League One prediction and preview: Milton Keynes Dons modest favorites to beat Rochdale

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Competition: England League One
Date: Tue 28.January
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Stadium mk (30500 seats)

This match features two teams living in the basement of the League One, Milton Keynes Dons holding 20th place and Rochdale lying 18th. A good chance for both teams to improve their position.

There has not been much time to rest for the guests, as they played a League One game only three days ago.

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Milton Keynes Dons form and stats

The story so far in the League One for Milton Keynes Dons at their home stadium (Stadium mk) is 6 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats.

Milton Keynes Dons are anxiously hoping for a goal as it's been 195 minutes since the last one in league fixtures. (Scored by C. Morris).

The Milton Keynes Dons fans got no joy from their last match, a League One game also here at Stadium mk: A 0-1 defeat against Sunderland (placed 6th). Prior to that, an away loss at Burton Albion.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Milton Keynes Dons have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found seven games) they have won 4 times, drawn 0 and lost 3.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the League One game versus Wycombe Wanderers in only four days. This game is also played here at Stadium mk.

Milton Keynes Dons has scored 15 league goals at home this season, in 14 matches. Milton Keynes Dons have conceded 19 in these home matches.

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Rochdale form and stats

5-1-8 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Rochdale in their League One matches away.

Rochdale's last game was the home draw against Gillingham (2-2). It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Wycombe Wanderers wasn't a success with a 1-2 loss.

Rochdale are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats. From a total of four matches.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Shrewsbury Town in just four days.

Rochdale are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 18 away goals from 14 games (in the league). In the opposite end, Rochdale have conceded 26 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

Milton Keynes Dons and Rochdale have met before this season: Rochdale - Milton Keynes Dons 2-0. Last ten meetings between the teams: Milton Keynes Dons won 6, Rochdale won 1 and 3 draws. 7 games with over 2,5 goals, 3 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

RochdaleI. Henderson
I. Henderson
12 goals
RochdaleC. Camps
C. Camps
6 goals
Milton Keynes DonsR. Healey
R. Healey
5 goals

Milton Keynes Dons missing players

Rochdale missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Milton Keynes Dons Rochdale
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
27 14 4 Played P 6 14 27
7 6 2 Won W 4 5 8
4 1 0 Drew D 1 1 5
16 7 2 Lost L 1 8 14
27 15 4 Scored S 13 18 32
39 19 5 Conceded C 7 26 45
96% 93% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 83% 93% 93%
63% 57% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 83% 79% 81%
52% 57% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 83% 79% 67%
26% 29% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 36% 26%
7% 7% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 21% 15%
44% 36% 50% BTTS BTTS 67% 57% 56%
19% 29% 25% Clean Sheets C S 33% 21% 22%
41% 43% 25% Failed to Score F T 17% 29% 30%
 
5.4 6.4 8.5 Corners For (avg) C F 2.5 3.1 3.8
6 5.2 5.5 Corners Against (avg) C A 4.7 6.1 5.4
1.9 1.9 1 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 1.5 2.1 1.5
3 2 1 Red Cards R C 0 2 2
 
310 174 46 Total Shots T S 75 149 292
91 49 13 Shots on Target S O 31 48 92
30% 31% 31% Goal Efficiency G E 42% 38% 35%
Key stats in League One this season:
  • Milton Keynes Dons has the fewest points from losing position (1)
  • Milton Keynes Dons have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Rochdale has the most dropped points from leading position (21)
  • Rochdale have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Rochdale have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ipswich Town 27 13 9 5 40 24 12 5 5 2 18 10 15 8 4 3 22 14 16 48
2 Rotherham United 27 14 5 8 49 28 13 6 3 4 24 11 14 8 2 4 25 17 21 47
3 Wycombe Wanderers 27 13 8 6 34 31 14 10 3 1 26 16 13 3 5 5 8 15 3 47
4 Coventry City 25 11 11 3 36 26 13 8 4 1 17 9 12 3 7 2 19 17 10 44
5 Peterborough United 28 12 7 9 50 36 14 9 3 2 31 13 14 3 4 7 19 23 14 43
6 Sunderland 26 11 9 6 36 24 14 7 6 1 25 10 12 4 3 5 11 14 12 42
7 Oxford United 26 11 8 7 43 26 12 7 3 2 21 10 14 4 5 5 22 16 17 41
8 Portsmouth 25 11 8 6 37 29 13 8 5 0 24 12 12 3 3 6 13 17 8 41
9 Burton Albion 26 11 7 8 35 31 13 6 4 3 14 9 13 5 3 5 21 22 4 40
10 Doncaster Rovers 25 10 8 7 36 24 15 7 4 4 21 15 10 3 4 3 15 9 12 38
11 Fleetwood Town 25 10 8 7 39 32 13 7 5 1 20 11 12 3 3 6 19 21 7 38
12 Lincoln City 28 11 4 13 36 34 12 9 1 2 24 12 16 2 3 11 12 22 2 37
13 Bristol Rovers 26 10 7 9 30 35 14 5 6 3 18 15 12 5 1 6 12 20 -5 37
14 Gillingham 27 8 12 7 31 27 14 7 3 4 22 14 13 1 9 3 9 13 4 36
15 Blackpool 25 8 10 7 32 29 12 6 2 4 18 15 13 2 8 3 14 14 3 34
16 Shrewsbury Town 25 8 10 7 24 28 12 5 4 3 15 15 13 3 6 4 9 13 -4 34
17 Accrington Stanley 27 7 9 11 37 40 12 5 2 5 25 17 15 2 7 6 12 23 -3 30
18 Rochdale 27 8 5 14 32 45 13 3 4 6 14 19 14 5 1 8 18 26 -13 29
19 AFC Wimbledon 26 7 6 13 31 38 13 5 5 3 15 14 13 2 1 10 16 24 -7 27
20 Milton Keynes Dons 27 7 4 16 27 39 14 6 1 7 15 19 13 1 3 9 12 20 -12 25
21 Tranmere Rovers 25 5 7 13 28 45 13 3 5 5 19 20 12 2 2 8 9 25 -17 22
22 Southend United 26 2 7 17 29 66 12 0 4 8 11 34 14 2 3 9 18 32 -37 13
23 Bolton Wanderers 24 4 7 13 19 54 13 3 6 4 14 20 11 1 1 9 5 34 -35 7

