Football betting preview: Portsmouth favourites when Burton Albion visits

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Competition: England League One
Competition: Sat 10.April
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Fratton Park (21100 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The Portsmouth fans are optimistic that the difference between 4th and Burton Albion's 18th place in the table will show on the pitch.

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

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Portsmouth form and stats

Portsmouth have collected 29 points from their League One home games so far after 8-5-7. The happy trend is alive also outside their own arena as Portsmouth has won their last four matches. The opportunity of a proper winning streak is there for the hosts, with two straight wins here at Fratton Park.

Happy days for Portsmouth in their previous game, a League One match away at Wigan Athletic (placed 23rd) that ended with a 1-0 victory. Before that game, the 2-1 home victory against Rochdale.

World class coaching! That was the thoughts of D. Cowley when Andy Cannon scored the winning goal after coming on as a substitute in the 46th minute.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Portsmouth's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played seven games, won two matches, drawn three and lost two.

The manager D. Cowley will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to Crewe Alexandra in only three days.

Portsmouth has scored 27 league goals at home this season, in 20 matches. Portsmouth's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 21 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Burton Albion form and stats

The visitors are W6-D7-L6 on the road this term. That's in the League One. The away team travel with confidence. Not since the Lincoln City game have they lost an away game, meaning Burton has taken points from eight away matches in a row.

The supporters enjoyed Burton's previous game versus Swindon Town (placed 20th), a League One 2-1 win played at home. Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Accrington Stanley that ended 0-0.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Burton Albion playing away, we found two games. Results were zero away wins, one draw and one home win.

The visitors will be packing their bags again in only three days as another away game awaits: The League One trip to Doncaster Rovers.

Burton have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 19 league away games 23 goals have been scored. As opposed to that, Burton have seen the ball go into their own net 25 times on the road. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Burton Albion - Portsmouth 2-4, played this season. As for the last eight games between these two teams, there's three Portsmouth victories, four draws and one Burton Albion win. Over/under statistics; five of these games ended with three goals or more, three matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

PortsmouthJ. Marquis
J. Marquis
14 goals
Burton AlbionK. Hemmings
K. Hemmings
13 goals
PortsmouthR. Curtis
R. Curtis
7 goals

Portsmouth missing players

Burton Albion missing players

Portsmouth Burton Albion
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
38 20 6 Played P 7 19 38
19 8 4 Won W 1 6 12
7 5 1 Drew D 3 7 9
12 7 1 Lost L 3 6 17
56 27 13 Scored S 8 23 48
40 21 3 Conceded C 14 25 62
92% 90% 83% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 95% 97%
71% 75% 83% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 84% 82%
47% 45% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 57% 37% 53%
32% 25% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 29% 16% 24%
8% 5% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 14% 11% 16%
45% 40% 33% BTTS BTTS 86% 58% 66%
34% 30% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 32% 21%
29% 40% 17% Failed to Score F T 14% 16% 16%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.6 1.6 0.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.7 1.5 1.7
2 1 0 Red cards R C 1 2 3
 
11.8 12.3 13.5 Shots (avg) S ( 8.4 9.3 9.8
4.1 3.8 4.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.3 2.8 2.9
36% 36% 45% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 43% 43%

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Hull City 40 23 7 10 68 32 20 12 3 5 25 10 20 11 4 5 43 22 36 76
2 Peterborough United 39 22 7 10 67 38 19 14 3 2 44 15 20 8 4 8 23 23 29 73
3 Sunderland 38 19 14 5 59 29 19 9 6 4 27 18 19 10 8 1 32 11 30 71
4 Portsmouth 38 19 7 12 56 40 20 8 5 7 27 21 18 11 2 5 29 19 16 64
5 Blackpool 37 18 9 10 50 33 18 9 6 3 26 17 19 9 3 7 24 16 17 63
6 Lincoln City 37 18 8 11 55 40 19 8 3 8 28 26 18 10 5 3 27 14 15 62
7 Charlton Athletic 38 16 11 11 55 50 18 6 5 7 30 33 20 10 6 4 25 17 5 59
8 Ipswich Town 38 17 8 13 41 38 20 11 3 6 22 17 18 6 5 7 19 21 3 59
9 Gillingham 40 17 7 16 56 54 20 9 3 8 28 28 20 8 4 8 28 26 2 58
10 Doncaster Rovers 37 17 6 14 54 48 19 11 4 4 32 20 18 6 2 10 22 28 6 57
11 Accrington Stanley 38 16 9 13 51 52 19 9 5 5 24 16 19 7 4 8 27 36 -1 57
12 Oxford United 39 16 8 15 53 48 19 9 4 6 25 17 20 7 4 9 28 31 5 56
13 Milton Keynes Dons 39 15 9 15 55 54 20 8 7 5 30 25 19 7 2 10 25 29 1 54
14 Crewe Alexandra 38 15 9 14 47 48 19 9 5 5 28 21 19 6 4 9 19 27 -1 54
15 Fleetwood Town 39 14 11 14 42 33 20 8 7 5 24 14 19 6 4 9 18 19 9 53
16 Plymouth Argyle 40 14 10 16 50 63 20 11 4 5 30 27 20 3 6 11 20 36 -13 52
17 Shrewsbury Town 37 12 13 12 43 42 18 5 7 6 25 23 19 7 6 6 18 19 1 49
18 Burton Albion 38 12 9 17 48 62 19 6 2 11 25 37 19 6 7 6 23 25 -14 45
19 Northampton Town 40 10 9 21 33 57 20 7 4 9 16 22 20 3 5 12 17 35 -24 39
20 Swindon Town 39 11 4 24 45 69 20 7 1 12 21 32 19 4 3 12 24 37 -24 37
21 Bristol Rovers 40 10 7 23 39 63 20 7 2 11 23 28 20 3 5 12 16 35 -24 37
22 AFC Wimbledon 38 8 12 18 36 61 18 4 4 10 19 31 20 4 8 8 17 30 -25 36
23 Wigan Athletic 39 9 8 22 39 66 19 3 5 11 18 36 20 6 3 11 21 30 -27 35
24 Rochdale 38 7 12 19 47 69 19 1 9 9 20 38 19 6 3 10 27 31 -22 33

Portsmouth:
Burton Albion:
England:

Read more about League One

The English Football League One (usually referred to as League One) is the third highest division in English football. The League One league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Three teams are promoted and four relegated.