A total of 26 matches are played and Nottingham Forest are 23 points on top of Derby County. What will the score be?
- Nottingham Forest have the fewest matches under the total-line (6) in Championship
Matches between these two teams are often called the East Midlands Derby or sometimes the A52 derby. The A52 is a major English road that connects the two cities Derby and Nottingham. Since 2007, whenever these two teams meet the winner has been awarded the Brian Clough Trophy, named after the famous manager who was successful at both clubs.
There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.
Nottingham Forest form and stats
4 victories, 3 draws and 6 defeats. That’s what Nottingham Forest have to build on here at The City Ground in the Championship.
It's back home for Nottingham Forest, who return with a good feeling about themselves after beating Millwall away with the result 1-0. Grabban found the net in that victory. Some amazing scenes last match, when Grabban scored the winning goal one minutes into stoppage time. Goalkeeper Samba got the top rating on the team in that game; 8.11 out of ten. Samba stopped the opponent with four saves and topped it up with a clean sheet.
Before that, Nottingham Forest had a FA Cup home game versus Arsenal which ended with a victory 1-0.The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Nottingham have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eleven games) they have won five times, drawn three and lost three.
Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the Championship game versus Barnsley in only three days. This game is also played here at The City Ground.
Nottingham Forest has scored 14 league goals at home this season, in 13 matches. Nottingham Forest have conceded 17 in these home matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.
Derby County form and stats
Derby County have only collected 12 points from their away games in the Championship, after 2-6-5 (13 played).
Derby County won their last game, 2-0 versus Sheffield United played at home. The attacker Lawrence got a match rating of 8.43 in that game. Lawrence scored two goals, dribled past the opponent 3 of 3 times and had 20 successful passes (of 25 total).
Preceding that game, the 0-1 loss visiting Coventry City's place.We have checked recent matches where Derby County have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 13 games were two victories, four draws and seven defeats.
Many goals are not expected from the visiting County as they have only managed to score 9 times from 13 away games in the league. As opposed to that, Derby County have seen the ball go into their own net 13 times on the road.
Head 2 Head
The dueling parties have battled previously this season: Derby County - Nottingham Forest 1-1. Data for the former ten meetings involving these two contenders are: three wins for Nottingham, six draws and one win for Derby County. Over 2,5 goals: one time; under 2,5 goals: nine games.Top Goalscorers
  L. Grabban 11 goals |   T. Lawrence 7 goals |  B. Johnson 5 goals |
Nottingham Forest missing players
Derby County missing players
| Nottingham Forest | Derby County | ||||||
| Total | Home | vs | Statistics | Stat | vs | Away | Total |
| 26 | 13 | 3 | Played | P | 5 | 13 | 26 |
| 10 | 4 | 2 | Won | W | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | 0 | Drew | D | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | 6 | 1 | Lost | L | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| 33 | 14 | 5 | Scored | S | 3 | 9 | 25 |
| 28 | 17 | 3 | Conceded | C | 4 | 13 | 24 |
| 92% | 92% | 100% | Over 0.5 | O 0.5 | 80% | 77% | 81% |
| 81% | 85% | 100% | Over 1.5 | O 1.5 | 40% | 54% | 58% |
| 46% | 54% | 67% | Over 2.5 | O 2.5 | 20% | 31% | 35% |
| 12% | 8% | 0% | Over 3.5 | O 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 12% |
| 4% | 0% | 0% | Over 4.5 | O 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 54% | 54% | 67% | BTTS | BTTS | 40% | 46% | 50% |
| 27% | 23% | 33% | Clean Sheets | C S | 20% | 31% | 38% |
| 27% | 31% | 0% | Failed to Score | F T | 60% | 46% | 31% |
| 5.2 | 5 | 4.7 | Corners for (avg) | C F | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.1 |
| 4.2 | 3.6 | 4 | Corners against (avg) | C A | 5.6 | 4.8 | 4.6 |
| 1.9 | 2.2 | 1 | Yellow cards (avg) | Y C | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | Red cards | R C | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 11.4 | 11.7 | 11 | Shots (avg) | S ( | 12 | 10.2 | 9.5 |
| 3.3 | 2.8 | 2.3 | Shots on Target (avg) | S O | 3.4 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| 38% | 39% | 71% | Goal Efficiency | G E | 18% | 24% | 34% |
| 10.8 | 9.5 | 12.3 | Shots against (avg) | S A | 10.6 | 12.2 | 12.5 |
| 3.7 | 3.3 | 3 | Shots on Target against (avg) | S O | 2 | 3 | 3.7 |
- Nottingham Forest have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
- Nottingham Forest have the fewest matches under the total-line (6) in Championship
| Total | Home | Away | |||||||||||||||||||
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | +/- | P |
| 1 | Fulham | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 64 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 11 | 43 | 51 |
| 2 | AFC Bournemouth | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43 | 23 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 20 | 49 |
| 3 | Blackburn Rovers | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 28 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Queens Park Rangers | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 8 | 44 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 25 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Huddersfield Town | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Coventry City | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 5 | 37 |
| 9 | Nottingham Forest | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 33 | 28 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Stoke City | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 35 |
| 11 | Millwall | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 28 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 | Blackpool | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 32 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 | Luton Town | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 32 |
| 14 | Sheffield United | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 30 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Preston North End | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -3 | 32 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 45 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -13 | 30 |
| 17 | Swansea City | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 32 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -5 | 28 |
| 18 | Birmingham City | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 33 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -9 | 28 |
| 19 | Hull City | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 29 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -9 | 23 |
| 20 | Cardiff City | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 44 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | -18 | 23 |
| 21 | Reading | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 45 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 20 | -15 | 22 |
| 22 | Peterborough United | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 21 | 48 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 33 | -27 | 19 |
| 23 | Derby County | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 14 |
| 24 | Barnsley | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 36 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 21 | -20 | 14 |
- Nottingham Forest
- Nottinghamshire Live - (local newspaper)
- Derby County FC
- Derby Telegraph - (local newspaper)
