FA Cup betting previews: Predictions and stats for the Crystal Palace - Southampton game

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Competition: England FA Cup
Competition: Sat 07.January
Match begins: 12:30 (UTC)
Venue: Selhurst Park (25073 seats)

National cups are something special for many teams and supporters. Today's match will decide whether it's Crystal Palace or Southampton that keep their silverware dream alive.

It's no vacation for neither Crystal Palace nor Southampton as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

L W L W L

Crystal Palace form and stats

Crystal Palace was eliminated in the semi-finals last season in the FA Cup.

Crystal Palace have collected 13 points from their Premier League home games so far after 4-1-4.

Palace's previous game was also a home match, the defeat 0-4 versus Tottenham Hotspur. As you see from the result above, Crystal Palace suffered greatly in their last game. Thankfully the team has a new chance to prove themselves in this one. Doucouré (midfield) was the top team player in that game with a rating of 7.62/10. Doucouré hit three key passes, dribled past the opponent 1 of 2 times and had 49 successful passes (of 59 total).

In the game before, an away victory in the Premier League match versus AFC Bournemouth with a 2-0 scoreline.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Crystal Palace have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 10 games) they have won 5 times, drawn 4 and lost 1.

The Palace fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 10 in 9 matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Crystal Palace defense is not exactly impregnable. 15 goals conceded from 9 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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Southampton form and stats

Last season their FA Cup adventure ended in the quarter-finals.

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Southampton so far with only 6 points returning home. The records show 2-0-7 (win-draw-lose).

Southampton's previous game was their home loss versus Nottingham Forest (0-1). Midfield player Ward-Prowse was the top player of the team with a match rating of 7.4/10. Ward-Prowse hit three key passes and had 55 successful passes (of 61 total).

A 1-2 defeat away at Fulham before that.

We have checked recent matches where Southampton have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 12 games were 1 victory, 2 draws and 9 defeats.

A new game in only four days for Southampton, the Carabao Cup home match versus Manchester City. Busy days.

The attacking power of Southampton when travelling is not overwhelming with 6 goals scored from 9 league matches away. Southampton struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 17 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Crystal Palace four wins, three draws and Southampton three victories. As for goals, four matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), six games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Crystal PalaceW. Zaha
W. Zaha
6 goals
SouthamptonC. Adams
C. Adams
4 goals
Crystal PalaceE. Eze
E. Eze
3 goals

Crystal Palace missing players

Southampton missing players

Crystal Palace Southampton
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
25 13   Played P   12 25
10 6   Won W   3 6
7 3   Drew D   2 6
8 4   Lost L   7 13
31 18   Scored S   9 25
33 20   Conceded C   17 38
84% 92%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   83% 92%
76% 85%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   50% 68%
56% 69%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   50% 56%
24% 31%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   25% 28%
8% 8%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   8% 8%
48% 62%   BTTS BTTS   33% 60%
32% 15%   Clean Sheets C S   33% 16%
36% 31%   Failed to Score F T   50% 32%
 
4.4 4.6   Corners for (avg) C F   3.8 4.7
3.9 3.4   Corners against (avg) C A   5.5 4.7
1.8 1.6   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   1.7 1.3
2 2   Red cards R C   0 0
 
10.9 12   Shots (avg) S (   10.7 12
4 4.2   Shots on Target (avg) S O   3.5 3.9
33% 35%   Goal Efficiency G E   24% 27%
 
11.7 10.9   Shots against (avg) S A   11.6 11.2
3.8 3.9   Shots on Target against (avg) S O   4 4

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Arsenal 17 14 2 1 40 14 8 7 1 0 22 8 9 7 1 1 18 6 26 44
2 Manchester City 16 11 3 2 44 16 9 7 1 1 31 10 7 4 2 1 13 6 28 36
3 Newcastle United 18 9 8 1 32 11 9 5 4 0 17 5 9 4 4 1 15 6 21 35
4 Manchester United 17 11 2 4 27 20 8 6 1 1 15 4 9 5 1 3 12 16 7 35
5 Tottenham Hotspur 18 10 3 5 37 25 9 6 0 3 21 13 9 4 3 2 16 12 12 33
6 Liverpool 17 8 4 5 34 22 9 6 2 1 23 9 8 2 2 4 11 13 12 28
7 Fulham 18 8 4 6 30 27 9 4 3 2 16 14 9 4 1 4 14 13 3 28
8 Brighton & Hove Albion 17 8 3 6 32 25 8 3 2 3 13 10 9 5 1 3 19 15 7 27
9 Brentford 18 6 8 4 30 28 9 4 4 1 18 10 9 2 4 3 12 18 2 26
10 Chelsea 16 7 4 5 20 18 7 4 2 1 12 6 9 3 2 4 8 12 2 25
11 Aston Villa 18 6 4 8 20 26 9 4 2 3 13 10 9 2 2 5 7 16 -6 22
12 Crystal Palace 17 6 4 7 17 25 9 4 1 4 10 15 8 2 3 3 7 10 -8 22
13 Leicester City 18 5 2 11 26 31 9 2 2 5 9 10 9 3 0 6 17 21 -5 17
14 Leeds United 17 4 5 8 25 31 9 3 3 3 15 14 8 1 2 5 10 17 -6 17
15 Nottingham Forest 18 4 5 9 13 34 9 3 3 3 11 12 9 1 2 6 2 22 -21 17
16 AFC Bournemouth 18 4 4 10 18 39 9 3 2 4 9 10 9 1 2 6 9 29 -21 16
17 West Ham United 18 4 3 11 15 24 9 3 1 5 9 12 9 1 2 6 6 12 -9 15
18 Everton 18 3 6 9 14 24 9 2 2 5 8 12 9 1 4 4 6 12 -10 15
19 Wolverhampton Wanderers 18 3 5 10 11 27 9 2 2 5 5 14 9 1 3 5 6 13 -16 14
20 Southampton 18 3 3 12 15 33 9 1 3 5 9 16 9 2 0 7 6 17 -18 12

Crystal Palace:
Southampton:
England: