Championship match prediction: Little separates Swansea City and Blackburn Rovers in quality

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Sat 05.February
Match begins: 17:30 (UTC)
Venue: Swansea.com Stadium (20827 seats)

Both Swansea City and Blackburn Rovers are thirsting for points in this game, in spite of the visitors holding a 21 point advantage from earlier matches.

The hosts Swansea City saw competitive action as recent as four days ago, playing in the Championship. This match was also played here at Swansea.com Stadium. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Blackburn Rovers have had more rest.

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Swansea City form and stats

5-4-4 (win-draw-lost) are the Championship numbers at home for Swansea City so far this season. When Swansea City hosts teams that live on the top of the table (like Middlesbrough, West Bromwich Albion, Fulham, Queens Park Rangers, AFC Bournemouth, Huddersfield Town and Nottingham Forest), they have won 2 of 3 matches!

Times are rough for the home team, having gone 309 minutes without scoring a league goal. Manning was the last player to find the net.

The Swansea club members got no joy from their last match, also played here at Swansea.com Stadium: A 0-1 defeat against Luton Town (placed 9th). Grimes (midfield was the top team player in that game with a rating of 7.84/10. Grimes hit two key passes, dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times and had 88 successful passes (of 96 total).

Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Hull City (0-2).

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Swansea City have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found ten matches with the results: Won seven, drawn two and lost one.

Swansea City are traveling soon after this match as the Championship match at Stoke City awaits in three days.

The Swansea City fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 15 in 13 matches. When Swansea City hosts teams that live on the top of the table (like Cardiff City, Birmingham City, Hull City, Barnsley, Reading, Derby County and Peterborough United), the matches have ended over 2.5 goals 2 of 3 times.

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Blackburn Rovers form and stats

5-5-4 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Blackburn Rovers in their Championship matches away.

The Blackburn Rovers goalkeeper Thomas Kaminski is collecting clean sheets like a laundry worker. It's been 203 league minutes without conceding a goal, and counting.

Blackburn Rovers are the visiting side once again, their previous game being the 0-0 draw at Luton Town (placed 9th). van Hecke was the top performer of the team in that game with a match score of 8.15. The defender Hecke won 11 of 16 duels.

A home win before that, celebrating 1-0 vs Middlesbrough.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Blackburn Rovers playing away and similar expectations, we found 19 relevant matches. Results were three Blackburn wins, five draws and eleven defeats.

After this away game Blackburn Rovers return home for a Championship game against Nottingham Forest. That game is only four sleeps after this.

It's not easy to score on Blackburn Rovers as they have only conceded 13 goals from these away games.

Head 2 Head

The two combatants have battled previously this season: Blackburn Rovers - Swansea City 2-1. Swansea City-Blackburn Rovers H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Swansea City three wins, Blackburn Rovers three wins, four draws. seven of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5). The matches between these teams have sometimes been aggressive, having seen 5 sending-offs from the last ten duels.

Top Goalscorers

Blackburn RoversB. Brereton
B. Brereton
20 goals
Swansea CityJ. Piroe
J. Piroe
11 goals
SwanseaJ. Paterson
J. Paterson
8 goals

Swansea City missing players

Blackburn Rovers missing players

Swansea City Blackburn Rovers
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
27 13 3 Played P 4 14 29
8 5 2 Won W 2 5 15
8 4 0 Drew D 1 5 8
11 4 1 Lost L 1 4 6
28 15 4 Scored S 3 14 45
35 13 5 Conceded C 3 13 30
81% 77% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 86% 90%
63% 54% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 64% 72%
48% 46% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 29% 48%
26% 23% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 7% 28%
11% 15% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 7% 10%
44% 38% 67% BTTS BTTS 25% 50% 48%
41% 54% 33% Clean Sheets C S 50% 36% 41%
33% 31% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 29% 21%
 
4.4 4.6 3.3 Corners for (avg) C F 4 3.8 4.1
3.9 3.9 2.3 Corners against (avg) C A 5.2 5.2 4.9
1.8 1.6 2.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 2.9 2.6
1 0 0 Red cards R C 1 2 3
 
11 11.4 9 Shots (avg) S ( 8.5 8.4 10.1
3.7 3.9 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 2.9 3.7
28% 29% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 35% 42%
 
9.5 8.2 7.7 Shots against (avg) S A 11 10.8 10.9
3.8 3 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4 4 3.9

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Fulham 28 17 7 4 74 26 15 9 4 2 37 13 13 8 3 2 37 13 48 58
2 Blackburn Rovers 29 15 8 6 45 30 15 10 3 2 31 17 14 5 5 4 14 13 15 53
3 AFC Bournemouth 28 15 7 6 44 24 13 7 3 3 26 14 15 8 4 3 18 10 20 52
4 Queens Park Rangers 28 15 6 7 44 31 15 8 4 3 21 11 13 7 2 4 23 20 13 51
5 West Bromwich Albion 29 12 9 8 34 24 14 8 5 1 21 8 15 4 4 7 13 16 10 45
6 Middlesbrough 28 13 6 9 32 26 15 9 2 4 21 13 13 4 4 5 11 13 6 45
7 Huddersfield Town 29 12 9 8 38 34 14 7 4 3 20 16 15 5 5 5 18 18 4 45
8 Nottingham Forest 29 12 7 10 39 31 15 6 3 6 19 18 14 6 4 4 20 13 8 43
9 Luton Town 28 11 9 8 39 32 14 6 5 3 22 16 14 5 4 5 17 16 7 42
10 Coventry City 27 11 7 9 35 31 14 8 2 4 22 13 13 3 5 5 13 18 4 40
11 Sheffield United 26 11 6 9 35 32 11 5 2 4 17 11 15 6 4 5 18 21 3 39
12 Stoke City 28 11 6 11 33 30 14 6 3 5 19 16 14 5 3 6 14 14 3 39
13 Preston North End 29 9 11 9 33 35 14 5 7 2 20 17 15 4 4 7 13 18 -2 38
14 Millwall 28 9 10 9 29 29 14 6 5 3 16 12 14 3 5 6 13 17 0 37
15 Blackpool 28 10 7 11 29 33 15 7 2 6 13 15 13 3 5 5 16 18 -4 37
16 Bristol City 29 9 7 13 38 51 15 5 5 5 18 19 14 4 2 8 20 32 -13 34
17 Birmingham City 29 8 9 12 32 44 14 5 4 5 17 19 15 3 5 7 15 25 -12 33
18 Hull City 28 9 5 14 25 31 14 5 3 6 15 16 14 4 2 8 10 15 -6 32
19 Swansea City 27 8 8 11 28 35 13 5 4 4 15 13 14 3 4 7 13 22 -7 32
20 Cardiff City 27 7 5 15 30 48 13 3 1 9 11 20 14 4 4 6 19 28 -18 26
21 Reading 28 8 4 16 33 55 15 4 4 7 21 31 13 4 0 9 12 24 -22 22
22 Peterborough United 27 5 5 17 23 55 13 4 4 5 15 17 14 1 1 12 8 38 -32 20
23 Derby County 28 8 12 8 28 28 14 6 6 2 18 13 14 2 6 6 10 15 0 15
24 Barnsley 27 2 8 17 17 42 13 2 4 7 8 16 14 0 4 10 9 26 -25 14

Swansea City:
Blackburn Rovers:
Championship:
England:

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.