League One match prediction: Little separates AFC Wimbledon and Shrewsbury Town in quality

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Competition: England League One
Competition: Sat 29.January
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: The Cherry Red Records Stadium (4850 seats)

This is a vital clash in the lower part of the League One, with both AFC Wimbledon and Shrewsbury Town experiencing more distress than happiness. This match is a typical "six-pointer" with the hosts placed 20th and the away team in 17th position.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for AFC Wimbledon and Shrewsbury Town.

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AFC Wimbledon form and stats

2 victories, 7 draws and 3 defeats. That’s what AFC Wimbledon have to build on here at The Cherry Red Records Stadium in the League One.

The Wimbledon regulars got no joy from their last match, also played here at The Cherry Red Records Stadium: A 0-2 defeat against Ipswich Town (placed 8th). Midfield player McCormick got a match rating of 7.42 in that game, the max score being 10. McCormick hit two key passes and dribled past the opponent 2 of 3 times.

Before that, AFC Wimbledon played out a draw 1-1 when visiting Burton Albion.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how AFC Wimbledon have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found eleven matches with the results: Won four, drawn four and lost three.

Another home game is coming up fairly shortly for the hosts, as Cheltenham Town are coming to town in three days.

AFC Wimbledon are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 15 goals in 12 games. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 0 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. AFC Wimbledon have conceded 17 in these home matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Shrewsbury Town form and stats

There's been little loot from Shrewsbury Town's travels as they have only collected 7 points from 14 away games in the League One. Shrewsbury Town only have 1 win to counter their 9 defeats and 4 draws. Two points from the last two away games for Shrewsbury, which the math geniuses among you will translate to two draws.

Pennington was the last player to score for the away team. Shrewsbury Town haven't scored a league goal in the last 315 minutes.

Shrewsbury Town has to pack their bags again for the second away game in a row. Last time they traveled to Gillingham for a 0-0 draw. Ebanks-Landell, who plays in defense, got the "man of the match" on his team with the rating 7.63. Ebanks-Landell won 11 of 13 duels.

A 0-1 loss hosting Bolton Wanderers before that.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Shrewsbury Town playing away and similar expectations, we found eleven relevant matches. Results were four Shrewsbury Town wins, three draws and four defeats.

Goals are few and far between in Shrewsbury Town's away league games. Only 9 goals from 14 travels. Many goals are not expected from the visiting Shrewsbury as they have only managed to score 9 times from 14 away games in the league. Shrewsbury Town have conceded 17 goals in these away matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

It's not the first time these two sides get together this season, as the fixture list show this recent fixture: Shrewsbury Town - Wimbledon 2-1. AFC Wimbledon-Shrewsbury Town H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: AFC Wimbledon zero wins, Shrewsbury Town six wins, four draws. three of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

WimbledonJ. Rudoni
J. Rudoni
7 goals
Shrewsbury TownD. Udoh
D. Udoh
7 goals
Shrewsbury TownR. Bowman
R. Bowman
6 goals

AFC Wimbledon missing players

Shrewsbury Town missing players

AFC Wimbledon Shrewsbury Town
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
26 12 4 Played P 6 14 28
6 2 1 Won W 1 1 8
10 7 3 Drew D 2 4 7
10 3 0 Lost L 3 9 13
31 15 6 Scored S 4 9 26
39 17 5 Conceded C 5 17 30
92% 83% 75% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 86% 89%
73% 75% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 64% 61%
50% 42% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 36% 39%
31% 42% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 7%
12% 17% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 4%
54% 58% 75% BTTS BTTS 17% 43% 46%
15% 17% 25% Clean Sheets C S 50% 21% 25%
38% 42% 25% Failed to Score F T 67% 50% 39%
 
3.8 4.2 4.8 Corners for (avg) C F 5.8 4.8 5.1
6 5.8 4.2 Corners against (avg) C A 4.5 4 4.8
1.9 1.8 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.7 1.6 1.6
2 1 1 Red cards R C 1 1 5
 
11.1 13 16.2 Shots (avg) S ( 9.8 10.4 11
3.8 4.2 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.2 3.2 3.9
32% 29% 30% Goal Efficiency G E 21% 20% 24%
 
12.3 10.7 8.8 Shots against (avg) S A 11.3 11.4 12
4.3 3.7 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3 3.6 3.8

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Wigan Athletic 24 17 3 4 47 24 12 7 2 3 18 12 12 10 1 1 29 12 23 54
2 Sunderland 28 16 6 6 53 33 14 11 1 2 31 9 14 5 5 4 22 24 20 54
3 Rotherham United 26 16 5 5 46 18 14 10 2 2 33 13 12 6 3 3 13 5 28 53
4 Wycombe Wanderers 28 15 7 6 46 33 13 9 2 2 24 17 15 6 5 4 22 16 13 52
5 Milton Keynes Dons 28 14 7 7 47 32 14 7 3 4 18 14 14 7 4 3 29 18 15 49
6 Oxford United 27 13 7 7 43 31 15 9 4 2 30 15 12 4 3 5 13 16 12 46
7 Plymouth Argyle 27 12 8 7 44 34 13 7 3 3 19 13 14 5 5 4 25 21 10 44
8 Ipswich Town 28 11 8 9 47 37 14 6 6 2 25 19 14 5 2 7 22 18 10 41
9 Sheffield Wednesday 26 10 10 6 36 32 11 6 4 1 19 10 15 4 6 5 17 22 4 40
10 Portsmouth 26 10 8 8 29 25 12 6 3 3 17 12 14 4 5 5 12 13 4 38
11 Burton Albion 27 10 6 11 33 33 14 7 3 4 23 15 13 3 3 7 10 18 0 36
12 Cambridge United 27 9 9 9 37 39 15 5 6 4 19 19 12 4 3 5 18 20 -2 36
13 Accrington Stanley 27 10 6 11 33 43 14 7 3 4 21 20 13 3 3 7 12 23 -10 36
14 Charlton Athletic 27 9 6 12 34 32 14 6 3 5 21 15 13 3 3 7 13 17 2 33
15 Bolton Wanderers 26 9 5 12 33 37 12 5 4 3 18 17 14 4 1 9 15 20 -4 32
16 Lincoln City 26 8 7 11 31 34 13 3 3 7 12 17 13 5 4 4 19 17 -3 31
17 Shrewsbury Town 28 8 7 13 26 30 14 7 3 4 17 13 14 1 4 9 9 17 -4 31
18 Cheltenham Town 27 7 10 10 32 46 14 5 5 4 17 22 13 2 5 6 15 24 -14 31
19 Fleetwood Town 27 7 8 12 41 48 14 5 3 6 24 23 13 2 5 6 17 25 -7 29
20 AFC Wimbledon 26 6 10 10 31 39 12 2 7 3 15 17 14 4 3 7 16 22 -8 28
21 Morecambe 27 7 6 14 38 53 15 5 4 6 23 26 12 2 2 8 15 27 -15 27
22 Crewe Alexandra 27 5 7 15 24 45 13 4 4 5 14 19 14 1 3 10 10 26 -21 22
23 Gillingham 27 3 10 14 21 44 13 2 4 7 8 21 14 1 6 7 13 23 -23 19
24 Doncaster Rovers 27 5 4 18 19 49 13 4 3 6 11 16 14 1 1 12 8 33 -30 19

Read more about League One

The English Football League One (usually referred to as League One) is the third highest division in English football. The League One league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Three teams are promoted and four relegated.