Betting preview: Millwall vs Southampton - predictions and stats

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Sat 04.Nov
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: The Den (20146 seats)

Battling Millwall are eager to pull off an upset when they play top side Southampton in the upcoming league round. It’s 18th vs 4th and the home fans will have moderate expectations.

Insights:
  • Millwall have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Southampton have the most matches over the total-line (11) in Championship

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

D L D D W

Millwall form and stats

With 2 Championship wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats from their home games, Millwall are certainly not brimming with confidence.

The Millwall manager Rowett and his side return home after a 2-2 draw away versus Watford (placed 16th). The forward Flemming was announced as "man of the match" for Millwall with the rating of 7.62/10. Flemming scored one goal.

Preceding that match was a defeat to Blackburn Rovers (1-2).

Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 11 goals have been conceded. When Millwall hosts teams that live on the top of the table (like Norwich City, Rotherham United, Plymouth Argyle, Queens Park Rangers, Coventry City, Sheffield Wednesday and Huddersfield Town), the matches have ended over 2.5 goals 2 of 2 times.

W D W D W

Southampton form and stats

As the visiting team in Championship matches, Southampton have produced an overall stat of 4-1-2 so far.

Impressive finishing from Harwood-Bellis, Alcaraz and Armstrong secured the home win 3-1 against Birmingham City in their previous game. Defender Harwood-Bellis was the best team player with a rating of 8.01. Harwood-Bellis scored one goal and won 4 of 5 duels.

Before that, Southampton travelled to Preston North End and returned home with a draw after the game finished 2-2.

Observe that 11 of this team's 14 most recent league rounds have ended with three goals or more.

Southampton have scored 10 goals on their travels this season, from 7 away games in the league. As for defending, Southampton rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 12 goals from these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Previous ten meetings involving these squads: Millwall won one, Southampton triumphed in six and we saw three draws. three games with over 2,5 goals, seven matches with under 2,5 goals.

Top Goalscorers

SouthamptonA. Armstrong
A. Armstrong
8 goals
MillwallZ. Flemming
Z. Flemming
4 goals
SouthamptonC. Adams
C. Adams
3 goals

Millwall missing players

Southampton missing players

Millwall Southampton
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
14 7 2 Played P 2 7 14
4 2 0 Won W 2 4 7
5 1 1 Drew D 0 1 3
5 4 1 Lost L 0 2 4
15 7 2 Scored S 4 10 24
18 11 5 Conceded C 2 12 25
93% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
71% 71% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 86% 86%
50% 71% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 86% 79%
21% 14% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 29% 43%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 14% 21%
43% 29% 50% BTTS BTTS 100% 71% 79%
36% 29% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 14% 7%
29% 43% 50% Failed to Score F T 0% 14% 14%
 
4.9 6.1 6.5 Corners for (avg) C F 8 6.9 7.4
5.1 3.7 5 Corners against (avg) C A 4 5.7 4.8
1.9 1.3 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 2.3 2.6
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
12.6 15.9 12.5 Shots (avg) S ( 21 15.7 15.9
3.7 4.6 3.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 8 5.3 5.9
29% 22% 29% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 27% 29%
 
13.6 10.9 11 Shots against (avg) S A 11.5 13.4 12.5
3.6 3.1 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 1.5 4 4.2
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Millwall have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Millwall have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Millwall haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Southampton have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Southampton have the fewest matches under the total-line (3) in Championship
  • Southampton have the most matches over the total-line (11) in Championship
  • Southampton haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Leicester City 14 13 0 1 29 8 7 6 0 1 11 3 7 7 0 0 18 5 21 39
2 Ipswich Town 13 11 1 1 29 15 7 6 0 1 22 13 6 5 1 0 7 2 14 34
3 Leeds United 14 7 4 3 24 15 7 4 3 0 13 5 7 3 1 3 11 10 9 25
4 Southampton 14 7 3 4 24 25 7 3 2 2 14 13 7 4 1 2 10 12 -1 24
5 Cardiff City 14 7 2 5 23 16 7 5 1 1 13 6 7 2 1 4 10 10 7 23
6 Hull City 14 6 5 3 20 16 7 2 4 1 9 7 7 4 1 2 11 9 4 23
7 Sunderland 14 7 1 6 24 16 7 4 0 3 13 9 7 3 1 3 11 7 8 22
8 Preston North End 14 6 4 4 18 21 7 4 2 1 11 11 7 2 2 3 7 10 -3 22
9 West Bromwich Albion 13 5 5 3 20 14 7 4 2 1 11 6 6 1 3 2 9 8 6 20
10 Middlesbrough 14 6 2 6 19 20 7 3 1 3 6 7 7 3 1 3 13 13 -1 20
11 Stoke City 14 6 1 7 16 18 7 4 0 3 9 8 7 2 1 4 7 10 -2 19
12 Blackburn Rovers 14 6 1 7 20 23 7 3 0 4 8 12 7 3 1 3 12 11 -3 19
13 Swansea City 14 5 3 6 20 18 7 2 2 3 9 9 7 3 1 3 11 9 2 18
14 Birmingham City 14 5 3 6 16 17 7 4 2 1 11 6 7 1 1 5 5 11 -1 18
15 Bristol City 14 5 3 6 15 16 7 2 2 3 8 8 7 3 1 3 7 8 -1 18
16 Watford 14 4 5 5 18 18 8 3 3 2 13 8 6 1 2 3 5 10 0 17
17 Norwich City 14 5 2 7 25 27 7 4 0 3 11 9 7 1 2 4 14 18 -2 17
18 Millwall 14 4 5 5 15 18 7 2 1 4 7 11 7 2 4 1 8 7 -3 17
19 Plymouth Argyle 14 4 3 7 23 22 7 4 0 3 17 10 7 0 3 4 6 12 1 15
20 Coventry City 13 3 6 4 17 16 6 2 4 0 9 5 7 1 2 4 8 11 1 15
21 Huddersfield Town 14 3 5 6 14 27 7 2 2 3 7 13 7 1 3 3 7 14 -13 14
22 Rotherham United 12 2 3 7 12 22 6 2 2 2 9 8 6 0 1 5 3 14 -10 9
23 Queens Park Rangers 14 2 2 10 10 26 6 0 1 5 4 14 8 2 1 5 6 12 -16 8
24 Sheffield Wednesday 13 0 3 10 5 22 6 0 2 4 2 8 7 0 1 6 3 14 -17 3

Millwall:
Southampton:
Championship:
England:

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.