Home advantage could prove decisive in Portsmouth - Burton Albion battle

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Competition: England League One
Competition: Tue 08.February
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Fratton Park (21100 seats)

Home team gets the points, the away team with a heroic away win or an exciting draw? It's all up in the air when the mid-table sides Portsmouth and Burton Albion meet at Fratton Park.

Insights:
  • Portsmouth is in the worst form (0-2-4)
  • Burton Albion have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in League One

It's no vacation for neither Portsmouth nor Burton Albion as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Portsmouth form and stats

When playing at home in the League One, Portsmouth have managed 6 wins, 3 draws and suffered 4 defeats from 13 games. Portsmouth has three losses from their three previous games and the tension is increasing in the dressing room for both the manager Cowley and the players.

Portsmouth faced defeat in their previous match, away at Oxford United (2-3). Jacobs, a natural forward, was the declared top player for the side in that game, receiving a rating of 8.25 (out of 10). Jacobs scored one goal, served one assist and hit two key passes.

Preceding that match was a defeat to Charlton Athletic (1-2).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Portsmouth have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 16 games) they have won five times, drawn five and lost six.

The match schedule is unforgiving for Portsmouth as they have a new game in only four days, a League One match thankfully also at home. Doncaster Rovers are visiting.

Portsmouth are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 18 goals in 13 games. On the other hand, Portsmouth have conceded 14 goals.

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Burton Albion form and stats

As the visiting team in League One matches, Burton Albion have produced an overall stat of 4-3-7 so far. Burton Albion love their trips these days, as their two previous away games have resulted in victories.

Home advantage was not enough for Burton in their previous game as they lost hosting Sheffield Wednesday, 0-2. Midfield player Hamer was the top player of the team with a match rating of 7.33/10. Hamer hit one key pass.

Preceding that game was the away victory against Lincoln City with the score of 2-1.

We have checked recent matches where Burton Albion have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those eleven games were four victories, two draws and five defeats.

After this away game Burton Albion return home for a League One game against Cambridge United. That game is only four sleeps after this.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Burton Albion as they have only managed to score 12 times from 14 away games in the league. It's worth mentioning that 6 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. 19 goals have been conceded by Burton Albion in these games.

Head 2 Head

The sides have met each other already this season, with the final score Burton Albion - Portsmouth 2-1 entered in the official records. Head to head totals (for the prior ten meetings): Portsmouth won three games, four matches ended in a draw and Burton Albion got three wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: seven / three

Top Goalscorers

PortsmouthM. Harness
M. Harness
9 goals
PortsmouthR. Curtis
R. Curtis
4 goals
Burton AlbionJ. Smith
J. Smith
4 goals

Portsmouth missing players

Burton Albion missing players

Portsmouth Burton Albion
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
28 13 5 Played P 3 14 29
10 6 2 Won W 1 4 11
8 3 0 Drew D 1 3 6
10 4 3 Lost L 1 7 12
32 18 4 Scored S 1 12 35
30 14 8 Conceded C 3 19 36
86% 92% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 93% 97%
57% 77% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 71% 76%
46% 54% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 43% 45%
25% 23% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 14% 21%
7% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 7%
39% 46% 40% BTTS BTTS 0% 50% 55%
46% 46% 40% Clean Sheets C S 67% 21% 21%
29% 15% 20% Failed to Score F T 67% 36% 28%
 
5 5.5 4.8 Corners for (avg) C F 3.3 4.6 5.3
5.2 5 6 Corners against (avg) C A 9.7 6.9 6.1
1.9 1.5 1.4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 2.1 2
1 0 0 Red cards R C 1 3 4
 
12.5 13.3 10.4 Shots (avg) S ( 13.7 11.6 13.2
3.4 3.9 2.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.7 3 3.9
33% 35% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 9% 29% 31%
 
11.5 10.5 9.6 Shots against (avg) S A 15.3 14.6 13.3
3.9 3.4 3.4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.7 3.9 3.8
Key stats in League One this season:
  • Burton Albion have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in League One
  • Portsmouth have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Portsmouth is in the worst form (0-2-4)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Rotherham United 29 19 5 5 54 18 15 11 2 2 34 13 14 8 3 3 20 5 36 62
2 Wigan Athletic 26 17 5 4 48 25 13 7 3 3 19 13 13 10 2 1 29 12 23 56
3 Milton Keynes Dons 30 16 7 7 50 33 15 8 3 4 20 15 15 8 4 3 30 18 17 55
4 Sunderland 30 16 6 8 54 41 15 11 1 3 32 11 15 5 5 5 22 30 13 54
5 Oxford United 30 15 8 7 54 36 16 10 4 2 33 17 14 5 4 5 21 19 18 53
6 Wycombe Wanderers 29 15 7 7 46 34 14 9 2 3 24 18 15 6 5 4 22 16 12 52
7 Sheffield Wednesday 29 13 10 6 41 32 13 8 4 1 22 10 16 5 6 5 19 22 9 49
8 Plymouth Argyle 28 13 8 7 47 35 13 7 3 3 19 13 15 6 5 4 28 22 12 47
9 Ipswich Town 30 12 8 10 48 38 15 7 6 2 26 19 15 5 2 8 22 19 10 44
10 Bolton Wanderers 29 11 6 12 42 38 14 7 4 3 26 17 15 4 2 9 16 21 4 39
11 Charlton Athletic 29 11 6 12 39 35 15 7 3 5 24 17 14 4 3 7 15 18 4 39
12 Burton Albion 29 11 6 12 35 36 15 7 3 5 23 17 14 4 3 7 12 19 -1 39
13 Portsmouth 28 10 8 10 32 30 13 6 3 4 18 14 15 4 5 6 14 16 2 38
14 Cambridge United 29 9 10 10 38 42 15 5 6 4 19 19 14 4 4 6 19 23 -4 37
15 Accrington Stanley 29 10 7 12 35 46 15 7 4 4 23 22 14 3 3 8 12 24 -11 37
16 Shrewsbury Town 30 8 9 13 28 32 15 7 4 4 18 14 15 1 5 9 10 18 -4 33
17 Cheltenham Town 29 7 12 10 34 48 15 5 6 4 17 22 14 2 6 6 17 26 -14 33
18 Lincoln City 28 8 7 13 33 38 14 3 3 8 13 19 14 5 4 5 20 19 -5 31
19 Fleetwood Town 29 7 10 12 43 50 15 5 4 6 25 24 14 2 6 6 18 26 -7 31
20 AFC Wimbledon 29 6 12 11 36 45 14 2 9 3 18 20 15 4 3 8 18 25 -9 30
21 Morecambe 30 7 8 15 41 58 16 5 5 6 24 27 14 2 3 9 17 31 -17 29
22 Crewe Alexandra 29 5 7 17 24 48 14 4 4 6 14 21 15 1 3 11 10 27 -24 22
23 Gillingham 30 4 10 16 24 52 15 3 4 8 11 28 15 1 6 8 13 24 -28 22
24 Doncaster Rovers 30 6 4 20 22 58 15 4 3 8 12 24 15 2 1 12 10 34 -36 22

Portsmouth:
Burton Albion:
England:

Read more about League One

The English Football League One (usually referred to as League One) is the third highest division in English football. The League One league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Three teams are promoted and four relegated.