League One forecast and guide: Lincoln City small front runner to overcome Shrewsbury Town

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Competition: England League One
Competition: Sun 07.May
Match begins: 11:00 (UTC)
Venue: LNER Stadium (10120 seats)

The season has been a rollercoaster for these teams so far, both rise and fall leading to mid-table positions so far. Pave the way for Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town!

Insights:
  • Lincoln City have the fewest matches over the total-line (13) in League One
  • Shrewsbury Town have won significantly less corners away then at home.

Lincoln City are staying put; they can neither be promoted or relegated this season and are fighting only for positions. For Shrewsbury Town most of the excitement is over as they will neither be promoted or relegated this season.

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

L L W D W

Lincoln City form and stats

6-14-2 (win-draw-lost) are the League One numbers at home for Lincoln City so far this season.

Lincoln City lost their last game at Morecambe (placed 21st) after a 2-3 scoreline. Did Lincoln get overconfident in their match against Morecambe? We'll let you decide, but they did lose a 2-0 lead to end up with a 2-3 defeat. Midfielder Erhahon was the best player on the team with a rating of 7.64 (out of ten) in that game. Erhahon served one assist, hit three key passes, dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times and had 32 successful passes (of 40 total).

Before that game, the home loss against Burton Albion with the scoreline 0-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Lincoln City have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 7 games) they have won 1 time, drawn 4 and lost 2.

Low on goals? In this team's last 36 league games, 27 have had two goals or less.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Lincoln here at LNER Stadium in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (21 from 22 games). Lincoln City are not conceding a lot of goals here at LNER Stadium in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 17 from 22 matches.

W L L L D

Shrewsbury Town form and stats

6-5-11 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Shrewsbury Town in their League One matches away. Bitter travels for Shrewsbury Town as they have lost five games in a row away from home. The last time they avoided an away-from-home loss was the Derby County match.

The followers enjoyed Shrewsbury's previous match versus Bristol Rovers (placed 15th), a 2-1 win played at home. Eureka; their first victory in the league after eight rounds not winning. Leahy got a match rating of 7.61 in that game, top player of the team. Leahy scored one goal and hit one key pass.

Preceding that, the 0-3 home loss versus Sheffield Wednesday.

Shrewsbury Town are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 1 win, 2 draws and 4 defeats. From a total of 7 matches.

Goal hungry football fans should note that 9 of this side's 12 latest league games have ended with at least three goals.

The attacking power of Shrewsbury when travelling is not overwhelming with 20 goals scored from 22 league matches away. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. As opposed to that, Shrewsbury Town have seen the ball go into their own net 28 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Shrewsbury Town have avoided defeat in the last 4 matches (2-2-0) facing Lincoln.

This was the result when the participants met earlier this campaign; Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City 2-0.

Top Goalscorers

Lincoln CityB. House
B. House
12 goals
Shrewsbury TownL. Leahy
L. Leahy
9 goals
Shrewsbury TownC. Saydee
C. Saydee
7 goals

Lincoln City missing players

Shrewsbury Town missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Lincoln City Shrewsbury Town
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
45 22 6 Played P 6 22 45
13 6 2 Won W 2 6 17
20 14 4 Drew D 2 5 8
12 2 0 Lost L 2 11 20
46 21 6 Scored S 4 20 52
47 17 3 Conceded C 10 28 60
82% 77% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 83% 91% 93%
69% 64% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 64% 71%
29% 18% 17% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 41% 51%
11% 9% 17% Over 3.5 O 3.5 17% 14% 18%
7% 5% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 17% 5% 11%
44% 50% 33% BTTS BTTS 33% 41% 47%
38% 41% 67% Clean Sheets C S 33% 32% 22%
36% 32% 33% Failed to Score F T 50% 36% 38%
 
4.4 4.4 5.5 Corners for (avg) C F 4.2 3.5 4.6
5.4 5.1 5.5 Corners against (avg) C A 6.2 6.1 5.8
1.7 1.9 0.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 2.5 2.4
4 3 0 Red cards R C 1 3 7
 
9.8 10.6 12 Shots (avg) S ( 10 8.7 9.6
2.6 2.3 2.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.7 2.4 3.1
39% 41% 46% Goal Efficiency G E 40% 38% 37%
 
