Football betting preview: Stoke City vs Luton Town

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Tue 08.November
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Bet365 Stadium (30089 seats)

Match preview: 7 points split the participants so far, Luton Town having done best. Can Stoke City pull off a surprise?

Insights:
  • Stoke City have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Luton Town have won significantly less corners away then at home.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Stoke City and Luton Town.

L W L L L

Stoke City form and stats

With 2 Championship wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from their home games, Stoke City are certainly not brimming with confidence. When Stoke City hosts teams that live on the top of the table (like Norwich City, Blackburn Rovers, Preston North End, Queens Park Rangers, Sheffield United, Watford and Burnley), they have won 1 of 2 matches! Three consecutive losses here at Bet365 Stadium is hard to swallow for the home team. Both players, staff and the home crowd are desperate to get something from this match.

The Stoke crowd went home unhappy last time out, seeing their beloved players lose 1-2 to Birmingham City here at Bet365 Stadium. Baker (midfield) was the top team player in that game with a rating of 7.6/10. Baker scored one goal, hit one key pass and had 33 successful passes (of 38 total).

In the game before, an away victory match versus Wigan Athletic with a 1-0 scoreline.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Stoke City have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 9 matches with the results: Won 3, drawn 2 and lost 4.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Stoke as they are travelling to their away game against West Bromwich Albion in the Championship. That match is four days after this one.

Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 14 goals have been conceded. When Stoke City hosts teams that live on the top of the table (like Middlesbrough, Rotherham United, West Bromwich Albion, Wigan Athletic, Hull City, Huddersfield Town and Blackpool), the matches have ended over 2.5 goals 2 of 2 times.

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Luton Town form and stats

As the visiting team in Championship matches, Luton Town have produced an overall stat of 5-2-2 so far.

Luton have succeeded in guarding their own goal lately, led by their goalkeeper Ethan Horvath. It's been 192 minutes since they last conceded in Championship.

Two away matches in a row for Luton Town, whose manager Jones could celebrate last time after the win against Blackpool. That victory felt good as this club had gone three league rounds without winning. Goalkeeper Horvath was absolutely vital in the Luton Town victory against Blackpool, making six saves. Defender Lockyer was the best team player with a rating of 9.34. Lockyer won 5 of 10 duels.

A draw for Luton Town before that, at their own venue hosting Reading (0-0).

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Luton Town playing away and similar expectations, we found 14 relevant matches. Results were 5 Luton wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats.

A quick return to home after this game, as Luton Town are hosting Rotherham United in the Championship only four days away.

Luton Town are defending well in their away games, having conceded only 8 times in 9 matches. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above. It's worth mentioning that 4 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

Stats for the previous ten meetings between these two teams are: five wins for Stoke City, four draws and one win for Luton Town. Over 2,5 goals: five times; under 2,5 goals: five games.

Top Goalscorers

Luton TownC. Morris
C. Morris
8 goals
StokeL. Baker
L. Baker
5 goals
Stoke CityB. Wilmot
B. Wilmot
3 goals

Stoke City missing players

Luton Town missing players

Stoke City Luton Town
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
19 9 2 Played P 3 9 19
6 2 1 Won W 2 5 7
4 2 0 Drew D 1 2 8
9 5 1 Lost L 0 2 4
20 9 3 Scored S 3 9 22
25 14 5 Conceded C 0 8 19
95% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 89% 84%
74% 78% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 67% 68%
42% 44% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 22% 32%
26% 33% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 11% 21%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 5%
42% 44% 50% BTTS BTTS 0% 22% 42%
32% 11% 0% Clean Sheets C S 100% 56% 42%
32% 44% 50% Failed to Score F T 33% 33% 32%
 
5.7 6.8 6 Corners for (avg) C F 7 4.4 5.9
5.5 4.2 5.5 Corners against (avg) C A 7.7 6.8 5.9
1.7 1.9 2.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.7 1.9 1.5
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
13.7 15 13 Shots (avg) S ( 10 10.2 12.7
4.4 4.9 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4 3.3 4.1
24% 20% 38% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 30% 29%
 
11.1 9.2 11.5 Shots against (avg) S A 13 13.4 12.3
3.5 3.1 4.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3 2.8 3.2
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Luton Town have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Stoke City have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Stoke City haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Burnley 20 10 8 2 37 23 10 6 4 0 20 10 10 4 4 2 17 13 14 38
2 Blackburn Rovers 20 12 0 8 24 19 10 8 0 2 17 7 10 4 0 6 7 12 5 36
3 Sheffield United 19 10 5 4 34 18 9 5 3 1 22 10 10 5 2 3 12 8 16 35
4 Norwich City 20 9 5 6 28 21 10 5 3 2 17 10 10 4 2 4 11 11 7 32
5 Queens Park Rangers 19 9 4 6 25 20 9 5 2 2 14 8 10 4 2 4 11 12 5 31
6 Preston North End 20 8 7 5 16 16 10 3 4 3 5 7 10 5 3 2 11 9 0 31
7 Watford 19 8 5 6 26 22 9 5 1 3 15 10 10 3 4 3 11 12 4 29
8 Luton Town 19 7 8 4 22 19 10 2 6 2 13 11 9 5 2 2 9 8 3 29
9 Swansea City 19 8 5 6 25 26 10 5 2 3 15 13 9 3 3 3 10 13 -1 29
10 Millwall 19 8 4 7 22 20 10 7 1 2 16 7 9 1 3 5 6 13 2 28
11 Birmingham City 19 7 6 6 20 16 9 3 4 2 10 6 10 4 2 4 10 10 4 27
12 Reading 19 8 2 9 21 27 10 6 1 3 15 11 9 2 1 6 6 16 -6 26
13 Sunderland 19 6 6 7 24 22 9 2 4 3 10 10 10 4 2 4 14 12 2 24
14 Cardiff City 19 7 3 9 15 21 9 4 2 3 7 6 10 3 1 6 8 15 -6 24
15 Coventry City 17 6 5 6 17 18 7 3 1 3 6 6 10 3 4 3 11 12 -1 23
16 Bristol City 20 6 5 9 27 29 10 4 2 4 13 10 10 2 3 5 14 19 -2 23
17 Rotherham United 19 5 7 7 23 25 10 4 3 3 17 12 9 1 4 4 6 13 -2 22
18 Blackpool 19 6 4 9 23 28 9 3 1 5 12 13 10 3 3 4 11 15 -5 22
19 Stoke City 19 6 4 9 20 25 9 2 2 5 9 14 10 4 2 4 11 11 -5 22
20 Middlesbrough 19 5 6 8 24 25 10 3 5 2 11 10 9 2 1 6 13 15 -1 21
21 Hull City 19 6 3 10 21 35 10 4 0 6 10 18 9 2 3 4 11 17 -14 21
22 West Bromwich Albion 19 4 8 7 22 24 10 2 4 4 12 14 9 2 4 3 10 10 -2 20
23 Wigan Athletic 19 5 5 9 19 28 10 1 3 6 6 17 9 4 2 3 13 11 -9 20
24 Huddersfield Town 18 4 3 11 17 25 10 4 1 5 10 10 8 0 2 6 7 15 -8 15

Stoke City:
Luton Town:
Championship:
England:

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.