Championship prediction and preview: Middlesbrough modest favorites to beat Wycombe Wanderers

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Sat 08.May
Match begins: 11:30 (UTC)
Venue: Riverside Stadium (34988 seats)

With their 24 point advantage in the league table, Middlesbrough fans are hoping to see their team collect maximum points from this game against Wycombe Wanderers.

Insights:
  • Middlesbrough have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Wycombe Wanderers have the the worst goal difference (-33) in Championship

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

Middlesbrough can neither be promoted or relegated from Championship. Wanderers are struggling to avoid relegation.

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Middlesbrough form and stats

The story so far in the Championship for Middlesbrough at their home stadium (Riverside Stadium) is 11 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats.

Middlesbrough travelled for their previous game, a trip to Luton Town that ended 1-1. Previous to that game, a home match hosting Sheffield Wednesday in a game that was won 3-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Middlesbrough have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 15 games) they have won eight times, drawn three and lost four.

The Middlesbrough fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 30 in 22 matches. On the other hand, Middlesbrough have conceded 22 goals.

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Wycombe Wanderers form and stats

Wycombe Wanderers, who have the the worst goal difference (-33) in Championship, have only collected 14 points from their away games in the Championship, after 3-5-14 (22 played).

Wanderers won their last game, 1-0 versus AFC Bournemouth played at home. A 1-2 defeat away at Cardiff City before that.

We have checked recent matches where Wanderers have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those eleven games were two victories, two draws and seven defeats.

The visitors have scored 19 goals from 22 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. As for defending, Wycombe Wanderers rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 41 goals from these away matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 4 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other before this season, with the result Wycombe Wanderers - Middlesbrough 1-3 entered in the official records.

Top Goalscorers

MiddlesbroughD. Watmore
D. Watmore
9 goals
MiddlesbroughG. Saville
G. Saville
6 goals
Wycombe WanderersU. Ikpeazu
U. Ikpeazu
6 goals

Middlesbrough missing players

Wycombe Wanderers missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Middlesbrough Wycombe Wanderers
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
45 22 7 Played P 7 22 45
18 11 4 Won W 0 3 10
10 4 0 Drew D 2 5 10
17 7 3 Lost L 5 14 25
55 30 11 Scored S 2 19 36
50 22 9 Conceded C 14 41 69
91% 95% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 86% 91% 89%
71% 73% 86% Over 1.5 O 1.5 71% 77% 67%
49% 50% 71% Over 2.5 O 2.5 29% 50% 44%
16% 14% 29% Over 3.5 O 3.5 29% 23% 18%
7% 5% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 14% 14% 7%
51% 45% 43% BTTS BTTS 14% 45% 44%
29% 36% 29% Clean Sheets C S 14% 14% 24%
29% 23% 29% Failed to Score F T 86% 50% 42%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.3 1.1 0.9 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.4 1.5 1.5
2 2 1 Red cards R C 1 2 4
 
11.5 11.7 12.9 Shots (avg) S ( 10.3 10.2 10.5
3 3.7 3.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.6 2.8 3.1
40% 37% 46% Goal Efficiency G E 11% 31% 26%
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Middlesbrough have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Wycombe Wanderers have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Wycombe Wanderers have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Wycombe Wanderers have the most conceded goals in the second half (40) in Championship
  • Wycombe Wanderers have the the worst goal difference (-33) in Championship

