League One prediction and preview: Hull City modest favorites to beat Milton Keynes Dons

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Competition: England League One
Competition: Sat 13.February
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: KCOM Stadium (25400 seats)

Hull City perform at a high level so far being 2nd in the table. Milton Keynes Dons can look both up and down from their 14th position.

Insights:
  • Hull City has the fewest conceded goals (7) at home in League One
  • Milton Keynes Dons has the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in League One

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Hull City form and stats

26 points is a decent return from 13 League One games here at KCOM Stadium for Hull City. The data says 8 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses.

Hull haven't scored a league goal since they found the net 265 minutes ago. G. Docherty scored that one.

The home supporters saw a 0-0 draw versus Lincoln City in the League One last time out and are looking for a win here. A defeat was the result before that one, 0-1 away at Burton Albion.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Hull City have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 14 games) they have won ten times, drawn three and lost one.

Hull City are traveling soon after this match as the League One match at Wigan Athletic awaits in three days.

Hull City are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 15 goals in 13 games. From these home matches, Hull have conceded only 7 goals. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Milton Keynes Dons form and stats

The visitors are W5-D2-L7 on the road this term. That's in the League One. Winning streaks in away matches are not that common, but Milton are close to a proper streak after winning their two previous away games.

Milton Keynes Dons play their second away game in a row, but can be confident going into this one after the 4-1 victory visiting Rochdale (placed 18th). Preceding that match was the 2-2 draw at home vs Sunderland.

Milton are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is one win, zero draws and two defeats. From a total of three matches.

Milton Keynes Dons have scored 18 goals on their travels this season, from 14 away games in the league. As opposed to that, Milton have seen the ball go into their own net 18 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Milton Keynes Dons - Hull 1-3. Numbers for the last three meetings between these two teams are: two wins for Hull, one draw and zero wins for Milton Keynes Dons. Over 2,5 goals: one time; under 2,5 goals: two games.

Top Goalscorers

HullM. Wilks
M. Wilks
9 goals
Milton Keynes DonsC. Jerome
C. Jerome
9 goals
Hull CityJ. Magennis
J. Magennis
8 goals

Hull City missing players

Milton Keynes Dons missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Hull City Milton Keynes Dons
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
27 13 3 Played P 6 14 27
15 8 2 Won W 2 5 9
4 2 1 Drew D 1 2 8
8 3 0 Lost L 3 7 10
41 15 3 Scored S 6 18 37
23 7 1 Conceded C 9 18 33
96% 92% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 93% 96%
74% 54% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 83% 71% 81%
41% 23% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 50% 44%
19% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 21% 26%
7% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 21% 11%
37% 23% 33% BTTS BTTS 67% 50% 59%
48% 62% 67% Clean Sheets C S 17% 21% 22%
19% 23% 0% Failed to Score F T 17% 36% 22%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.4 1.7 2.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1.9 2
1 1 1 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
12.4 13.1 11 Shots (avg) S ( 14.2 10.1 11.3
4.4 4.3 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.5 3.6 3.9
34% 27% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 22% 36% 35%
Key stats in League One this season:
  • Hull City has the fewest conceded goals (7) at home in League One
  • Hull City has the most clean sheets (8) at home in League One
  • Hull City have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Milton Keynes Dons has the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in League One
  • Milton Keynes Dons have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Lincoln City 26 16 4 6 38 20 13 7 1 5 19 15 13 9 3 1 19 5 18 52
2 Hull City 27 15 4 8 41 23 13 8 2 3 15 7 14 7 2 5 26 16 18 49
3 Peterborough United 26 15 4 7 40 24 13 10 2 1 29 10 13 5 2 6 11 14 16 49
4 Portsmouth 26 14 6 6 44 23 15 6 4 5 22 15 11 8 2 1 22 8 21 48
5 Doncaster Rovers 24 15 3 6 42 26 13 9 2 2 25 13 11 6 1 4 17 13 16 48
6 Charlton Athletic 27 12 7 8 41 35 12 4 4 4 21 21 15 8 3 4 20 14 6 43
7 Sunderland 26 10 11 5 35 23 13 4 5 4 14 15 13 6 6 1 21 8 12 41
8 Accrington Stanley 24 12 5 7 35 25 13 7 3 3 17 9 11 5 2 4 18 16 10 41
9 Oxford United 25 12 4 9 41 33 11 6 2 3 17 10 14 6 2 6 24 23 8 40
10 Crewe Alexandra 28 11 7 10 36 35 14 7 4 3 22 14 14 4 3 7 14 21 1 40
11 Ipswich Town 25 12 3 10 30 27 14 8 0 6 16 14 11 4 3 4 14 13 3 39
12 Plymouth Argyle 27 10 8 9 38 43 14 7 4 3 22 19 13 3 4 6 16 24 -5 38
13 Fleetwood Town 27 9 8 10 32 24 14 6 5 3 19 9 13 3 3 7 13 15 8 35
14 Milton Keynes Dons 27 9 8 10 37 33 13 4 6 3 19 15 14 5 2 7 18 18 4 35
15 Blackpool 24 10 4 10 28 26 10 6 1 3 13 10 14 4 3 7 15 16 2 34
16 Gillingham 26 10 4 12 32 35 14 5 2 7 16 20 12 5 2 5 16 15 -3 34
17 Shrewsbury Town 25 8 9 8 26 28 12 3 5 4 15 15 13 5 4 4 11 13 -2 33
18 Rochdale 27 6 8 13 41 54 14 1 6 7 17 31 13 5 2 6 24 23 -13 26
19 AFC Wimbledon 26 6 7 13 29 47 11 2 2 7 14 23 15 4 5 6 15 24 -18 25
20 Bristol Rovers 26 6 6 14 24 43 12 3 1 8 11 20 14 3 5 6 13 23 -19 24
21 Wigan Athletic 26 6 6 14 27 47 13 2 4 7 14 27 13 4 2 7 13 20 -20 24
22 Swindon Town 28 7 3 18 32 53 15 5 1 9 15 23 13 2 2 9 17 30 -21 24
23 Northampton Town 26 6 6 14 20 41 13 3 3 7 8 18 13 3 3 7 12 23 -21 24
24 Burton Albion 25 4 7 14 30 51 13 3 2 8 18 28 12 1 5 6 12 23 -21 19

