Carlisle United favourites for feisty fight facing Crawley Town

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Competition: England League Two
Competition: Sat 15.January
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Brunton Park (18202 seats)

Carlisle United are counting on their home following to help them to win this fixture with Crawley Town. Who wins at Brunton Park?

Insights:
  • Crawley Town haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Carlisle United form and stats

Carlisle United have played 11 League Two games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 3-5-3 (wins-draws-losses). Hopes of three in a row are alive for Carlisle after consecutive victories at their own ground.

Carlisle are confident in defense, having played 354 minutes without conceding a goal in the league.

A nice win for Carlisle last time playing, versus Bradford City. That was also a home game and the match ended 2-0 with Gibson and Patrick scoring for the victors. Armer was "man of the match" with a rating of 8.04 out of 10. The defender Armer signed up for two assists, hit two key passes and won 3 of 4 duels.

Prior to that, an away loss at Harrogate Town in the EFL Trophy.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Carlisle United have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 15 games) they have won seven times, drawn five and lost three.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the League Two game versus Hartlepool United in only three days. This game is also played here at Brunton Park.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Carlisle here at Brunton Park in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (8 from 11 games). Carlisle United have only conceded 9 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Crawley Town form and stats

5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses. That’s the product of Crawley Town playing as the away team in the League Two this season. Crawley has recorded two wins in a row in their away matches and hold legitimate hopes of a third one.

It's the second away game in a row for Crawley, but there's smiles all around after the 1-0 victory versus Northampton Town (placed 3rd) in the League Two last time out. The attacker Nichols got a match rating of 7.7 in that game. Nichols scored one goal and hit one key pass.

Prior to that match, a home win 3-1 against Colchester United.

We have checked recent matches where Crawley have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 16 games were six victories, five draws and five defeats.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Crawley manager Yems as the team has another away game coming up in only three days, this time against Stevenage.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Crawley have scored 12 goals in 11 league games away. As opposed to that, Crawley have seen the ball go into their own net 14 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

The squads have met each other previously this season, with the final score Crawley Town - Carlisle 2-1 logged in the official records. Carlisle United-Crawley Town H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Carlisle six wins, Crawley Town one win, three draws. seven of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

Crawley TownK. Appiah
K. Appiah
8 goals
CarlisleJ. Gibson
J. Gibson
4 goals
Carlisle UnitedJ. Mellish
J. Mellish
3 goals

Carlisle United missing players

Crawley Town missing players

Carlisle United Crawley Town
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
23 11 5 Played P 5 11 22
6 3 3 Won W 3 5 9
7 5 1 Drew D 0 1 4
10 3 1 Lost L 2 5 9
18 8 6 Scored S 4 12 27
29 9 4 Conceded C 3 14 31
83% 73% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 95%
65% 55% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 20% 45% 64%
43% 18% 20% Over 2.5 O 2.5 20% 36% 55%
13% 9% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 9% 23%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 9% 9%
35% 27% 40% BTTS BTTS 20% 45% 64%
35% 45% 40% Clean Sheets C S 60% 36% 23%
48% 55% 20% Failed to Score F T 20% 18% 18%
 
5.1 5.6 4.8 Corners for (avg) C F 6.6 4.5 4
4.4 4.5 4.6 Corners against (avg) C A 4.4 5.2 5.5
1.5 1.1 1.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.4 1.5 1.6
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 3
 
12.2 12.3 10.4 Shots (avg) S ( 12.2 10.5 10
3.8 3.2 3.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.6 3.3 3.2
21% 23% 32% Goal Efficiency G E 22% 33% 38%
 
11 10.2 10 Shots against (avg) S A 11 12.3 12
3.6 3.5 3.6 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.2 3.9 4.7
Key stats in League Two this season:
  • Crawley Town haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Forest Green Rovers 22 14 6 2 45 20 11 7 2 2 18 9 11 7 4 0 27 11 25 48
2 Tranmere Rovers 23 12 5 6 24 14 12 9 0 3 17 6 11 3 5 3 7 8 10 41
3 Northampton Town 23 12 4 7 31 23 11 7 1 3 16 8 12 5 3 4 15 15 8 40
4 Sutton United 23 12 3 8 35 28 11 8 0 3 19 10 12 4 3 5 16 18 7 39
5 Swindon Town 22 10 7 5 34 26 11 3 5 3 15 13 11 7 2 2 19 13 8 37
6 Port Vale 21 10 5 6 35 23 10 5 3 2 16 8 11 5 2 4 19 15 12 35
7 Newport County 24 9 8 7 38 34 11 5 3 3 20 13 13 4 5 4 18 21 4 35
8 Exeter City 23 8 10 5 33 26 11 5 4 2 17 11 12 3 6 3 16 15 7 34
9 Mansfield Town 22 9 5 8 27 28 13 7 3 3 20 15 9 2 2 5 7 13 -1 32
10 Leyton Orient 22 7 10 5 37 21 11 6 3 2 24 7 11 1 7 3 13 14 16 31
11 Crawley Town 22 9 4 9 27 31 11 4 3 4 15 17 11 5 1 5 12 14 -4 31
12 Salford City 22 8 6 8 26 21 12 5 5 2 14 7 10 3 1 6 12 14 5 30
13 Harrogate Town 22 8 6 8 35 31 11 3 4 4 18 18 11 5 2 4 17 13 4 30
14 Bradford City 23 6 11 6 29 28 11 3 7 1 17 13 12 3 4 5 12 15 1 29
15 Walsall 23 7 8 8 29 30 12 4 5 3 19 17 11 3 3 5 10 13 -1 29
16 Hartlepool United 23 8 4 11 24 34 12 7 3 2 16 11 11 1 1 9 8 23 -10 28
17 Rochdale 22 6 9 7 30 30 11 3 5 3 14 12 11 3 4 4 16 18 0 27
18 Bristol Rovers 21 7 5 9 27 33 11 5 1 5 17 18 10 2 4 4 10 15 -6 26
19 Carlisle United 23 6 7 10 18 29 11 3 5 3 8 9 12 3 2 7 10 20 -11 25
20 Barrow 23 5 8 10 23 28 12 3 5 4 14 14 11 2 3 6 9 14 -5 23
21 Stevenage 24 5 8 11 19 37 12 4 5 3 13 14 12 1 3 8 6 23 -18 23
22 Colchester United 21 5 7 9 17 28 10 3 3 4 10 12 11 2 4 5 7 16 -11 22
23 Scunthorpe United 24 3 10 11 19 42 11 2 4 5 8 16 13 1 6 6 11 26 -23 19
24 Oldham Athletic 24 4 6 14 22 39 12 2 2 8 16 25 12 2 4 6 6 14 -17 18

Read more about League Two

The English Football League Two (usually referred to as League Two) is the fourth highest division in English football. The League Two league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Four teams are promoted and four relegated.