12 11.6 9.8 Shots against (avg) S A 14 13.5 13.5
3.8 3.6 2.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.7 4.1 3.7
Key stats in League One this season:
  • Lincoln City have the fewest matches over the total-line (13) in League One
  • Lincoln City have the most matches under the total-line (32) in League One
  • Shrewsbury Town have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Plymouth Argyle 45 30 8 7 79 46 23 20 1 2 44 16 22 10 7 5 35 30 33 98
2 Ipswich Town 45 28 13 4 99 33 23 16 6 1 60 13 22 12 7 3 39 20 66 97
3 Sheffield Wednesday 45 27 12 6 80 37 22 15 6 1 48 16 23 12 6 5 32 21 43 93
4 Barnsley 45 26 8 11 80 45 22 16 1 5 45 22 23 10 7 6 35 23 35 86
5 Bolton Wanderers 45 22 12 11 59 34 23 14 5 4 32 13 22 8 7 7 27 21 25 78
6 Derby County 45 21 13 11 67 45 23 13 6 4 40 20 22 8 7 7 27 25 22 76
7 Peterborough United 45 23 5 17 73 54 23 13 4 6 38 25 22 10 1 11 35 29 19 74
8 Portsmouth 45 17 18 10 59 48 22 9 10 3 32 20 23 8 8 7 27 28 11 69
9 Wycombe Wanderers 45 20 8 17 57 49 23 11 5 7 32 24 22 9 3 10 25 25 8 68
10 Charlton Athletic 45 16 13 16 68 64 23 9 7 7 44 31 22 7 6 9 24 33 4 61
11 Lincoln City 45 13 20 12 46 47 22 6 14 2 21 17 23 7 6 10 25 30 -1 59
12 Shrewsbury Town 45 17 8 20 52 60 23 11 3 9 32 32 22 6 5 11 20 28 -8 59
13 Fleetwood Town 45 14 15 16 51 49 22 7 7 8 23 23 23 7 8 8 28 26 2 57
14 Exeter City 45 14 11 20 61 66 22 9 5 8 33 25 23 5 6 12 28 41 -5 53
15 Bristol Rovers 45 14 11 20 56 70 22 6 7 9 25 33 23 8 4 11 31 37 -14 53
16 Cheltenham Town 45 14 11 20 43 59 22 8 7 7 23 25 23 6 4 13 20 34 -16 53
17 Burton Albion 44 14 10 20 56 79 21 8 6 7 27 33 23 6 4 13 29 46 -23 52
18 Port Vale 45 13 10 22 47 68 22 8 5 9 22 27 23 5 5 13 25 41 -21 49
19 Oxford United 45 11 14 20 48 54 22 6 5 11 28 29 23 5 9 9 20 25 -6 47
20 Milton Keynes Dons 45 11 11 23 44 66 23 4 7 12 20 33 22 7 4 11 24 33 -22 44
21 Morecambe 45 10 14 21 45 75 23 8 8 7 30 31 22 2 6 14 15 44 -30 44
22 Cambridge United 44 12 7 25 39 67 22 8 4 10 22 26 22 4 3 15 17 41 -28 43
23 Accrington Stanley 45 10 11 24 38 76 23 6 5 12 27 39 22 4 6 12 11 37 -38 41
24 Forest Green Rovers 45 6 9 30 31 87 23 5 2 16 15 42 22 1 7 14 16 45 -56 27

Lincoln City:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Plymouth Argyle 45 30 8 7 79 46 23 20 1 2 44 16 22 10 7 5 35 30 33 98
2 Ipswich Town 45 28 13 4 99 33 23 16 6 1 60 13 22 12 7 3 39 20 66 97
3 Sheffield Wednesday 45 27 12 6 80 37 22 15 6 1 48 16 23 12 6 5 32 21 43 93
4 Barnsley 45 26 8 11 80 45 22 16 1 5 45 22 23 10 7 6 35 23 35 86
5 Bolton Wanderers 45 22 12 11 59 34 23 14 5 4 32 13 22 8 7 7 27 21 25 78
6 Derby County 45 21 13 11 67 45 23 13 6 4 40 20 22 8 7 7 27 25 22 76
7 Peterborough United 45 23 5 17 73 54 23 13 4 6 38 25 22 10 1 11 35 29 19 74
8 Portsmouth 45 17 18 10 59 48 22 9 10 3 32 20 23 8 8 7 27 28 11 69
9 Wycombe Wanderers 45 20 8 17 57 49 23 11 5 7 32 24 22 9 3 10 25 25 8 68
10 Charlton Athletic 45 16 13 16 68 64 23 9 7 7 44 31 22 7 6 9 24 33 4 61
11 Lincoln City 45 13 20 12 46 47 22 6 14 2 21 17 23 7 6 10 25 30 -1 59
12 Shrewsbury Town 45 17 8 20 52 60 23 11 3 9 32 32 22 6 5 11 20 28 -8 59
13 Fleetwood Town 45 14 15 16 51 49 22 7 7 8 23 23 23 7 8 8 28 26 2 57
14 Exeter City 45 14 11 20 61 66 22 9 5 8 33 25 23 5 6 12 28 41 -5 53
15 Bristol Rovers 45 14 11 20 56 70 22 6 7 9 25 33 23 8 4 11 31 37 -14 53
16 Cheltenham Town 45 14 11 20 43 59 22 8 7 7 23 25 23 6 4 13 20 34 -16 53
17 Burton Albion 44 14 10 20 56 79 21 8 6 7 27 33 23 6 4 13 29 46 -23 52
18 Port Vale 45 13 10 22 47 68 22 8 5 9 22 27 23 5 5 13 25 41 -21 49
19 Oxford United 45 11 14 20 48 54 22 6 5 11 28 29 23 5 9 9 20 25 -6 47
20 Milton Keynes Dons 45 11 11 23 44 66 23 4 7 12 20 33 22 7 4 11 24 33 -22 44
21 Morecambe 45 10 14 21 45 75 23 8 8 7 30 31 22 2 6 14 15 44 -30 44
22 Cambridge United 44 12 7 25 39 67 22 8 4 10 22 26 22 4 3 15 17 41 -28 43
23 Accrington Stanley 45 10 11 24 38 76 23 6 5 12 27 39 22 4 6 12 11 37 -38 41
24 Forest Green Rovers 45 6 9 30 31 87 23 5 2 16 15 42 22 1 7 14 16 45 -56 27

More from England - League One

Read more about League One

The English Football League One (usually referred to as League One) is the third highest division in English football. The League One league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Three teams are promoted and four relegated.