Championship match prediction: Little separates Swansea City and Luton Town in quality

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Sat 20.August
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Swansea.com Stadium (20827 seats)

Luton Town have journeyed here for an engaging fight against the home team Swansea City. Get smart on the match with this in-depth Championship preview!

Insights:
  • Swansea City have the most conceded goals (5) at home in Championship

It's no vacation for neither Swansea nor Luton Town as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

D W D L D

Swansea City form and stats

When playing at home in the Championship, Swansea City, who have the most conceded goals (5) at home in Championship, have managed 0 wins, 1 draw and suffered 1 defeat from 2 games.

The spoils were shared in Swansea City's previous game, also at home. Visiting Millwall (placed 4th) travelled back with a draw after a 2-2 scoreline. Opportunity lost for Swansea in the Millwall match as a lead 2-0 was lost and what looked like a victory ended in a draw. The attacker Ntcham was announced as "man of the match" for Swansea City with a rating of 8.03/10. Ntcham served one assist, hit three key passes, dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times and had 30 successful passes (of 36 total).

Before that match, a win away at Blackpool.

This is expected to be a close game, with Swansea City perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Swansea City as a small favourite), we find 9 games. Swansea City has won 4 of these, drawn 3 and lost 2.

At Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea City has the goal stats of 2-5 (for/against) from 2 league fixtures.

L L L D D

Luton Town form and stats

Still no away game victory in the Championship for Luton Town with 1 draw and 1 loss from their first 2 attempts.

Luton Town have been frustrated by their lack of goals lately, as they haven't scored in the league since they found the net 265 minutes ago. Potts was the goal scorer.

There might be some fixture complaints from Luton as they are again playing away from home after losing on the road in their previous game, 0-2 against Bristol City.

The game before that, was lost at home, a 0-1 defeat against Preston North End.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found 12 similar matches played by Luton Town in our archives, and the results are: 4 wins for Luton Town, 2 draws and 6 defeats.

It's early days yet, but Luton Town has scored 1 and conceded 3 goals from their travels in the league so far (2 games).

Head 2 Head

Head-2-head stats last eight meetings: five - one - two (Swansea City wins - draws - Luton Town wins). As for goals, two matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), six had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

SwanseaR. Manning
R. Manning
1 goals
Swansea CityJ. Ntcham
J. Ntcham
1 goals
Swansea CityM. Obafemi
M. Obafemi
1 goals

Swansea City missing players

Luton Town missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Swansea City Luton Town
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
4 2 0 Played P 2 2 4
1 0 0 Won W 0 0 0
2 1 0 Drew D 1 1 2
1 1 0 Lost L 1 1 2
4 2 0 Scored S 1 1 1
6 5 0 Conceded C 3 3 4
100% 100% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 75%
75% 100% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 50%
50% 100% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 0% 0%
25% 50% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
50% 50% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 50% 25%
25% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 25%
25% 50% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 50% 75%
 
5.8 5.5 0 Corners for (avg) C F 4.5 4.5 6.5
4.8 5.5 0 Corners against (avg) C A 8 8 6.2
2.5 2.5 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.5 1.5 0.8
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
11.5 8.5 0 Shots (avg) S ( 12 12 14.5
5 4.5 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 2 2.8
20% 22% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 25% 9%
 
10.5 11.5 0 Shots against (avg) S A 12 12 10.8
4.5 3.5 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2 2 3
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Swansea City have the most conceded goals (5) at home in Championship
  • Swansea City have the the worst goal difference (-3) at home in Championship
Swansea City Last season Luton Town
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
46 23   Played P   24 48
16 9   Won W   9 21
13 8   Drew D   5 13
17 6   Lost L   10 14
58 30   Scored S   26 64
68 27   Conceded C   34 57
87% 83%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   96% 92%
67% 61%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   75% 71%
52% 48%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   42% 46%
35% 30%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   21% 25%
17% 17%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   8% 12%
48% 52%   BTTS BTTS   38% 42%
35% 39%   Clean Sheets C S   33% 40%
30% 26%   Failed to Score F T   33% 27%
 
