Home advantage could prove decisive in Oxford United - Bolton Wanderers battle

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Competition: England League One
Competition: Sat 12.February
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: The Kassam Stadium (12500 seats)

Oxford United are enjoying their 5th, while Bolton Wanderers are loitering 11 points behind in the standings. Can they trim the gap?

Insights:
  • Oxford United have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Bolton Wanderers is in the best form (5-1-0) in League One

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Oxford United form and stats

Oxford United are steadily winning League One games and points here at The Kassam Stadium. 10 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats is the summary from 16 games. The opportunity of a proper winning streak is there for the hosts, with two straight wins here at The Kassam Stadium.

No payout for Oxford in their previous match, an away game at Accrington Stanley that ended in defeat 0-2. Seddon was "man of the match" with a rating of 7.44 out of 10. The defender Seddon hit one key pass and won 10 of 12 duels.

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Portsmouth in a game that was won 3-2.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Oxford United have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found nine games) they have won five times, drawn one and lost three.

Goals decide football matches and Oxford United are scoring many of them at home; 33 on target from 16 league matches. 17 goals have been conceded.

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Bolton Wanderers form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Bolton Wanderers so far with only 14 points returning home. The records show 4-2-9 (win-draw-lose).

The followers enjoyed Bolton Wanderers's previous game versus Charlton Athletic (placed 13th), a 2-1 win played at home. Attacker Charles got a player rating of 7.8 in the game. "Man of the match" Charles scored one goal and dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times.

A 1-1 draw at Morecambe's stadium before that.

Wanderers are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is two wins, two draws and seven defeats. From a total of eleven matches.

The visitors will be packing their bags again in only three days as another away game awaits: The League One trip to Burton Albion.

Bolton Wanderers find the net regularly in their away games. 16 goals from 15 away fixtures in the league. 21 goals have been conceded by Bolton Wanderers in these games.

Head 2 Head

The teams involved faced each other previously this campaign: Bolton Wanderers - Oxford United 2-1. Head-2-head stats last four meetings: one - one - two (Oxford wins - draws - Bolton Wanderers wins). As for goals, two matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), two had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Oxford UnitedM. Taylor
M. Taylor
14 goals
Bolton WanderersO. Afolayan
O. Afolayan
10 goals
Oxford UnitedC. Brannagan
C. Brannagan
9 goals

Oxford United missing players

Bolton Wanderers missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Oxford United Bolton Wanderers
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
31 16 4 Played P 5 15 30
15 10 3 Won W 0 4 12
8 4 1 Drew D 0 2 6
8 2 0 Lost L 5 9 12
54 33 11 Scored S 1 16 44
38 17 5 Conceded C 8 21 39
90% 88% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 97%
84% 81% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 40% 47% 70%
55% 62% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 40% 50%
35% 50% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 20% 27%
16% 25% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 20% 17%
68% 69% 100% BTTS BTTS 20% 33% 37%
19% 31% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 13% 27%
23% 12% 0% Failed to Score F T 80% 53% 40%
 
6.1 6.7 8 Corners for (avg) C F 5.4 4.2 5.4
4.5 4.5 4 Corners against (avg) C A 7 4.7 4.3
1.6 1.5 2.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 1.5 1.4
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 2 2
 
14.5 14.9 17.5 Shots (avg) S ( 14.4 11.7 13.5
5.1 5.1 5.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.4 3.1 4
34% 41% 48% Goal Efficiency G E 6% 34% 36%
 
