conceded 28 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Crawley Town - Carlisle 0-3, played this season. Last ten meetings between the teams: Carlisle United won seven, Crawley Town won zero and three draws. seven games with over 2,5 goals, three matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Crawley TownT. Nichols
T. Nichols
11 goals
Carlisle UnitedJ. Mellish
J. Mellish
8 goals
Carlisle UnitedL. Alessandra
L. Alessandra
7 goals

Carlisle United missing players

Crawley Town missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Carlisle United Crawley Town
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
35 18 4 Played P 3 17 36
14 10 3 Won W 1 5 14
6 2 0 Drew D 2 4 9
15 6 1 Lost L 0 8 13
47 33 9 Scored S 4 21 48
44 24 3 Conceded C 3 28 47
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 97%
69% 78% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 82% 75%
49% 67% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 53% 47%
29% 44% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 29% 28%
11% 22% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 18% 11%
54% 67% 50% BTTS BTTS 100% 71% 58%
26% 28% 25% Clean Sheets C S 0% 12% 28%
20% 6% 25% Failed to Score F T 0% 18% 17%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.7 2 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 1 1.2
3 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 3
 
14.6 15.3 18.2 Shots (avg) S ( 11 11.8 10.9
4.4 4.9 5.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4 4.4 3.9
30% 37% 41% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 28% 34%
Key stats in League Two this season:
  • Carlisle United have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Carlisle United haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Crawley Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Crawley Town haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Cambridge United 38 20 7 11 57 35 19 10 5 4 24 14 19 10 2 7 33 21 22 67
2 Cheltenham Town 37 19 8 10 48 34 18 9 4 5 26 19 19 10 4 5 22 15 14 65
3 Tranmere Rovers 37 18 9 10 51 42 19 10 2 7 28 21 18 8 7 3 23 21 9 63
4 Bolton Wanderers 37 18 9 10 48 43 19 9 4 6 23 20 18 9 5 4 25 23 5 63
5 Forest Green Rovers 37 17 11 9 49 38 18 8 6 4 26 20 19 9 5 5 23 18 11 62
6 Morecambe 37 18 8 11 52 49 18 10 4 4 27 21 19 8 4 7 25 28 3 62
7 Newport County 36 16 9 11 46 37 17 9 4 4 19 16 19 7 5 7 27 21 9 57
8 Exeter City 36 15 11 10 60 42 18 10 3 5 34 17 18 5 8 5 26 25 18 56
9 Leyton Orient 37 15 8 14 42 40 19 8 6 5 26 18 18 7 2 9 16 22 2 53
10 Salford City 36 13 12 11 41 30 18 8 10 0 28 12 18 5 2 11 13 18 11 51
11 Crawley Town 36 14 9 13 48 47 19 9 5 5 27 19 17 5 4 8 21 28 1 51
12 Bradford City 36 14 9 13 40 41 17 7 6 4 17 14 19 7 3 9 23 27 -1 51
13 Stevenage 38 11 16 11 33 33 19 8 6 5 22 14 19 3 10 6 11 19 0 49
14 Carlisle United 35 14 6 15 47 44 18 10 2 6 33 24 17 4 4 9 14 20 3 48
15 Harrogate Town 37 14 6 17 40 42 18 6 4 8 15 17 19 8 2 9 25 25 -2 48
16 Scunthorpe United 36 13 6 17 38 45 19 7 4 8 22 25 17 6 2 9 16 20 -7 45
17 Oldham Athletic 38 12 9 17 55 64 19 5 2 12 25 34 19 7 7 5 30 30 -9 45
18 Port Vale 38 12 8 18 49 52 19 6 5 8 23 21 19 6 3 10 26 31 -3 44
19 Mansfield Town 38 9 17 12 45 49 19 4 9 6 25 27 19 5 8 6 20 22 -4 44
20 Walsall 37 8 17 12 39 46 18 5 5 8 17 22 19 3 12 4 22 24 -7 41
21 Colchester United 38 8 15 15 36 53 19 7 6 6 26 24 19 1 9 9 10 29 -17 39
22 Barrow 36 10 8 18 42 46 18 5 7 6 25 24 18 5 1 12 17 22 -4 38
23 Southend United 38 8 11 19 23 50 19 4 4 11 13 25 19 4 7 8 10 25 -27 35
24 Grimsby Town 37 7 11 19 28 55 19 3 7 9 13 25 18 4 4 10 15 30 -27 32

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Cambridge United 38 20 7 11 57 35 19 10 5 4 24 14 19 10 2 7 33 21 22 67
2 Cheltenham Town 37 19 8 10 48 34 18 9 4 5 26 19 19 10 4 5 22 15 14 65
3 Tranmere Rovers 37 18 9 10 51 42 19 10 2 7 28 21 18 8 7 3 23 21 9 63
4 Bolton Wanderers 37 18 9 10 48 43 19 9 4 6 23 20 18 9 5 4 25 23 5 63
5 Forest Green Rovers 37 17 11 9 49 38 18 8 6 4 26 20 19 9 5 5 23 18 11 62
6 Morecambe 37 18 8 11 52 49 18 10 4 4 27 21 19 8 4 7 25 28 3 62
7 Newport County 36 16 9 11 46 37 17 9 4 4 19 16 19 7 5 7 27 21 9 57
8 Exeter City 36 15 11 10 60 42 18 10 3 5 34 17 18 5 8 5 26 25 18 56
9 Leyton Orient 37 15 8 14 42 40 19 8 6 5 26 18 18 7 2 9 16 22 2 53
10 Salford City 36 13 12 11 41 30 18 8 10 0 28 12 18 5 2 11 13 18 11 51
11 Crawley Town 36 14 9 13 48 47 19 9 5 5 27 19 17 5 4 8 21 28 1 51
12 Bradford City 36 14 9 13 40 41 17 7 6 4 17 14 19 7 3 9 23 27 -1 51
13 Stevenage 38 11 16 11 33 33 19 8 6 5 22 14 19 3 10 6 11 19 0 49
14 Carlisle United 35 14 6 15 47 44 18 10 2 6 33 24 17 4 4 9 14 20 3 48
15 Harrogate Town 37 14 6 17 40 42 18 6 4 8 15 17 19 8 2 9 25 25 -2 48
16 Scunthorpe United 36 13 6 17 38 45 19 7 4 8 22 25 17 6 2 9 16 20 -7 45
17 Oldham Athletic 38 12 9 17 55 64 19 5 2 12 25 34 19 7 7 5 30 30 -9 45
18 Port Vale 38 12 8 18 49 52 19 6 5 8 23 21 19 6 3 10 26 31 -3 44
19 Mansfield Town 38 9 17 12 45 49 19 4 9 6 25 27 19 5 8 6 20 22 -4 44
20 Walsall 37 8 17 12 39 46 18 5 5 8 17 22 19 3 12 4 22 24 -7 41
21 Colchester United 38 8 15 15 36 53 19 7 6 6 26 24 19 1 9 9 10 29 -17 39
22 Barrow 36 10 8 18 42 46 18 5 7 6 25 24 18 5 1 12 17 22 -4 38
23 Southend United 38 8 11 19 23 50 19 4 4 11 13 25 19 4 7 8 10 25 -27 35
24 Grimsby Town 37 7 11 19 28 55 19 3 7 9 13 25 18 4 4 10 15 30 -27 32

More from England - League Two

Read more about League Two

The English Football League Two (usually referred to as League Two) is the fourth highest division in English football. The League Two league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Four teams are promoted and four relegated.