Hull City:
Milton Keynes Dons:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Lincoln City 26 16 4 6 38 20 13 7 1 5 19 15 13 9 3 1 19 5 18 52
2 Hull City 27 15 4 8 41 23 13 8 2 3 15 7 14 7 2 5 26 16 18 49
3 Peterborough United 26 15 4 7 40 24 13 10 2 1 29 10 13 5 2 6 11 14 16 49
4 Portsmouth 26 14 6 6 44 23 15 6 4 5 22 15 11 8 2 1 22 8 21 48
5 Doncaster Rovers 24 15 3 6 42 26 13 9 2 2 25 13 11 6 1 4 17 13 16 48
6 Charlton Athletic 27 12 7 8 41 35 12 4 4 4 21 21 15 8 3 4 20 14 6 43
7 Sunderland 26 10 11 5 35 23 13 4 5 4 14 15 13 6 6 1 21 8 12 41
8 Accrington Stanley 24 12 5 7 35 25 13 7 3 3 17 9 11 5 2 4 18 16 10 41
9 Oxford United 25 12 4 9 41 33 11 6 2 3 17 10 14 6 2 6 24 23 8 40
10 Crewe Alexandra 28 11 7 10 36 35 14 7 4 3 22 14 14 4 3 7 14 21 1 40
11 Ipswich Town 25 12 3 10 30 27 14 8 0 6 16 14 11 4 3 4 14 13 3 39
12 Plymouth Argyle 27 10 8 9 38 43 14 7 4 3 22 19 13 3 4 6 16 24 -5 38
13 Fleetwood Town 27 9 8 10 32 24 14 6 5 3 19 9 13 3 3 7 13 15 8 35
14 Milton Keynes Dons 27 9 8 10 37 33 13 4 6 3 19 15 14 5 2 7 18 18 4 35
15 Blackpool 24 10 4 10 28 26 10 6 1 3 13 10 14 4 3 7 15 16 2 34
16 Gillingham 26 10 4 12 32 35 14 5 2 7 16 20 12 5 2 5 16 15 -3 34
17 Shrewsbury Town 25 8 9 8 26 28 12 3 5 4 15 15 13 5 4 4 11 13 -2 33
18 Rochdale 27 6 8 13 41 54 14 1 6 7 17 31 13 5 2 6 24 23 -13 26
19 AFC Wimbledon 26 6 7 13 29 47 11 2 2 7 14 23 15 4 5 6 15 24 -18 25
20 Bristol Rovers 26 6 6 14 24 43 12 3 1 8 11 20 14 3 5 6 13 23 -19 24
21 Wigan Athletic 26 6 6 14 27 47 13 2 4 7 14 27 13 4 2 7 13 20 -20 24
22 Swindon Town 28 7 3 18 32 53 15 5 1 9 15 23 13 2 2 9 17 30 -21 24
23 Northampton Town 26 6 6 14 20 41 13 3 3 7 8 18 13 3 3 7 12 23 -21 24
24 Burton Albion 25 4 7 14 30 51 13 3 2 8 18 28 12 1 5 6 12 23 -21 19

More from England - League One

Read more about League One

The English Football League One (usually referred to as League One) is the third highest division in English football. The League One league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Three teams are promoted and four relegated.