FA Cup betting previews: Predictions and stats for the Birmingham City - Plymouth Argyle game

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Competition: England FA Cup
Competition: Sat 08.January
Match begins: 17:30 (UTC)
Venue: St. Andrew's Stadium (30009 seats)

National cups are something special for many teams and supporters. Today's match will decide whether it's Birmingham City or Plymouth Argyle that keep their silverware dream alive.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Birmingham City form and stats

Birmingham was eliminated in the 3rd round last season in the FA Cup.

The complete Championship results at home this season for Birmingham City are 4-3-5 (wins-draws-losses).

The Birmingham crowd went home unhappy last time out, seeing their beloved players lose 1-2 to Queens Park Rangers here at St. Andrew's Stadium in a Championship match. Midfielder Šunjić was the best player on the team with a rating of 7.32 (out of ten) in that game. Šunjić dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times.

A Championship defeat was the result before that one, 0-4 away at Blackburn Rovers.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Birmingham have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eight games) they have won three times, drawn two and lost three.

Birmingham City has scored 13 league goals at home this season, in 12 matches. Birmingham City have conceded 16 in these home matches.

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Plymouth Argyle form and stats

The traveling awayteam has defeated Rochdale and Sheffield Wednesday in order to reach 3rd round of FA Cup. Plymouth Argyle's mission in FA Cup last season failed in the 4th round.

Playing away, Plymouth Argyle have won 5 games, drawn 4 and suffered 3 defeats in the League One this season. Total FA Cup statistics for Plymouth Argyle: 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses.

The Plymouth goalkeeper Michael Cooper is collecting clean sheets like a laundry worker. It's been 257 league minutes without conceding a goal, and counting.

Plymouth play their second away game in a row, but can be confident going into this one after the 2-0 victory visiting Cheltenham Town. Camará got a match rating of 9.04 in that game, top player of the team. Camará scored one goal, served one assist, hit two key passes and had 35 successful passes (of 41 total).

A home win before that, celebrating 1-0 vs Charlton Athletic.

We have checked recent matches where Plymouth have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 18 games were two victories, six draws and ten defeats.

The travelling fans enjoy Plymouth's attacking play in away games, having scored 20 goals in 12 league matches away. As opposed to that, Plymouth have seen the ball go into their own net 14 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Head to head totals (for the preceeding six meetings): Birmingham won five games, one match ended in a draw and Plymouth Argyle got zero wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: three / three

Top Goalscorers

Plymouth ArgyleR. Hardie
R. Hardie
9 goals
BirminghamS. Hogan
S. Hogan
6 goals
Plymouth ArgyleC. Grant
C. Grant
5 goals

Birmingham City missing players

Plymouth Argyle missing players

Birmingham City Plymouth Argyle
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
25 14   Played P   13 25
7 5   Won W   5 12
6 3   Drew D   5 7
12 6   Lost L   3 6
23 14   Scored S   19 39
34 18   Conceded C   15 28
84% 86%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   92% 96%
72% 71%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   85% 88%
44% 50%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   46% 60%
20% 14%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   31% 20%
8% 7%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   8% 4%
28% 36%   BTTS BTTS   62% 60%
40% 43%   Clean Sheets C S   23% 28%
48% 36%   Failed to Score F T   23% 16%
 
3.8 4.4   Corners for (avg) C F   4.2 5.1
5.1 4.1   Corners against (avg) C A   6.4 5.6
1.5 1.4   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   1.8 1.6
3 0   Red cards R C   0 0
 
11.2 11.2   Shots (avg) S (   10.4 12.8
3.1 3   Shots on Target (avg) S O   3.8 4.5
30% 33%   Goal Efficiency G E   39% 35%
 
11.1 9.9   Shots against (avg) S A   13.4 12.6
3.7 3.6   Shots on Target against (avg) S O   3.8 4

