League One forecast and data: Burton Albion small favourite to subdue Crewe Alexandra

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: England League One
Competition: Sat 01.January
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Pirelli Stadium (6912 seats)

A total of 22 matches have been played and Burton Albion are 10 points on top of Crewe Alexandra. What happens?

Insights:
  • Burton Albion have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in League One
  • Crewe Alexandra have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.

Crewe Alexandra could be less fresh than the hosts in this fixture, as they played a League One game only three sleeps ago. That game was also an away game, at Morecambe. It will be interesting to see if they are fully ready and rested for this match, and/or if some changes in the lineup is necessary.

L L L W W

Burton Albion form and stats

6-2-3 (win-draw-lost) are the League One numbers at home for Burton Albion so far this season. Burton has recorded two wins in a row here at Pirelli Stadium, increasing their hopes of victory in this match.

The fans are hoping that Burton will strike back in this match, putting things right after the 1-3 away loss in the League One game against Rotherham United (placed 1st). Chapman, an attacker, was the best performer for the side in that fixture, earning a rating of 7.43 (out of 10). Chapman hit six key passes.

A defeat was the result before that one, 1-2 away at Wycombe Wanderers.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Burton handle that role? We have found eight games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are one win, four draws and three defeats.

Burton have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Pirelli Stadium with 18 goals in 11 league matches. 12 goals have been conceded. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

W L W W L

Crewe Alexandra form and stats

There's been little loot from Crewe Alexandra's travels as they have only collected 6 points from 12 away games in the League One. Crewe Alexandra only have 1 win to counter their 8 defeats and 3 draws.

Two travels in a row for Alexandra, whose manager Artell could celebrate last time after the League One win against Morecambe. Midfield player Murphy was the top player of the team with a match rating of 7.7/10. Murphy scored one goal and hit three key passes.

A loss against Sheffield Wednesday was the result prior to that, in a home game.

Alexandra are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is one win, two draws and six defeats. From a total of nine matches.

After this away game Crewe Alexandra return home for a EFL Trophy game against Rotherham United. That game is only three sleeps after this.

The attacking power of Crewe Alexandra when travelling is not overwhelming with 9 goals scored from 12 league matches away. It's worth mentioning that 5 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. As for defending, Crewe Alexandra rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 21 goals from these away matches.

Head 2 Head

The newest past result involving both these participants is the Crewe Alexandra - Burton Albion 2-0 played not long ago this season. Head to head numbers (for the prior ten meetings): Burton won four games, three matches ended in a draw and Crewe Alexandra managed three wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: four / six

Top Goalscorers

Burton AlbionT. O'Connor
T. O'Connor
5 goals
Crewe AlexandraM. Mandron
M. Mandron
5 goals
BurtonD. Jebbison
D. Jebbison
4 goals

Burton Albion missing players

Crewe Alexandra missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Burton Albion Crewe Alexandra
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
22 11 4 Played P 5 12 23
8 6 2 Won W 0 1 4
4 2 1 Drew D 1 3 6
10 3 1 Lost L 4 8 13
24 18 7 Scored S 2 9 21
28 12 5 Conceded C 9 21 39
95% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
73% 82% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 92% 91%
45% 55% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 20% 42% 39%
18% 27% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 8% 22%
5% 9% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 8% 9%
50% 64% 75% BTTS BTTS 40% 58% 52%
27% 27% 25% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 13%
27% 9% 0% Failed to Score F T 60% 42% 35%
 
5.7 6.3 8.2 Corners for (avg) C F 4.2 3.8 4.2
6.1 5.7 5.2 Corners against (avg) C A 6.2 7.2 6.2
2 1.8 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.6 2.5 1.9
4 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
13.1 14.4 19 Shots (avg) S ( 10.2 9.2 9.7
3.5 4.5 6.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.4 3 3.3
32% 37% 27% Goal Efficiency G E 12% 25% 28%
 
13.4 11.8 9.2 Shots against (avg) S A 14.4 16.7 15.1
3.9 3.7 2.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.4 4.8 4.3
Key stats in League One this season:
  • Burton Albion have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Burton Albion have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in League One
  • Burton Albion haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Crewe Alexandra have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Crewe Alexandra have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Crewe Alexandra have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Crewe Alexandra haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Rotherham United 23 14 5 4 43 16 12 8 2 2 30 12 11 6 3 2 13 4 27 47
2 Sunderland 23 14 4 5 42 26 11 9 1 1 24 6 12 5 3 4 18 20 16 46
3 Wigan Athletic 21 14 3 4 40 20 11 6 2 3 15 10 10 8 1 1 25 10 20 45
4 Plymouth Argyle 24 12 7 5 38 25 12 7 3 2 18 11 12 5 4 3 20 14 13 43
5 Oxford United 23 12 6 5 39 24 13 8 3 2 26 12 10 4 3 3 13 12 15 42
6 Wycombe Wanderers 23 12 6 5 36 27 11 8 1 2 19 14 12 4 5 3 17 13 9 42
7 Milton Keynes Dons 22 11 5 6 42 29 11 6 2 3 17 13 11 5 3 3 25 16 13 38
8 Sheffield Wednesday 22 9 10 3 30 21 10 5 4 1 15 8 12 4 6 2 15 13 9 37
9 Portsmouth 22 10 6 6 28 22 11 6 3 2 16 10 11 4 3 4 12 12 6 36
10 Accrington Stanley 24 10 4 10 30 39 12 7 1 4 19 18 12 3 3 6 11 21 -9 34
11 Ipswich Town 24 8 8 8 39 34 13 5 6 2 23 18 11 3 2 6 16 16 5 32
12 Charlton Athletic 23 8 5 10 30 28 12 5 3 4 19 14 11 3 2 6 11 14 2 29
13 Burton Albion 22 8 4 10 24 28 11 6 2 3 18 12 11 2 2 7 6 16 -4 28
14 Cheltenham Town 23 7 7 9 29 42 12 5 3 4 15 20 11 2 4 5 14 22 -13 28
15 Bolton Wanderers 22 7 5 10 29 33 10 4 4 2 16 15 12 3 1 8 13 18 -4 26
16 Shrewsbury Town 24 7 5 12 25 29 12 6 3 3 16 12 12 1 2 9 9 17 -4 26
17 Cambridge United 23 6 8 9 32 38 12 3 5 4 15 18 11 3 3 5 17 20 -6 26
18 AFC Wimbledon 21 6 7 8 30 35 9 2 5 2 15 15 12 4 2 6 15 20 -5 25
19 Fleetwood Town 23 5 7 11 36 43 12 4 2 6 20 20 11 1 5 5 16 23 -7 22
20 Lincoln City 22 5 7 10 24 31 11 2 3 6 10 16 11 3 4 4 14 15 -7 22
21 Morecambe 23 5 5 13 30 46 12 3 4 5 15 19 11 2 1 8 15 27 -16 20
22 Crewe Alexandra 23 4 6 13 21 39 11 3 3 5 12 18 12 1 3 8 9 21 -18 18
23 Gillingham 22 3 8 11 18 34 10 2 3 5 7 14 12 1 5 6 11 20 -16 17
24 Doncaster Rovers 22 4 4 14 13 39 11 4 3 4 10 13 11 0 1 10 3 26 -26 16

Burton Albion:
Crewe Alexandra:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Rotherham United 23 14 5 4 43 16 12 8 2 2 30 12 11 6 3 2 13 4 27 47
2 Sunderland 23 14 4 5 42 26 11 9 1 1 24 6 12 5 3 4 18 20 16 46
3 Wigan Athletic 21 14 3 4 40 20 11 6 2 3 15 10 10 8 1 1 25 10 20 45
4 Plymouth Argyle 24 12 7 5 38 25 12 7 3 2 18 11 12 5 4 3 20 14 13 43
5 Oxford United 23 12 6 5 39 24 13 8 3 2 26 12 10 4 3 3 13 12 15 42
6 Wycombe Wanderers 23 12 6 5 36 27 11 8 1 2 19 14 12 4 5 3 17 13 9 42
7 Milton Keynes Dons 22 11 5 6 42 29 11 6 2 3 17 13 11 5 3 3 25 16 13 38
8 Sheffield Wednesday 22 9 10 3 30 21 10 5 4 1 15 8 12 4 6 2 15 13 9 37
9 Portsmouth 22 10 6 6 28 22 11 6 3 2 16 10 11 4 3 4 12 12 6 36
10 Accrington Stanley 24 10 4 10 30 39 12 7 1 4 19 18 12 3 3 6 11 21 -9 34
11 Ipswich Town 24 8 8 8 39 34 13 5 6 2 23 18 11 3 2 6 16 16 5 32
12 Charlton Athletic 23 8 5 10 30 28 12 5 3 4 19 14 11 3 2 6 11 14 2 29
13 Burton Albion 22 8 4 10 24 28 11 6 2 3 18 12 11 2 2 7 6 16 -4 28
14 Cheltenham Town 23 7 7 9 29 42 12 5 3 4 15 20 11 2 4 5 14 22 -13 28
15 Bolton Wanderers 22 7 5 10 29 33 10 4 4 2 16 15 12 3 1 8 13 18 -4 26
16 Shrewsbury Town 24 7 5 12 25 29 12 6 3 3 16 12 12 1 2 9 9 17 -4 26
17 Cambridge United 23 6 8 9 32 38 12 3 5 4 15 18 11 3 3 5 17 20 -6 26
18 AFC Wimbledon 21 6 7 8 30 35 9 2 5 2 15 15 12 4 2 6 15 20 -5 25
19 Fleetwood Town 23 5 7 11 36 43 12 4 2 6 20 20 11 1 5 5 16 23 -7 22
20 Lincoln City 22 5 7 10 24 31 11 2 3 6 10 16 11 3 4 4 14 15 -7 22
21 Morecambe 23 5 5 13 30 46 12 3 4 5 15 19 11 2 1 8 15 27 -16 20
22 Crewe Alexandra 23 4 6 13 21 39 11 3 3 5 12 18 12 1 3 8 9 21 -18 18
23 Gillingham 22 3 8 11 18 34 10 2 3 5 7 14 12 1 5 6 11 20 -16 17
24 Doncaster Rovers 22 4 4 14 13 39 11 4 3 4 10 13 11 0 1 10 3 26 -26 16

More from England - League One

Read more about League One

The English Football League One (usually referred to as League One) is the third highest division in English football. The League One league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Three teams are promoted and four relegated.