EFL Trophy betting previews: Predictions and stats for the Plymouth Argyle - Swindon Town game

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Competition: England EFL Trophy
Competition: Tue 12.October
Match begins: 18:00 (UTC)
Venue: Home Park (18000 seats)

Perhaps a welcome break from league football as Plymouth Argyle & Swindon Town face off to decide who makes it to next stage of the EFL Trophy. All the pre-match information is available here!

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Plymouth and Swindon Town.

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Plymouth Argyle form and stats

Plymouth participated in EFL Trophy the last season, where they reached the group stage.

Plymouth Argyle are steadily winning League One games and points here at Home Park. 4 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats is the summary from 7 games. Plymouth haven’t lost a league-game in eleven attempts regardless of arena, a great achievement. Their last loss was the fixture versus Rotherham United, 66 days ago.

A nice win for Plymouth last time playing, versus Burton Albion. That was also a home game and the match ended 2-1 with Ryan Broom and Conor Grant scoring for the victors. Midfield player Conor Grant got a match rating of 8.35 in that game, the max score being 10. Grant scored one goal and hit three key passes.

Before that, Plymouth played out a League One draw 2-2 when visiting Lincoln City.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Plymouth have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found twelve games) they have won seven times, drawn three and lost two.

Plymouth Argyle are traveling soon after this match as the League One match at Oxford United awaits in four days.

Plymouth Argyle have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Home Park with 11 goals in 7 league matches. Plymouth are not conceding a lot of goals here at Home Park in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 5 from 7 matches.

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Swindon Town form and stats

They also participated in EFL Trophy last season. This ended in the group stage.

Swindon Town have an excellent away record in the League Two so far with 4-2-0 from 6 games. The away team travel with confidence. Not since the Milton Keynes Dons game have they lost an away game, meaning Swindon has taken points from seven away matches in a row.

Two travels in a row for Swindon, whose manager B. Garner could celebrate last time after the League Two win against Forest Green Rovers. Goalkeeper Lewis Ward was absolutely vital in the Swindon Town victory against Forest Green Rovers, making seven saves. Goalkeeper Lewis Ward got the top player rating of the team with 9.43/10. Ward saved a penalty, stopped the opponent with seven saves and topped it up with a clean sheet.

Before that one, a nice away victory 3-1 at Bristol Rovers.

We have checked recent matches where Swindon have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 13 games were five victories, two draws and six defeats.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Rochdale in just four days.

The travelling fans enjoy Swindon's attacking play in away games, having scored 11 goals in 6 league matches away. It's not easy to score on Swindon Town as they have only conceded 4 goals from these away games.

Head 2 Head

Previous ten meetings with these contenders: Plymouth won four, Swindon Town were winners in five and we saw one draw. six games with more than 2,5 goals, four matches with less than 2,5 goals.

Top Goalscorers

PlymouthR. Hardie
R. Hardie
8 goals
Plymouth ArgyleL. Jephcott
L. Jephcott
4 goals
Swindon TownJ. Payne
J. Payne
4 goals

Plymouth Argyle missing players

Swindon Town missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Plymouth Argyle Swindon Town
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
25 11   Played P   15 25
10 4   Won W   6 9
7 3   Drew D   3 5
8 4   Lost L   6 11
43 14   Scored S   23 32
28 13   Conceded C   26 38
96% 100%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   93% 88%
80% 82%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   80% 72%
56% 55%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   60% 60%
28% 9%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   47% 32%
12% 0%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   33% 20%
52% 73%   BTTS BTTS   67% 60%
32% 18%   Clean Sheets C S   20% 24%
20% 9%   Failed to Score F T   20% 28%
 
5.1 5.6   Corners for (avg) C F   4.1 4.2
5.5 4.3   Corners against (avg) C A   6.1 6.3
1.5 1.8   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   1.1 1.5
1 1   Red cards R C   0 1
 
12.3 14.5   Shots (avg) S (   12.3 12.4
4.5 5.3   Shots on Target (avg) S O   3.8 4.6
32% 25%   Goal Efficiency G E   40% 28%