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 AFC Bournemouth 25 14 7 4 41 20 12 7 3 2 26 13 13 7 4 2 15 7 21 49
2 Blackburn Rovers 25 13 7 5 43 28 14 9 3 2 30 17 11 4 4 3 13 11 15 46
3 Fulham 23 13 6 4 51 19 12 7 3 2 24 8 11 6 3 2 27 11 32 45
4 West Bromwich Albion 25 11 9 5 31 19 12 7 5 0 18 6 13 4 4 5 13 13 12 42
5 Queens Park Rangers 24 12 5 7 37 30 12 6 3 3 16 11 12 6 2 4 21 19 7 41
6 Huddersfield Town 26 11 7 8 32 29 12 7 2 3 18 14 14 4 5 5 14 15 3 40
7 Middlesbrough 25 11 6 8 29 24 13 7 2 4 18 12 12 4 4 4 11 12 5 39
8 Stoke City 23 10 5 8 27 23 12 6 3 3 16 11 11 4 2 5 11 12 4 35
9 Nottingham Forest 25 9 7 9 32 28 13 4 3 6 14 17 12 5 4 3 18 11 4 34
10 Coventry City 23 9 7 7 29 27 12 7 2 3 20 11 11 2 5 4 9 16 2 34
11 Millwall 24 8 9 7 27 27 11 5 4 2 14 11 13 3 5 5 13 16 0 33
12 Blackpool 26 9 6 11 27 32 14 6 2 6 12 15 12 3 4 5 15 17 -5 33
13 Sheffield United 22 9 5 8 29 28 10 4 2 4 15 11 12 5 3 4 14 17 1 32
14 Bristol City 25 8 6 11 30 39 14 4 5 5 15 17 11 4 1 6 15 22 -9 30
15 Luton Town 22 7 8 7 31 27 11 4 4 3 17 13 11 3 4 4 14 14 4 29
16 Preston North End 22 7 7 8 24 28 11 5 4 2 15 12 11 2 3 6 9 16 -4 28
17 Swansea City 22 7 6 9 26 31 11 4 4 3 14 12 11 3 2 6 12 19 -5 27
18 Birmingham City 24 7 6 11 23 32 12 4 3 5 13 16 12 3 3 6 10 16 -9 27
19 Hull City 24 6 5 13 20 29 11 3 3 5 11 14 13 3 2 8 9 15 -9 23
20 Cardiff City 24 6 5 13 26 43 11 2 1 8 9 18 13 4 4 5 17 25 -17 23
21 Reading 22 8 3 11 27 34 11 4 3 4 16 16 11 4 0 7 11 18 -7 21
22 Peterborough United 23 5 4 14 20 44 11 4 4 3 14 11 12 1 0 11 6 33 -24 19
23 Barnsley 24 2 8 14 16 36 12 2 4 6 8 15 12 0 4 8 8 21 -20 14
24 Derby County 24 7 10 7 21 22 12 5 5 2 14 11 12 2 5 5 7 11 -1 10
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Rotherham United 24 15 5 4 45 17 13 9 2 2 32 13 11 6 3 2 13 4 28 50
2 Sunderland 24 15 4 5 47 26 12 10 1 1 29 6 12 5 3 4 18 20 21 49
3 Wigan Athletic 21 14 3 4 40 20 11 6 2 3 15 10 10 8 1 1 25 10 20 45
4 Wycombe Wanderers 24 13 6 5 37 27 11 8 1 2 19 14 13 5 5 3 18 13 10 45
5 Oxford United 24 12 7 5 40 25 14 8 4 2 27 13 10 4 3 3 13 12 15 43
6 Plymouth Argyle 24 12 7 5 38 25 12 7 3 2 18 11 12 5 4 3 20 14 13 43
7 Milton Keynes Dons 23 11 6 6 42 29 12 6 3 3 17 13 11 5 3 3 25 16 13 39
8 Sheffield Wednesday 24 9 10 5 30 27 10 5 4 1 15 8 14 4 6 4 15 19 3 37
9 Portsmouth 22 10 6 6 28 22 11 6 3 2 16 10 11 4 3 4 12 12 6 36
10 Accrington Stanley 24 10 4 10 30 39 12 7 1 4 19 18 12 3 3 6 11 21 -9 34
11 Ipswich Town 24 8 8 8 39 34 13 5 6 2 23 18 11 3 2 6 16 16 5 32
12 Burton Albion 23 9 4 10 28 29 12 7 2 3 22 13 11 2 2 7 6 16 -1 31
13 Charlton Athletic 24 8 5 11 30 29 13 5 3 5 19 15 11 3 2 6 11 14 1 29
14 Shrewsbury Town 25 8 5 12 26 29 13 7 3 3 17 12 12 1 2 9 9 17 -3 29
15 Cheltenham Town 24 7 8 9 30 43 12 5 3 4 15 20 12 2 5 5 15 23 -13 29
16 Bolton Wanderers 23 7 5 11 30 35 10 4 4 2 16 15 13 3 1 9 14 20 -5 26
17 Cambridge United 23 6 8 9 32 38 12 3 5 4 15 18 11 3 3 5 17 20 -6 26
18 AFC Wimbledon 21 6 7 8 30 35 9 2 5 2 15 15 12 4 2 6 15 20 -5 25
19 Morecambe 24 6 5 13 34 49 13 4 4 5 19 22 11 2 1 8 15 27 -15 23
20 Fleetwood Town 23 5 7 11 36 43 12 4 2 6 20 20 11 1 5 5 16 23 -7 22
21 Lincoln City 22 5 7 10 24 31 11 2 3 6 10 16 11 3 4 4 14 15 -7 22
22 Gillingham 23 3 9 11 18 34 10 2 3 5 7 14 13 1 6 6 11 20 -16 18
23 Crewe Alexandra 24 4 6 14 22 43 11 3 3 5 12 18 13 1 3 9 10 25 -21 18
24 Doncaster Rovers 23 4 4 15 16 43 11 4 3 4 10 13 12 0 1 11 6 30 -27 16

Birmingham City:
England: