Soccer preview: Home fans have big expectations when Bolton Wanderers welcome Burton Albion

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Competition: England League One
Competition: Tue 25.October
Match begins: 18:45 (UTC)
Venue: University of Bolton Stadium (28723 seats)

Bolton Wanderers are chasing the top table spots while Burton Albion are more worried about avoiding relegation. Who wins the prize?

Insights:
  • Bolton Wanderers have the fewest conceded goals (10) in League One
  • Burton Albion have the most conceded goals in the second half (19) in League One

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Bolton Wanderers and Burton Albion.

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Bolton Wanderers form and stats

16 points is a decent return from 7 League One games here at University of Bolton Stadium for Bolton Wanderers. The data says 5 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.

Wanderers are returning here after visiting Accrington Stanley and winning with a 3-2 scoreline. Lee and Afolayan scored the goal(s). At last, a league victory after three games without. An impressive turnaround for Bolton Wanderers in the match against Accrington Stanley as a 0-2 deficit was completely turned around to a 3-2 win. Afolayan scored the final goal. Midfielder Afolayan was the best player on the team with a rating of 7.63 (out of ten) in that game. Afolayan scored one goal, hit one key pass and dribled past the opponent 3 of 5 times.

Preceding that game, a home win against Leeds United U21 in the EFL Trophy. The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Bolton Wanderers's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played 5 games, won 3 matches, drawn 2 and lost 0.

It should be noted that a glance at the 13 latest league fixtures reveals that 11 of them qualified as a both teams to score: NO result (only one or none of the sides scored).

The match schedule is unforgiving for Bolton Wanderers as they have a new game in only four days, a League One match thankfully also at home. Oxford United are visiting.

Wanderers has scored 10 league goals at home this season, in 7 matches. As for guarding their own goal, Bolton Wanderers have only let in {3 goals} at home.

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Burton Albion form and stats

There's been little loot from Burton Albion's travels as they have only collected 5 points from 7 away games in the League One. Burton Albion only have 1 win to counter their 4 defeats and 2 draws.

Burton Albion had fun at their own home (University of Bolton Stadium) last time out, beating Cheltenham Town 1-0. Adeboyejo scored. That victory felt good as this team had gone three league fixtures without victory. The attacker Adeboyejo got a match rating of 7.62 in that game. Adeboyejo scored one goal and dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times.

Before that match, the win at home hosting Bradford City in the EFL Trophy (4-0). As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Burton Albion playing away, we found 8 games. Results were 1 away win, 3 draws and 4 home wins.

The visitors will be packing their bags again in only four days as another away game awaits: The League One trip to Sheffield Wednesday.

The travelling fans enjoy Burton's attacking play in away games, having scored 12 goals in 7 league matches away. For Burton Albion, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

Burton Albion have avoided a loss in the last 7 games (5-2-0) facing Wanderers.

Top Goalscorers

Burton AlbionV. Adeboyejo
V. Adeboyejo
7 goals
Burton AlbionD. Keillor-Dunn
D. Keillor-Dunn
5 goals
Bolton WanderersK. Lee
K. Lee
2 goals

Bolton Wanderers missing players

Burton Albion missing players

Bolton Wanderers Burton Albion
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
14 7 1 Played P 2 7 15
7 5 1 Won W 1 1 3
3 1 0 Drew D 1 2 3
4 1 0 Lost L 0 4 9
16 10 1 Scored S 3 12 17
10 3 0 Conceded C 1 16 29
86% 86% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
57% 57% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 80%
21% 29% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 71% 47%
14% 14% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 29% 27%
7% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 29% 20%
21% 14% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 71% 47%
50% 71% 100% Clean Sheets C S 50% 14% 13%
43% 29% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 14% 40%
 
6.4 5.7 7 Corners for (avg) C F 4.5 5.4 5.7
4.1 3.6 1 Corners against (avg) C A 6.5 4.6 5.2
1.7 2 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 1.7 1.3
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 3
 