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Newport County 1 1 0 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3
2 Swindon Town 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3
3 Arsenal U21 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
4 Plymouth Argyle 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Plymouth Argyle 12 6 5 1 19 11 7 4 3 0 11 5 5 2 2 1 8 6 8 23
2 Wycombe Wanderers 11 7 2 2 18 12 5 5 0 0 11 5 6 2 2 2 7 7 6 23
3 Wigan Athletic 10 7 1 2 17 7 6 4 1 1 8 4 4 3 0 1 9 3 10 22
4 Sunderland 10 7 1 2 18 11 6 6 0 0 14 3 4 1 1 2 4 8 7 22
5 Rotherham United 11 6 2 3 16 9 6 3 1 2 10 7 5 3 1 1 6 2 7 20
6 Milton Keynes Dons 11 5 4 2 21 15 6 4 1 1 10 6 5 1 3 1 11 9 6 19
7 Oxford United 11 5 3 3 17 12 6 4 2 0 12 4 5 1 1 3 5 8 5 18
8 Bolton Wanderers 12 5 3 4 20 16 5 2 2 1 7 7 7 3 1 3 13 9 4 18
9 Sheffield Wednesday 11 5 3 3 11 9 5 3 1 1 6 3 6 2 2 2 5 6 2 18
10 Burton Albion 12 4 4 4 11 14 6 3 2 1 8 6 6 1 2 3 3 8 -3 16
11 Accrington Stanley 11 5 1 5 14 20 5 4 0 1 7 6 6 1 1 4 7 14 -6 16
12 Portsmouth 11 4 3 4 14 10 5 3 1 1 10 4 6 1 2 3 4 6 4 15
13 Morecambe 11 4 2 5 20 18 6 3 1 2 11 8 5 1 1 3 9 10 2 14
14 Ipswich Town 11 3 4 4 21 19 7 2 4 1 17 13 4 1 0 3 4 6 2 13
15 AFC Wimbledon 11 3 4 4 17 19 5 1 3 1 8 7 6 2 1 3 9 12 -2 13
16 Cambridge United 10 3 4 3 14 16 6 2 2 2 8 10 4 1 2 1 6 6 -2 13
17 Lincoln City 11 3 3 5 14 15 5 1 2 2 5 6 6 2 1 3 9 9 -1 12
18 Cheltenham Town 11 3 3 5 11 20 5 2 1 2 5 7 6 1 2 3 6 13 -9 12
19 Gillingham 12 2 5 5 11 17 5 1 2 2 5 9 7 1 3 3 6 8 -6 11
20 Fleetwood Town 10 2 4 4 17 18 4 1 1 2 6 7 6 1 3 2 11 11 -1 10
21 Charlton Athletic 11 2 3 6 12 18 6 1 2 3 6 10 5 1 1 3 6 8 -6 9
22 Crewe Alexandra 11 1 5 5 9 15 5 1 2 2 6 7 6 0 3 3 3 8 -6 8
23 Shrewsbury Town 12 2 2 8 9 18 6 2 1 3 6 9 6 0 1 5 3 9 -9 8
24 Doncaster Rovers 10 2 1 7 6 18 4 2 1 1 4 3 6 0 0 6 2 15 -12 7
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Forest Green Rovers 11 7 2 2 20 10 6 3 1 2 9 8 5 4 1 0 11 2 10 23
2 Harrogate Town 11 6 4 1 23 13 6 3 3 0 14 7 5 3 1 1 9 6 10 22
3 Swindon Town 11 5 4 2 14 8 5 1 2 2 3 4 6 4 2 0 11 4 6 19
4 Port Vale 11 5 3 3 16 12 5 2 2 1 7 5 6 3 1 2 9 7 4 18
5 Tranmere Rovers 11 5 3 3 8 4 6 5 0 1 8 2 5 0 3 2 0 2 4 18
6 Leyton Orient 11 4 5 2 19 11 5 3 1 1 9 2 6 1 4 1 10 9 8 17
7 Sutton United 10 5 2 3 16 11 5 4 0 1 12 6 5 1 2 2 4 5 5 17
8 Hartlepool United 11 5 2 4 11 10 6 5 1 0 9 3 5 0 1 4 2 7 1 17
9 Crawley Town 11 5 2 4 14 15 5 3 2 0 8 5 6 2 0 4 6 10 -1 17
10 Exeter City 11 3 7 1 16 10 5 2 3 0 8 3 6 1 4 1 8 7 6 16
11 Barrow 11 4 4 3 15 12 6 2 3 1 9 8 5 2 1 2 6 4 3 16
12 Bradford City 11 4 4 3 14 11 5 3 2 0 10 4 6 1 2 3 4 7 3 16
13 Newport County 11 4 3 4 13 13 5 2 2 1 7 4 6 2 1 3 6 9 0 15
14 Northampton Town 11 4 3 4 10 11 5 2 1 2 5 6 6 2 2 2 5 5 -1 15
15 Stevenage 11 3 4 4 11 15 6 2 3 1 7 8 5 1 1 3 4 7 -4 13
16 Bristol Rovers 11 4 1 6 12 17 6 3 0 3 7 8 5 1 1 3 5 9 -5 13
17 Salford City 11 3 3 5 12 12 6 2 3 1 7 4 5 1 0 4 5 8 0 12
18 Rochdale 11 3 3 5 12 14 6 1 2 3 3 5 5 2 1 2 9 9 -2 12
19 Walsall 11 3 3 5 13 16 6 3 1 2 9 8 5 0 2 3 4 8 -3 12
20 Colchester United 10 2 4 4 7 11 4 0 1 3 1 5 6 2 3 1 6 6 -4 10
21 Mansfield Town 11 2 4 5 10 15 7 2 2 3 8 10 4 0 2 2 2 5 -5 10
22 Carlisle United 11 2 4 5 9 18 5 1 3 1 5 6 6 1 1 4 4 12 -9 10
23 Oldham Athletic 11 2 2 7 6 16 5 0 1 4 2 8 6 2 1 3 4 8 -10 8
24 Scunthorpe United 11 1 4 6 7 23 5 1 1 3 3 9 6 0 3 3 4 14 -16 7

Swindon Town:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Newport County 1 1 0 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3
2 Swindon Town 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3
3 Arsenal U21 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
4 Plymouth Argyle 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0

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