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Norwich City 45 29 9 7 73 34 23 14 6 3 39 15 22 15 3 4 34 19 39 96
2 Watford 45 26 10 9 61 30 22 18 2 2 42 12 23 8 8 7 19 18 31 88
3 Brentford 45 23 15 7 76 41 23 12 9 2 39 20 22 11 6 5 37 21 35 84
4 Swansea City 45 23 11 11 56 37 23 12 6 5 27 16 22 11 5 6 29 21 19 80
5 AFC Bournemouth 45 22 11 12 73 44 22 13 3 6 40 22 23 9 8 6 33 22 29 77
6 Barnsley 45 23 8 14 56 48 22 12 5 5 28 20 23 11 3 9 28 28 8 77
7 Reading 45 19 12 14 60 52 22 12 3 7 35 25 23 7 9 7 25 27 8 69
8 Cardiff City 45 18 13 14 65 48 22 8 5 9 36 25 23 10 8 5 29 23 17 67
9 Queens Park Rangers 45 18 11 16 54 54 22 10 4 8 29 26 23 8 7 8 25 28 0 65
10 Middlesbrough 45 18 10 17 55 50 22 11 4 7 30 22 23 7 6 10 25 28 5 64
11 Millwall 45 15 17 13 46 46 23 7 10 6 24 24 22 8 7 7 22 22 0 62
12 Luton Town 44 17 10 17 40 49 22 8 8 6 25 23 22 9 2 11 15 26 -9 61
13 Preston North End 45 17 7 21 47 55 23 7 5 11 21 24 22 10 2 10 26 31 -8 58
14 Stoke City 45 14 15 16 48 52 23 9 5 9 29 28 22 5 10 7 19 24 -4 57
15 Blackburn Rovers 45 14 12 19 60 52 22 8 7 7 32 26 23 6 5 12 28 26 8 54
16 Nottingham Forest 45 12 16 17 36 43 22 6 8 8 20 22 23 6 8 9 16 21 -7 52
17 Coventry City 45 13 13 19 43 60 22 9 7 6 24 21 23 4 6 13 19 39 -17 52
18 Birmingham City 45 13 13 19 35 56 23 6 4 13 18 37 22 7 9 6 17 19 -21 52
19 Bristol City 45 15 6 24 45 65 22 7 3 12 17 27 23 8 3 12 28 38 -20 51
20 Huddersfield Town 45 12 12 21 48 69 23 8 7 8 28 23 22 4 5 13 20 46 -21 48
21 Derby County 45 11 10 24 33 55 22 6 6 10 17 23 23 5 4 14 16 32 -22 43
22 Rotherham United 44 11 7 26 43 59 23 5 4 14 26 35 21 6 3 12 17 24 -16 40
23 Sheffield Wednesday 45 12 10 23 37 58 23 8 8 7 22 17 22 4 2 16 15 41 -21 40
24 Wycombe Wanderers 45 10 10 25 36 69 23 7 5 11 17 28 22 3 5 14 19 41 -33 40

Middlesbrough:
Championship:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Norwich City 45 29 9 7 73 34 23 14 6 3 39 15 22 15 3 4 34 19 39 96
2 Watford 45 26 10 9 61 30 22 18 2 2 42 12 23 8 8 7 19 18 31 88
3 Brentford 45 23 15 7 76 41 23 12 9 2 39 20 22 11 6 5 37 21 35 84
4 Swansea City 45 23 11 11 56 37 23 12 6 5 27 16 22 11 5 6 29 21 19 80
5 AFC Bournemouth 45 22 11 12 73 44 22 13 3 6 40 22 23 9 8 6 33 22 29 77
6 Barnsley 45 23 8 14 56 48 22 12 5 5 28 20 23 11 3 9 28 28 8 77
7 Reading 45 19 12 14 60 52 22 12 3 7 35 25 23 7 9 7 25 27 8 69
8 Cardiff City 45 18 13 14 65 48 22 8 5 9 36 25 23 10 8 5 29 23 17 67
9 Queens Park Rangers 45 18 11 16 54 54 22 10 4 8 29 26 23 8 7 8 25 28 0 65
10 Middlesbrough 45 18 10 17 55 50 22 11 4 7 30 22 23 7 6 10 25 28 5 64
11 Millwall 45 15 17 13 46 46 23 7 10 6 24 24 22 8 7 7 22 22 0 62
12 Luton Town 44 17 10 17 40 49 22 8 8 6 25 23 22 9 2 11 15 26 -9 61
13 Preston North End 45 17 7 21 47 55 23 7 5 11 21 24 22 10 2 10 26 31 -8 58
14 Stoke City 45 14 15 16 48 52 23 9 5 9 29 28 22 5 10 7 19 24 -4 57
15 Blackburn Rovers 45 14 12 19 60 52 22 8 7 7 32 26 23 6 5 12 28 26 8 54
16 Nottingham Forest 45 12 16 17 36 43 22 6 8 8 20 22 23 6 8 9 16 21 -7 52
17 Coventry City 45 13 13 19 43 60 22 9 7 6 24 21 23 4 6 13 19 39 -17 52
18 Birmingham City 45 13 13 19 35 56 23 6 4 13 18 37 22 7 9 6 17 19 -21 52
19 Bristol City 45 15 6 24 45 65 22 7 3 12 17 27 23 8 3 12 28 38 -20 51
20 Huddersfield Town 45 12 12 21 48 69 23 8 7 8 28 23 22 4 5 13 20 46 -21 48
21 Derby County 45 11 10 24 33 55 22 6 6 10 17 23 23 5 4 14 16 32 -22 43
22 Rotherham United 44 11 7 26 43 59 23 5 4 14 26 35 21 6 3 12 17 24 -16 40
23 Sheffield Wednesday 45 12 10 23 37 58 23 8 8 7 22 17 22 4 2 16 15 41 -21 40
24 Wycombe Wanderers 45 10 10 25 36 69 23 7 5 11 17 28 22 3 5 14 19 41 -33 40

More from England - Championship

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.