11.2 10.4 9 Shots against (avg) S A 16 13.7 12.2
3.6 3.3 4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.2 4.9 4.2
Key stats in League One this season:
  • Bolton Wanderers have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Bolton Wanderers haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Bolton Wanderers is in the best form (5-1-0) in League One
  • Oxford United have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Oxford United have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Bolton Wanderers have scored away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Rotherham United 30 20 5 5 55 18 15 11 2 2 34 13 15 9 3 3 21 5 37 65
2 Wigan Athletic 27 17 5 5 48 26 13 7 3 3 19 13 14 10 2 2 29 13 22 56
3 Milton Keynes Dons 31 16 8 7 51 34 15 8 3 4 20 15 16 8 5 3 31 19 17 56
4 Sunderland 31 16 6 9 55 43 15 11 1 3 32 11 16 5 5 6 23 32 12 54
5 Oxford United 31 15 8 8 54 38 16 10 4 2 33 17 15 5 4 6 21 21 16 53
6 Wycombe Wanderers 30 15 8 7 46 34 15 9 3 3 24 18 15 6 5 4 22 16 12 53
7 Sheffield Wednesday 30 14 10 6 42 32 14 9 4 1 23 10 16 5 6 5 19 22 10 52
8 Plymouth Argyle 29 14 8 7 51 36 13 7 3 3 19 13 16 7 5 4 32 23 15 50
9 Ipswich Town 31 13 8 10 49 38 15 7 6 2 26 19 16 6 2 8 23 19 11 47
10 Bolton Wanderers 30 12 6 12 44 39 15 8 4 3 28 18 15 4 2 9 16 21 5 42
11 Portsmouth 29 11 8 10 34 31 14 7 3 4 20 15 15 4 5 6 14 16 3 41
12 Accrington Stanley 30 11 7 12 37 46 16 8 4 4 25 22 14 3 3 8 12 24 -9 40
13 Charlton Athletic 30 11 6 13 40 37 15 7 3 5 24 17 15 4 3 8 16 20 3 39
14 Burton Albion 30 11 6 13 36 38 15 7 3 5 23 17 15 4 3 8 13 21 -2 39
15 Cambridge United 30 9 10 11 38 43 15 5 6 4 19 19 15 4 4 7 19 24 -5 37
16 Cheltenham Town 30 8 12 10 36 49 16 6 6 4 19 23 14 2 6 6 17 26 -13 36
17 Lincoln City 29 9 7 13 35 39 15 4 3 8 15 20 14 5 4 5 20 19 -4 34
18 Shrewsbury Town 31 8 10 13 28 32 15 7 4 4 18 14 16 1 6 9 10 18 -4 34
19 Fleetwood Town 30 7 11 12 44 51 16 5 5 6 26 25 14 2 6 6 18 26 -7 32
20 AFC Wimbledon 30 6 12 12 36 46 15 2 9 4 18 21 15 4 3 8 18 25 -10 30
21 Morecambe 31 7 8 16 42 60 16 5 5 6 24 27 15 2 3 10 18 33 -18 29
22 Gillingham 31 5 10 16 25 52 16 4 4 8 12 28 15 1 6 8 13 24 -27 25
23 Crewe Alexandra 30 5 7 18 25 52 15 4 4 7 15 25 15 1 3 11 10 27 -27 22
24 Doncaster Rovers 31 6 4 21 22 59 16 4 3 9 12 25 15 2 1 12 10 34 -37 22

Oxford United:
Bolton Wanderers:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Rotherham United 30 20 5 5 55 18 15 11 2 2 34 13 15 9 3 3 21 5 37 65
2 Wigan Athletic 27 17 5 5 48 26 13 7 3 3 19 13 14 10 2 2 29 13 22 56
3 Milton Keynes Dons 31 16 8 7 51 34 15 8 3 4 20 15 16 8 5 3 31 19 17 56
4 Sunderland 31 16 6 9 55 43 15 11 1 3 32 11 16 5 5 6 23 32 12 54
5 Oxford United 31 15 8 8 54 38 16 10 4 2 33 17 15 5 4 6 21 21 16 53
6 Wycombe Wanderers 30 15 8 7 46 34 15 9 3 3 24 18 15 6 5 4 22 16 12 53
7 Sheffield Wednesday 30 14 10 6 42 32 14 9 4 1 23 10 16 5 6 5 19 22 10 52
8 Plymouth Argyle 29 14 8 7 51 36 13 7 3 3 19 13 16 7 5 4 32 23 15 50
9 Ipswich Town 31 13 8 10 49 38 15 7 6 2 26 19 16 6 2 8 23 19 11 47
10 Bolton Wanderers 30 12 6 12 44 39 15 8 4 3 28 18 15 4 2 9 16 21 5 42
11 Portsmouth 29 11 8 10 34 31 14 7 3 4 20 15 15 4 5 6 14 16 3 41
12 Accrington Stanley 30 11 7 12 37 46 16 8 4 4 25 22 14 3 3 8 12 24 -9 40
13 Charlton Athletic 30 11 6 13 40 37 15 7 3 5 24 17 15 4 3 8 16 20 3 39
14 Burton Albion 30 11 6 13 36 38 15 7 3 5 23 17 15 4 3 8 13 21 -2 39
15 Cambridge United 30 9 10 11 38 43 15 5 6 4 19 19 15 4 4 7 19 24 -5 37
16 Cheltenham Town 30 8 12 10 36 49 16 6 6 4 19 23 14 2 6 6 17 26 -13 36
17 Lincoln City 29 9 7 13 35 39 15 4 3 8 15 20 14 5 4 5 20 19 -4 34
18 Shrewsbury Town 31 8 10 13 28 32 15 7 4 4 18 14 16 1 6 9 10 18 -4 34
19 Fleetwood Town 30 7 11 12 44 51 16 5 5 6 26 25 14 2 6 6 18 26 -7 32
20 AFC Wimbledon 30 6 12 12 36 46 15 2 9 4 18 21 15 4 3 8 18 25 -10 30
21 Morecambe 31 7 8 16 42 60 16 5 5 6 24 27 15 2 3 10 18 33 -18 29
22 Gillingham 31 5 10 16 25 52 16 4 4 8 12 28 15 1 6 8 13 24 -27 25
23 Crewe Alexandra 30 5 7 18 25 52 15 4 4 7 15 25 15 1 3 11 10 27 -27 22
24 Doncaster Rovers 31 6 4 21 22 59 16 4 3 9 12 25 15 2 1 12 10 34 -37 22

More from England - League One

Read more about League One

The English Football League One (usually referred to as League One) is the third highest division in English football. The League One league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Three teams are promoted and four relegated.