League One preview: Can Shrewsbury Town edge out victory against Cheltenham Town?

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Competition: England League One
Competition: Thu 29.December
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Montgomery Waters Meadow (9875 seats)

Shrewsbury Town have 29 points performing as the hosts. Cheltenham Town have gained 25 points using the away locker rooms. Should we expect a home win?

Insights:
  • Shrewsbury Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Cheltenham Town have the fewest scored goals (16) in League One

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Shrewsbury Town form and stats

Shrewsbury Town have collected 17 points from their League One home games so far after 5-2-4. The opportunity of a proper winning streak is there for the hosts, with two straight wins here at Montgomery Waters Meadow.

Shrewsbury faced defeat in their previous match, away at Cambridge United (1-2). The versatile forward Saydee outshone all others in that match and was awarded a match rating of 7.8 out of 10. Saydee scored one goal and hit two key passes.

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Bolton Wanderers in a game that was won 3-2.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Shrewsbury Town have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 6 games) they have won 3 times, drawn 2 and lost 1.

The match schedule is unforgiving for Shrewsbury Town as they have a new game in only three days, a League One match thankfully also at home. Fleetwood Town are visiting.

Shrewsbury Town has scored 13 league goals at home this season, in 11 matches. Shrewsbury's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 13 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Cheltenham Town form and stats

There's been little loot from Cheltenham Town's travels as they have only collected 9 points from 10 away games in the League One. Cheltenham Town only have 2 wins to counter their 5 defeats and 3 draws.

Cheltenham Town have been frustrated by their lack of goals lately, as they haven't scored in the league since they found the net 186 minutes ago. May was the goal scorer.

Cheltenham Town failed to get anything from their last game, a home match vs Plymouth Argyle (placed 1st) that ended with defeat 0-1. Raglan, who plays in defense, got the "man of the match" on his team with the rating 7.71. Raglan hit one key pass and won 9 of 12 duels.

Before that match, the win at home hosting Chelsea U21 in the EFL Trophy (4-0). We have checked recent matches where Cheltenham have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 9 games were 1 victory, 5 draws and 3 defeats.

Low on goals? 11 of this club's most recent 13 league rounds have had two or less goals.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Cheltenham Town manager Elliott as the team has another away game coming up in only three days, this time against Bristol Rovers.

Goals are few and far between in Cheltenham Town's away league games. Only {5 goals} from 10 travels.

Head 2 Head

The former head-to-head encounter ended Cheltenham Town - Shrewsbury 2-0, earlier this season. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: five - three - two (Shrewsbury Town wins - draws - Cheltenham Town wins). As for goals, four matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), six had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Cheltenham TownA. May
A. May
5 goals
Shrewsbury TownT. Bayliss
T. Bayliss
4 goals
Shrewsbury TownC. Saydee
C. Saydee
4 goals

Shrewsbury Town missing players

Cheltenham Town missing players

Shrewsbury Town Cheltenham Town
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
22 11 4 Played P 3 10 21
8 5 2 Won W 1 2 7
5 2 0 Drew D 2 3 4
9 4 2 Lost L 0 5 10
23 13 4 Scored S 3 5 16
25 13 4 Conceded C 2 10 23
91% 91% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 90% 90%
68% 64% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 30% 43%
41% 45% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 20% 29%
9% 18% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 10% 14%
9% 18% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 10%
50% 45% 50% BTTS BTTS 33% 20% 29%
23% 18% 0% Clean Sheets C S 67% 30% 38%
36% 45% 50% Failed to Score F T 33% 60% 43%
 
4.8 6.2 6.8 Corners for (avg) C F 2 2.1 3.4
6.3 6.4 8 Corners against (avg) C A 6.7 7.9 5.8
1.9 2.1 1.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.3 2.7 2.1
2 1 1 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
9.6 10.1 9 Shots (avg) S ( 8.3 7.3 10
2.9 3.6 3.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.7 1.7 2.9
36% 32% 31% Goal Efficiency G E 38% 29% 26%
 
12.8 12.5 13 Shots against (avg) S A 13 16.4 13.5
3.5 3 3.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5 5.2 4
Key stats in League One this season:
  • Cheltenham Town have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Cheltenham Town have the fewest scored goals (16) in League One
  • Cheltenham Town have the fewest scored goals (5) away in League One
  • Cheltenham Town have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Shrewsbury Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Shrewsbury Town have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Cheltenham Town have scored away.
  • Shrewsbury Town have won significantly more corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Plymouth Argyle 23 15 5 3 42 25 11 10 0 1 21 8 12 5 5 2 21 17 17 50
2 Ipswich Town 23 14 6 3 44 22 12 7 4 1 22 9 11 7 2 2 22 13 22 48
3 Sheffield Wednesday 22 12 7 3 36 17 11 6 4 1 23 11 11 6 3 2 13 6 19 43
4 Barnsley 21 11 4 6 28 17 10 6 1 3 15 9 11 5 3 3 13 8 11 37
5 Bolton Wanderers 21 10 5 6 26 19 11 7 2 2 16 8 10 3 3 4 10 11 7 35
6 Wycombe Wanderers 23 10 5 8 30 25 12 6 3 3 19 12 11 4 2 5 11 13 5 35
7 Derby County 21 9 7 5 28 17 10 6 2 2 18 10 11 3 5 3 10 7 11 34
8 Peterborough United 22 10 2 10 37 28 10 7 1 2 22 6 12 3 1 8 15 22 9 32
9 Port Vale 22 9 5 8 24 29 11 5 3 3 13 11 11 4 2 5 11 18 -5 32
10 Bristol Rovers 23 8 7 8 35 37 11 4 4 3 16 17 12 4 3 5 19 20 -2 31
11 Portsmouth 20 7 9 4 26 22 10 3 6 1 14 10 10 4 3 3 12 12 4 30
12 Shrewsbury Town 22 8 5 9 23 25 11 5 2 4 13 13 11 3 3 5 10 12 -2 29
13 Exeter City 23 7 7 9 33 33 12 5 3 4 18 16 11 2 4 5 15 17 0 28
14 Lincoln City 21 6 9 6 21 26 10 2 8 0 11 8 11 4 1 6 10 18 -5 27
15 Fleetwood Town 21 5 11 5 23 21 10 2 5 3 9 8 11 3 6 2 14 13 2 26
16 Oxford United 22 6 8 8 26 25 10 3 3 4 13 11 12 3 5 4 13 14 1 26
17 Charlton Athletic 22 5 10 7 32 31 12 4 5 3 22 16 10 1 5 4 10 15 1 25
18 Cheltenham Town 21 7 4 10 16 23 11 5 1 5 11 13 10 2 3 5 5 10 -7 25
19 Cambridge United 22 7 3 12 21 33 12 5 2 5 11 14 10 2 1 7 10 19 -12 24
20 Accrington Stanley 21 5 7 9 21 32 11 2 5 4 14 18 10 3 2 5 7 14 -11 22
21 Milton Keynes Dons 22 6 3 13 22 31 12 2 2 8 10 20 10 4 1 5 12 11 -9 21
22 Forest Green Rovers 23 5 5 13 19 44 11 4 0 7 8 18 12 1 5 6 11 26 -25 20
23 Burton Albion 23 4 7 12 30 44 12 3 4 5 14 19 11 1 3 7 16 25 -14 19
24 Morecambe 22 2 9 11 17 34 10 1 5 4 7 15 12 1 4 7 10 19 -17 15

Cheltenham Town:
England:

Read more about League One

The English Football League One (usually referred to as League One) is the third highest division in English football. The League One league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Three teams are promoted and four relegated.