4 4   Corners for (avg) C F   4.5 4.7
4.9 4.8   Corners against (avg) C A   5.2 4.9
1.9 1.6   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   2.5 2
4 2   Red cards R C   1 2
 
10.8 10.8   Shots (avg) S (   10.3 10.9
3.6 3.5   Shots on Target (avg) S O   3.7 3.7
35% 38%   Goal Efficiency G E   30% 36%
 
11.1 10.7   Shots against (avg) S A   12.4 11.1
4.2 3.7   Shots on Target against (avg) S O   3.9 3.4

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Blackburn Rovers 3 3 0 0 6 1 2 2 0 0 3 1 1 1 0 0 3 0 5 9
2 Hull City 4 2 2 0 5 3 2 2 0 0 4 2 2 0 2 0 1 1 2 8
3 Watford 4 2 2 0 4 2 2 2 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 8
4 Millwall 4 2 1 1 7 6 2 2 0 0 5 2 2 0 1 1 2 4 1 7
5 Cardiff City 3 2 0 1 3 2 2 2 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 6
6 Preston North End 4 1 3 0 1 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 1 0 1 6
7 Blackpool 4 2 0 2 2 3 2 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 6
8 Rotherham United 3 1 2 0 5 1 2 1 1 0 5 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 4 5
9 Sunderland 3 1 2 0 6 5 2 0 2 0 3 3 1 1 0 0 3 2 1 5
10 Birmingham City 4 1 2 1 3 3 2 1 1 0 3 2 2 0 1 1 0 1 0 5
11 Burnley 4 1 2 1 3 3 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 5
12 Swansea City 4 1 2 1 4 6 2 0 1 1 2 5 2 1 1 0 2 1 -2 5
13 Sheffield United 3 1 1 1 4 3 1 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 1 1 2 3 1 4
14 Bristol City 4 1 1 2 6 6 2 1 0 1 4 3 2 0 1 1 2 3 0 4
15 Queens Park Rangers 4 1 1 2 5 6 2 1 0 1 3 3 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 4
16 Norwich City 4 1 1 2 4 5 2 1 1 0 3 2 2 0 0 2 1 3 -1 4
17 Wigan Athletic 3 0 3 0 2 2 2 0 2 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 3
18 Huddersfield Town 4 1 0 3 5 6 2 1 0 1 3 2 2 0 0 2 2 4 -1 3
19 Stoke City 3 1 0 2 3 5 1 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 2 1 5 -2 3
20 Reading 3 1 0 2 2 6 1 1 0 0 2 1 2 0 0 2 0 5 -4 3
21 Middlesbrough 3 0 2 1 5 6 2 0 2 0 3 3 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 2
22 West Bromwich Albion 3 0 2 1 3 4 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 2
23 Luton Town 4 0 2 2 1 4 2 0 1 1 0 1 2 0 1 1 1 3 -3 2
24 Coventry City 2 0 1 1 3 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
Last season Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Fulham 46 27 9 10 106 43 23 14 4 5 56 20 23 13 5 5 50 23 63 90
2 AFC Bournemouth 46 25 13 8 74 39 23 13 7 3 41 21 23 12 6 5 33 18 35 88
3 Huddersfield Town 46 23 13 10 64 47 23 13 6 4 35 23 23 10 7 6 29 24 17 82
4 Nottingham Forest 46 23 11 12 73 40 23 13 4 6 43 22 23 10 7 6 30 18 33 80
5 Sheffield United 46 21 12 13 63 45 23 13 5 5 38 15 23 8 7 8 25 30 18 75
6 Luton Town 46 21 12 13 63 55 23 12 7 4 37 22 23 9 5 9 26 33 8 75
7 Middlesbrough 46 20 10 16 59 50 23 14 2 7 34 21 23 6 8 9 25 29 9 70
8 Blackburn Rovers 46 19 12 15 59 50 23 12 5 6 36 26 23 7 7 9 23 24 9 69
9 Millwall 46 18 15 13 53 45 23 13 6 4 32 16 23 5 9 9 21 29 8 69
10 West Bromwich Albion 46 18 13 15 52 45 23 12 8 3 33 16 23 6 5 12 19 29 7 67
11 Queens Park Rangers 46 19 9 18 60 59 23 10 6 7 30 25 23 9 3 11 30 34 1 66
12 Coventry City 46 17 13 16 60 59 23 10 5 8 32 26 23 7 8 8 28 33 1 64
13 Preston North End 46 16 16 14 52 56 23 9 10 4 33 28 23 7 6 10 19 28 -4 64
14 Stoke City 46 17 11 18 57 52 23 10 5 8 30 23 23 7 6 10 27 29 5 62
15 Swansea City 46 16 13 17 58 68 23 9 8 6 30 27 23 7 5 11 28 41 -10 61
16 Blackpool 46 16 12 18 54 58 23 11 3 9 29 26 23 5 9 9 25 32 -4 60
17 Bristol City 46 15 10 21 62 77 23 8 8 7 33 29 23 7 2 14 29 48 -15 55
18 Cardiff City 46 15 8 23 50 68 23 7 4 12 22 29 23 8 4 11 28 39 -18 53
19 Hull City 46 14 9 23 41 54 23 7 4 12 22 28 23 7 5 11 19 26 -13 51
20 Birmingham City 46 11 14 21 50 75 23 7 6 10 27 33 23 4 8 11 23 42 -25 47
21 Reading 46 13 8 25 54 87 23 7 5 11 33 44 23 6 3 14 21 43 -33 41
22 Peterborough United 46 9 10 27 43 87 23 6 7 10 27 33 23 3 3 17 16 54 -44 37
23 Derby County 46 14 13 19 45 53 23 11 7 5 30 22 23 3 6 14 15 31 -8 34
24 Barnsley 46 6 12 28 33 73 23 5 7 11 18 29 23 1 5 17 15 44 -40 30