11.1 12 16 Shots (avg) S ( 12.5 12 11.7
2.9 3.3 3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4 3.6 3.2
40% 43% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 38% 48% 35%
 
10.1 8.6 9 Shots against (avg) S A 20.5 16 13.5
2.9 1.9 1 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2.5 4.9 4
Key stats in League One this season:
  • All of Burton Albion's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Bolton Wanderers have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Bolton Wanderers have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Bolton Wanderers have the fewest conceded goals (10) in League One
  • Bolton Wanderers have the fewest matches over the total-line (3) in League One
  • Bolton Wanderers have the most matches under the total-line (11) in League One
  • Burton Albion have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Burton Albion have the most conceded goals in the second half (19) in League One
  • Burton Albion haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Plymouth Argyle 15 11 2 2 30 16 7 7 0 0 13 2 8 4 2 2 17 14 14 35
2 Ipswich Town 15 10 3 2 28 12 8 5 2 1 15 6 7 5 1 1 13 6 16 33
3 Sheffield Wednesday 15 9 3 3 28 13 7 4 2 1 17 8 8 5 1 2 11 5 15 30
4 Peterborough United 15 8 1 6 28 18 7 5 1 1 17 3 8 3 0 5 11 15 10 25
5 Portsmouth 13 7 4 2 23 15 6 3 3 0 12 6 7 4 1 2 11 9 8 25
6 Bolton Wanderers 14 7 3 4 16 10 7 5 1 1 10 3 7 2 2 3 6 7 6 24
7 Charlton Athletic 15 5 7 3 23 17 7 4 3 0 16 6 8 1 4 3 7 11 6 22
8 Exeter City 15 6 3 6 26 21 8 4 1 3 14 11 7 2 2 3 12 10 5 21
9 Barnsley 14 6 3 5 17 13 6 3 1 2 8 7 8 3 2 3 9 6 4 21
10 Shrewsbury Town 14 6 3 5 14 15 7 3 1 3 7 9 7 3 2 2 7 6 -1 21
11 Derby County 13 6 2 5 15 12 6 4 0 2 10 8 7 2 2 3 5 4 3 20
12 Wycombe Wanderers 14 6 2 6 18 17 6 3 1 2 9 5 8 3 1 4 9 12 1 20
13 Bristol Rovers 15 5 4 6 24 26 8 2 3 3 12 15 7 3 1 3 12 11 -2 19
14 Port Vale 14 5 4 5 15 19 7 2 3 2 8 8 7 3 1 3 7 11 -4 19
15 Lincoln City 13 4 6 3 16 17 6 1 5 0 7 5 7 3 1 3 9 12 -1 18
16 Fleetwood Town 14 3 7 4 12 13 7 1 4 2 4 5 7 2 3 2 8 8 -1 16
17 Accrington Stanley 14 4 4 6 16 22 8 2 3 3 12 15 6 2 1 3 4 7 -6 16
18 Cambridge United 15 5 1 9 15 26 8 4 0 4 9 12 7 1 1 5 6 14 -11 16
19 Oxford United 13 4 2 7 14 16 7 2 1 4 7 9 6 2 1 3 7 7 -2 14
20 Cheltenham Town 14 4 2 8 12 20 7 3 0 4 9 12 7 1 2 4 3 8 -8 14
21 Burton Albion 15 3 3 9 17 29 8 2 1 5 5 13 7 1 2 4 12 16 -12 12
22 Forest Green Rovers 15 3 3 9 14 32 8 2 0 6 5 15 7 1 3 3 9 17 -18 12
23 Morecambe 14 2 5 7 11 24 7 1 2 4 4 12 7 1 3 3 7 12 -13 11
24 Milton Keynes Dons 14 3 1 10 13 22 8 1 1 6 6 14 6 2 0 4 7 8 -9 10

Bolton Wanderers:
Burton Albion:
England:

Read more about League One

The English Football League One (usually referred to as League One) is the third highest division in English football. The League One league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Three teams are promoted and four relegated.