Championship prediction and preview: Swansea City modest favorites to beat Preston North End

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Mon 05.April
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Liberty Stadium (20827 seats)

The league table in Championship tells a story about these teams so far, with Swansea City leading Preston North End by 24 points. Match preview to follow:

Insights:
  • Swansea City have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Preston North End is in the worst form (0-2-4)

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Swansea and Preston North End.

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Swansea City form and stats

Swansea City have performed here at Liberty Stadium this season with 11 wins from 19 Championship matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 5 games and lost 3. Swansea has three losses from their three previous games and the tension is increasing in the dressing room for both the manager S. Cooper and the players.

Swansea haven't scored a league goal since they found the net 357 minutes ago. C. Hourihane scored that one.

Swansea City faced defeat in their previous match, away at Birmingham City (0-1). Ahead of that match, Swansea City lost 0-1 at home to Cardiff City.

Heartbreak for Swansea City in their last match as Birmingham City's S. Hogan scored the winning goal deep into overtime.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Swansea handle that role? We have found 19 games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are nine wins, five draws and five defeats.

Swansea are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 23 goals in 19 games. Swansea are not conceding a lot of goals here at Liberty Stadium in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 11 from 19 matches.

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Preston North End form and stats

8-1-10 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Preston North End in their Championship matches away. A depressing four defeats in a row for Preston in their away games. Unhappy days, as the last time they avoided a loss on the road was versus Blackburn Rovers.

Preston's last game ended in a draw, the home match versus Norwich City that finished 1-1. A 0-1 loss hosting Luton Town before that.

The draw against Norwich City came from a losing position. The Preston manager F. McAvoy brought on Brad Potts as a substitute and the player scored to make the scores level.

Preston North End are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is one win, one draw and six defeats. From a total of eight matches.

Preston North End are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 24 away goals from 19 games (in the league). It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. In the opposite end, Preston have conceded 31 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Preston North End - Swansea 0-1 played earlier this season. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: six - two - two (Swansea City wins - draws - Preston North End wins). As for goals, four matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), six had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

SwanseaA. Ayew Pelé
A. Ayew Pelé
14 goals
Swansea CityJ. Lowe
J. Lowe
9 goals
Preston North EndS. Sinclair
S. Sinclair
9 goals

Swansea City missing players

Preston North End missing players

Swansea City Preston North End
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
38 19 5 Played P 7 19 39
20 11 2 Won W 3 8 13
9 5 2 Drew D 1 1 6
9 3 1 Lost L 3 10 20
45 23 4 Scored S 14 24 40
30 11 3 Conceded C 16 31 50
92% 84% 80% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 95%
68% 63% 40% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 79% 64%
26% 26% 20% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 63% 46%
8% 5% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 71% 26% 15%
3% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 43% 16% 8%
39% 37% 40% BTTS BTTS 71% 47% 36%
47% 58% 60% Clean Sheets C S 14% 21% 28%
21% 21% 20% Failed to Score F T 14% 32% 41%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.6 1.6 1.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 1.3 1.2
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 1 3
 
10.3 11 11.6 Shots (avg) S ( 10.1 8.4 9.5
3.3 3.4 3.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.7 3.4 3.1
36% 35% 21% Goal Efficiency G E 42% 38% 33%
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Preston North End have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Preston North End haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Preston North End is in the worst form (0-2-4)
  • Swansea City have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Norwich City 39 25 9 5 57 28 19 12 6 1 27 10 20 13 3 4 30 18 29 84
2 Watford 39 23 9 7 56 26 20 16 2 2 39 12 19 7 7 5 17 14 30 78
3 Brentford 38 19 12 7 66 40 18 10 6 2 35 19 20 9 6 5 31 21 26 69
4 Swansea City 38 20 9 9 45 30 19 11 5 3 23 11 19 9 4 6 22 19 15 69
5 Barnsley 39 19 8 12 50 43 20 10 5 5 25 20 19 9 3 7 25 23 7 65
6 Reading 39 18 9 12 53 42 19 11 1 7 29 21 20 7 8 5 24 21 11 63
7 AFC Bournemouth 38 17 11 10 58 38 20 12 3 5 36 20 18 5 8 5 22 18 20 62
8 Cardiff City 39 16 10 13 55 38 20 7 4 9 32 22 19 9 6 4 23 16 17 58
9 Middlesbrough 39 16 8 15 47 42 19 10 3 6 25 18 20 6 5 9 22 24 5 56
10 Millwall 39 13 16 10 39 36 20 6 10 4 19 16 19 7 6 6 20 20 3 55
11 Stoke City 39 14 13 12 44 42 19 9 4 6 26 21 20 5 9 6 18 21 2 55
12 Queens Park Rangers 38 14 11 13 42 43 20 9 4 7 24 22 18 5 7 6 18 21 -1 53
13 Luton Town 38 14 8 16 31 43 18 7 6 5 22 20 20 7 2 11 9 23 -12 50
14 Bristol City 39 15 4 20 39 52 20 7 2 11 15 24 19 8 2 9 24 28 -13 49
15 Blackburn Rovers 39 12 10 17 50 43 19 6 7 6 25 21 20 6 3 11 25 22 7 46
16 Nottingham Forest 39 11 12 16 31 38 19 5 7 7 16 18 20 6 5 9 15 20 -7 45
17 Preston North End 39 13 6 20 40 50 20 5 5 10 16 19 19 8 1 10 24 31 -10 45
18 Huddersfield Town 38 11 10 17 42 53 19 8 5 6 26 19 19 3 5 11 16 34 -11 43
19 Derby County 39 11 10 18 29 42 20 6 6 8 16 20 19 5 4 10 13 22 -13 43
20 Birmingham City 39 10 11 18 29 50 20 5 3 12 15 32 19 5 8 6 14 18 -21 41
21 Coventry City 38 9 12 17 32 51 19 7 7 5 19 19 19 2 5 12 13 32 -19 39
22 Rotherham United 35 10 5 20 38 48 17 4 3 10 21 26 18 6 2 10 17 22 -10 35
23 Sheffield Wednesday 38 10 8 20 28 48 18 6 6 6 15 14 20 4 2 14 13 34 -20 32
24 Wycombe Wanderers 39 7 9 23 26 61 20 5 5 10 13 24 19 2 4 13 13 37 -35 30

Swansea City:
Preston North End:
Championship:
England:

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.