Milton Keynes Dons:
Rochdale:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ipswich Town 27 13 9 5 40 24 12 5 5 2 18 10 15 8 4 3 22 14 16 48
2 Rotherham United 27 14 5 8 49 28 13 6 3 4 24 11 14 8 2 4 25 17 21 47
3 Wycombe Wanderers 27 13 8 6 34 31 14 10 3 1 26 16 13 3 5 5 8 15 3 47
4 Coventry City 25 11 11 3 36 26 13 8 4 1 17 9 12 3 7 2 19 17 10 44
5 Peterborough United 28 12 7 9 50 36 14 9 3 2 31 13 14 3 4 7 19 23 14 43
6 Sunderland 26 11 9 6 36 24 14 7 6 1 25 10 12 4 3 5 11 14 12 42
7 Oxford United 26 11 8 7 43 26 12 7 3 2 21 10 14 4 5 5 22 16 17 41
8 Portsmouth 25 11 8 6 37 29 13 8 5 0 24 12 12 3 3 6 13 17 8 41
9 Burton Albion 26 11 7 8 35 31 13 6 4 3 14 9 13 5 3 5 21 22 4 40
10 Doncaster Rovers 25 10 8 7 36 24 15 7 4 4 21 15 10 3 4 3 15 9 12 38
11 Fleetwood Town 25 10 8 7 39 32 13 7 5 1 20 11 12 3 3 6 19 21 7 38
12 Lincoln City 28 11 4 13 36 34 12 9 1 2 24 12 16 2 3 11 12 22 2 37
13 Bristol Rovers 26 10 7 9 30 35 14 5 6 3 18 15 12 5 1 6 12 20 -5 37
14 Gillingham 27 8 12 7 31 27 14 7 3 4 22 14 13 1 9 3 9 13 4 36
15 Blackpool 25 8 10 7 32 29 12 6 2 4 18 15 13 2 8 3 14 14 3 34
16 Shrewsbury Town 25 8 10 7 24 28 12 5 4 3 15 15 13 3 6 4 9 13 -4 34
17 Accrington Stanley 27 7 9 11 37 40 12 5 2 5 25 17 15 2 7 6 12 23 -3 30
18 Rochdale 27 8 5 14 32 45 13 3 4 6 14 19 14 5 1 8 18 26 -13 29
19 AFC Wimbledon 26 7 6 13 31 38 13 5 5 3 15 14 13 2 1 10 16 24 -7 27
20 Milton Keynes Dons 27 7 4 16 27 39 14 6 1 7 15 19 13 1 3 9 12 20 -12 25
21 Tranmere Rovers 25 5 7 13 28 45 13 3 5 5 19 20 12 2 2 8 9 25 -17 22
22 Southend United 26 2 7 17 29 66 12 0 4 8 11 34 14 2 3 9 18 32 -37 13
23 Bolton Wanderers 24 4 7 13 19 54 13 3 6 4 14 20 11 1 1 9 5 34 -35 7

More from England - League One

Read more about League One

The English Football League One (usually referred to as League One) is the third highest division in English football. The League One league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Three teams are promoted and four relegated.