Swansea City:
Luton Town:
Championship:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Blackburn Rovers 3 3 0 0 6 1 2 2 0 0 3 1 1 1 0 0 3 0 5 9
2 Hull City 4 2 2 0 5 3 2 2 0 0 4 2 2 0 2 0 1 1 2 8
3 Watford 4 2 2 0 4 2 2 2 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 8
4 Millwall 4 2 1 1 7 6 2 2 0 0 5 2 2 0 1 1 2 4 1 7
5 Cardiff City 3 2 0 1 3 2 2 2 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 6
6 Preston North End 4 1 3 0 1 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 1 0 1 6
7 Blackpool 4 2 0 2 2 3 2 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 6
8 Rotherham United 3 1 2 0 5 1 2 1 1 0 5 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 4 5
9 Sunderland 3 1 2 0 6 5 2 0 2 0 3 3 1 1 0 0 3 2 1 5
10 Birmingham City 4 1 2 1 3 3 2 1 1 0 3 2 2 0 1 1 0 1 0 5
11 Burnley 4 1 2 1 3 3 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 5
12 Swansea City 4 1 2 1 4 6 2 0 1 1 2 5 2 1 1 0 2 1 -2 5
13 Sheffield United 3 1 1 1 4 3 1 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 1 1 2 3 1 4
14 Bristol City 4 1 1 2 6 6 2 1 0 1 4 3 2 0 1 1 2 3 0 4
15 Queens Park Rangers 4 1 1 2 5 6 2 1 0 1 3 3 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 4
16 Norwich City 4 1 1 2 4 5 2 1 1 0 3 2 2 0 0 2 1 3 -1 4
17 Wigan Athletic 3 0 3 0 2 2 2 0 2 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 3
18 Huddersfield Town 4 1 0 3 5 6 2 1 0 1 3 2 2 0 0 2 2 4 -1 3
19 Stoke City 3 1 0 2 3 5 1 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 2 1 5 -2 3
20 Reading 3 1 0 2 2 6 1 1 0 0 2 1 2 0 0 2 0 5 -4 3
21 Middlesbrough 3 0 2 1 5 6 2 0 2 0 3 3 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 2
22 West Bromwich Albion 3 0 2 1 3 4 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 2
23 Luton Town 4 0 2 2 1 4 2 0 1 1 0 1 2 0 1 1 1 3 -3 2
24 Coventry City 2 0 1 1 3 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1

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The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.